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Brewer PECOTA stats

Ennder

By Ennder,
in Milwaukee Brewers Talk

Ennder Carolina Mudcats

Ennder

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Ryan Braun - .300/.367/575, 6.1 WARP

Corey Hart - .288/.358/.528, 5.9 WARP

Prince Fielder - .287/.384/.560, 5.5 WARP

JJ Hardy - .273/.329/.441, 4.4 WARP

Mike Cameron - .269/.356/.493, 4.4 WARP

Rickie Weeks - .265/.368/.454, 3.5 WARP

Bill Hall - .267/.335/.482, 3.5 WARP

Jason Kendall - .255/.324/.321, 1.7 WARP

 

Yovani Gallardo - 3.88 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 4.8 WARP

Ben Sheets - 3.93 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 3.9 WARP

Eric Gagne - 3.38 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 3.9 WARP

Dave Bush - 4.31 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 3.7 WARP

Chris Capuano - 4.51 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 2.9 WARP

Jeff Suppan - 4.84 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 2.4 WARP

David Riske - 3.96 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 1.7 WARP

Carlos Villanueva - 4.72 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 1.4 WARP

Saloman Torres - 4.29 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 1.4 WARP

Derrick Turnbow - 4.56 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 1.2 WARP

Brian Shouse - 4.12 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 1.0 WARP

 

I'll take those hitting numbers, the pitching looks pretty ugly so I'm hoping it is assuming last years defense and not this years.

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Ennder Carolina Mudcats

Ennder

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Ryan Braun - .300/.367/575, 6.1 WARP

Corey Hart - .288/.358/.528, 5.9 WARP

Prince Fielder - .287/.384/.560, 5.5 WARP

JJ Hardy - .273/.329/.441, 4.4 WARP

Mike Cameron - .269/.356/.493, 4.4 WARP

Rickie Weeks - .265/.368/.454, 3.5 WARP

Bill Hall - .267/.335/.482, 3.5 WARP

Jason Kendall - .255/.324/.321, 1.7 WARP

 

Yovani Gallardo - 3.88 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 4.8 WARP

Ben Sheets - 3.93 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 3.9 WARP

Eric Gagne - 3.38 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 3.9 WARP

Dave Bush - 4.31 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 3.7 WARP

Chris Capuano - 4.51 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 2.9 WARP

Jeff Suppan - 4.84 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 2.4 WARP

David Riske - 3.96 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 1.7 WARP

Carlos Villanueva - 4.72 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 1.4 WARP

Saloman Torres - 4.29 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 1.4 WARP

Derrick Turnbow - 4.56 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 1.2 WARP

Brian Shouse - 4.12 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 1.0 WARP

 

I'll take those hitting numbers, the pitching looks pretty ugly so I'm hoping it is assuming last years defense and not this years.

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Ennder Carolina Mudcats

Ennder

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Ryan Braun - .300/.367/575, 6.1 WARP

Corey Hart - .288/.358/.528, 5.9 WARP

Prince Fielder - .287/.384/.560, 5.5 WARP

JJ Hardy - .273/.329/.441, 4.4 WARP

Mike Cameron - .269/.356/.493, 4.4 WARP

Rickie Weeks - .265/.368/.454, 3.5 WARP

Bill Hall - .267/.335/.482, 3.5 WARP

Jason Kendall - .255/.324/.321, 1.7 WARP

 

Yovani Gallardo - 3.88 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 4.8 WARP

Ben Sheets - 3.93 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 3.9 WARP

Eric Gagne - 3.38 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 3.9 WARP

Dave Bush - 4.31 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 3.7 WARP

Chris Capuano - 4.51 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 2.9 WARP

Jeff Suppan - 4.84 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 2.4 WARP

David Riske - 3.96 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 1.7 WARP

Carlos Villanueva - 4.72 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 1.4 WARP

Saloman Torres - 4.29 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 1.4 WARP

Derrick Turnbow - 4.56 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 1.2 WARP

Brian Shouse - 4.12 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 1.0 WARP

 

I'll take those hitting numbers, the pitching looks pretty ugly so I'm hoping it is assuming last years defense and not this years.

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Ennder Carolina Mudcats

Ennder

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And now for the Cubs.

