Bucks beat Cavs in dramatic fashion

[trwi7]

Not necessarily. The lottery guards against "tanking" to a point. Look at what happened last year -- the Bucks should have had the third or fourth pick (IIRC), but ended up with the 7th.

 

We should have had the 3rd pick and we ended up with the 6th pick. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif

[Menotti80]

true, but you cant move up from your "projected spot" more than 3 places. Only 3 or 4 teams have a chance to be #1 with the new system. So to have any sort of shot at picks 1-3, you need to have the 4th-6th worst record or worse.

 

Plus, the odds of the Bucks getting a pick higher than they are supposed to get are slim to none. come on now, it's the Bucks.

[Katuluu]

I'm pretty sure the rule is you can only fall three places, as anyone can move up into the top 3.

[twobrewers]

true, but you cant move up from your "projected spot" more than 3 places. Only 3 or 4 teams have a chance to be #1 with the new system. So to have any sort of shot at picks 1-3, you need to have the 4th-6th worst record or worse.

That is just incorrect.

 

Here are the odds for each seed to get specific picks in the 2007 lottery (rounded to 3 decimal places):

Seed	Chances	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th	9th	10th	11th	12th	13th	14th
1	250	.250	.215	.178	.357
2	199	.199	.188	.171	.319	.123
3	156	.156	.157	.156	.226	.265	.041
4	119	.119	.126	.133	.099	.350	.161	.013
5	88	.088	.097	.107		.261	.359	.084	.004
6	53	.053	.060	.070			.439	.331	.046	.001
7	53	.053	.060	.070				.572	.226	.018	.000
8	19	.019	.022	.027					.725	.196	.011	.000
9	19	.019	.022	.027						.784	.143	.005	.000
10	18	.018	.021	.025							.846	.087	.002	.000
11	8	.008	.009	.012								.907	.063	.001	.000
12	7	.007	.008	.010									.935	.039	.000
13	6	.006	.007	.009										.960	.018
14	5	.005	.006	.007											.982

[RyDogg66]

true, but you cant move up from your "projected spot" more than 3 places. Only 3 or 4 teams have a chance to be #1 with the new system. So to have any sort of shot at picks 1-3, you need to have the 4th-6th worst record or worse.

 

Plus, the odds of the Bucks getting a pick higher than they are supposed to get are slim to none. come on now, it's the Bucks.

Is this a new rule? If so are they reslotting all of the lottery teams? (i.e. the 11th worst team could pick anywhere from 8th-14th) or still just the top 3?

 

[Katuluu]

It's not a new rule as far as I can tell. I'm pretty sure Mendotti just got mixed up on teams being able to fall 3 spots, and thought they meant move up three spots.

[jordanmuehl]

Not necessarily. The lottery guards against "tanking" to a point. Look at what happened last year -- the Bucks should have had the third or fourth pick (IIRC), but ended up with the 7th.

We should have had the 3rd pick and we ended up with the 6th pick. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif

Thanks for the clear-up. = )

 

[Baldkin]

The latest from Bill Simmons. I'm gonna write a letter.

 

How about you?

[homer]

A letter supporting him?

[jason21nl]

after a nice win over the Cavs they get blown out by the Nets. Devin Harris with a real nice game tonight.

 

 

question, do NBA teams even try on the road?

[gypcasino]

The latest from Bill Simmons. I'm gonna write a letter.

 

How about you?

 

I realize the element of humor and tongue in cheek-ness of the Simmons for GM campaign but come on, how dumb is this comment-

Jeff in Madison explained, "I've lived here my whole life and never cared about the Bucks. That