Aramis Ramirez - .301/.363/.536, 5.8 WARP
Derrek Lee - .296/.381/.517, 5.4 WARP
Alfosnso Soriano - .278/.336/.544, 4.9 WARP
Geovany Soto - .273/.352/.470, 4.7 WARP
Kosuke Fukudome - .289/.401/.504, 4.4 WARP
Felix Pie - .284/.339/.470, 3.7 WARP
Mark DeRosa - .286, .360, .439, 3.3 WARP
Ryan Theriot - .270/.330/.347, 3.1 WARP

Carlos Zambrano - 3.81 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 4.7 WARP
Rich Hill - 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 4.7 WARP
Ted Lilly - 4.25 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 3.7 WARP
Bob Howry - 3.60 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 2.2 WARP
Michael Wuertz - 3.47 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 1.9 WARP
Carlos Marmol - 4.06 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 1.9 WARP
Sean Marshal - 4.74 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 1.8 WARP
Ryan Dempster - 4.24 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 1.8 WARP
Jason Marquis - 5.04 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 1.7 WARP
Jon Lieber - 4.62 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 1.5 WARP
Kerry Wood - 4.25 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 1.0 WARP

 

The Brewers had a 35 WARP out of the every day hitters, the Cubs a 35.3. Brewers a 28.3 out of rotation and top 6 RP, Cubs a 26.9.

So basically PECOTA thinks the teams are even, heh.

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Ennder Carolina Mudcats

Ennder

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And now for the Cubs.

Aramis Ramirez - .301/.363/.536, 5.8 WARP
Derrek Lee - .296/.381/.517, 5.4 WARP
Alfosnso Soriano - .278/.336/.544, 4.9 WARP
Geovany Soto - .273/.352/.470, 4.7 WARP
Kosuke Fukudome - .289/.401/.504, 4.4 WARP
Felix Pie - .284/.339/.470, 3.7 WARP
Mark DeRosa - .286, .360, .439, 3.3 WARP
Ryan Theriot - .270/.330/.347, 3.1 WARP

Carlos Zambrano - 3.81 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 4.7 WARP
Rich Hill - 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 4.7 WARP
Ted Lilly - 4.25 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 3.7 WARP
Bob Howry - 3.60 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 2.2 WARP
Michael Wuertz - 3.47 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 1.9 WARP
Carlos Marmol - 4.06 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 1.9 WARP
Sean Marshal - 4.74 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 1.8 WARP
Ryan Dempster - 4.24 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 1.8 WARP
Jason Marquis - 5.04 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 1.7 WARP
Jon Lieber - 4.62 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 1.5 WARP
Kerry Wood - 4.25 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 1.0 WARP

 

The Brewers had a 35 WARP out of the every day hitters, the Cubs a 35.3. Brewers a 28.3 out of rotation and top 6 RP, Cubs a 26.9.

So basically PECOTA thinks the teams are even, heh.

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Ennder Carolina Mudcats

Ennder

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And now for the Cubs.

Aramis Ramirez - .301/.363/.536, 5.8 WARP
Derrek Lee - .296/.381/.517, 5.4 WARP
Alfosnso Soriano - .278/.336/.544, 4.9 WARP
Geovany Soto - .273/.352/.470, 4.7 WARP
Kosuke Fukudome - .289/.401/.504, 4.4 WARP
Felix Pie - .284/.339/.470, 3.7 WARP
Mark DeRosa - .286, .360, .439, 3.3 WARP
Ryan Theriot - .270/.330/.347, 3.1 WARP

Carlos Zambrano - 3.81 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 4.7 WARP
Rich Hill - 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 4.7 WARP
Ted Lilly - 4.25 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 3.7 WARP
Bob Howry - 3.60 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 2.2 WARP
Michael Wuertz - 3.47 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 1.9 WARP
Carlos Marmol - 4.06 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 1.9 WARP
Sean Marshal - 4.74 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 1.8 WARP
Ryan Dempster - 4.24 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 1.8 WARP
Jason Marquis - 5.04 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 1.7 WARP
Jon Lieber - 4.62 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 1.5 WARP
Kerry Wood - 4.25 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 1.0 WARP

 

The Brewers had a 35 WARP out of the every day hitters, the Cubs a 35.3. Brewers a 28.3 out of rotation and top 6 RP, Cubs a 26.9.

So basically PECOTA thinks the teams are even, heh.

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PKBadger Draft Eligible

PKBadger

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Just looking at the OPS projections makes me want to drool (aside from Kendall). Imagine this lineup:

 

Weeks - .822

Cameron - .849

Fielder - .944

Braun - .942

Hart - .886

Hall - .817

Hardy - .770

Kendall - .645 (blah)

 

Try pitching to that!

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PKBadger Draft Eligible

PKBadger

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Just looking at the OPS projections makes me want to drool (aside from Kendall). Imagine this lineup:

 

Weeks - .822

Cameron - .849

Fielder - .944

Braun - .942

Hart - .886

Hall - .817

Hardy - .770

Kendall - .645 (blah)

 

Try pitching to that!

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PKBadger Draft Eligible

PKBadger

Verified Member
Posted
Posted

Just looking at the OPS projections makes me want to drool (aside from Kendall). Imagine this lineup:

 

Weeks - .822

Cameron - .849

Fielder - .944

Braun - .942

Hart - .886

Hall - .817

Hardy - .770

Kendall - .645 (blah)

 

Try pitching to that!

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DrWood First Round Pick

DrWood

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Just looking at the OPS projections makes me want to drool (aside from Kendall). Imagine this lineup:

 

Weeks - .822

Cameron - .849

Fielder - .944

Braun - .942

Hart - .886

Hall - .817

Hardy - .770

Kendall - .645 (blah)

 

Try pitching to that!

considering the projections either represent a drop-off from last season, or a minor improvement, even for very young players, it is pretty pessimistic except for Cameron (which must be due to change in ballparks) and Hall (they are expecting a fair bounce-back). Last year: Weeks, .807; Cameron, .759, Braun, 1.004; Fielder 1.013; Hart, .892; Hall, .740; Hardy .786; Kendall .610.

 

Those 2008 projections DO NOT represent a division-winner in my opinion.

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DrWood First Round Pick

DrWood

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Just looking at the OPS projections makes me want to drool (aside from Kendall). Imagine this lineup:

 

Weeks - .822

Cameron - .849

Fielder - .944

Braun - .942

Hart - .886

Hall - .817

Hardy - .770

Kendall - .645 (blah)

 

Try pitching to that!

considering the projections either represent a drop-off from last season, or a minor improvement, even for very young players, it is pretty pessimistic except for Cameron (which must be due to change in ballparks) and Hall (they are expecting a fair bounce-back). Last year: Weeks, .807; Cameron, .759, Braun, 1.004; Fielder 1.013; Hart, .892; Hall, .740; Hardy .786; Kendall .610.

 

Those 2008 projections DO NOT represent a division-winner in my opinion.

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DrWood First Round Pick

DrWood

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Posted
Just looking at the OPS projections makes me want to drool (aside from Kendall). Imagine this lineup:

 

Weeks - .822

Cameron - .849

Fielder - .944

Braun - .942

Hart - .886

Hall - .817

Hardy - .770

Kendall - .645 (blah)

 

Try pitching to that!

considering the projections either represent a drop-off from last season, or a minor improvement, even for very young players, it is pretty pessimistic except for Cameron (which must be due to change in ballparks) and Hall (they are expecting a fair bounce-back). Last year: Weeks, .807; Cameron, .759, Braun, 1.004; Fielder 1.013; Hart, .892; Hall, .740; Hardy .786; Kendall .610.

 

Those 2008 projections DO NOT represent a division-winner in my opinion.

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Ennder Carolina Mudcats

Ennder

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I'd still be very happy with that offensive output, especially the OBP's considering how weak ours was last year as a team.

 

Ryan Braun - .300/.367/575 (.324/.370/.634 last year)

Corey Hart - .288/.358/.528 (.295/.353/.539)

Prince Fielder - .287/.384/.560 (.288/.395/.618)

JJ Hardy - .273/.329/.441 (.277/.323/.463)

Mike Cameron - .269/.356/.493 (.261/.318/.453, LF last year)

Rickie Weeks - .265/.368/.454 (.235/.374/.433)

Bill Hall - .267/.335/.482 (.254/.315/.425)

Jason Kendall - .255/.324/.321 (.278/.296/.403 Estrada last year)

 

I guess looking at the stats the big upgrade is just Cameron over the crap we got out of left field last year and Hall improving on last years numbers. The best part of these numbers are they look conservative to me for the Brewers other than Cameron, these are not levels that our players will have huge problems reaching. The Cubs have Soto and Fukudome who could easily fall short of those projections given the lack of experience. If one or both of those guys really struggle to reach those numbers we should have better hitting and pitching than the Cubs.

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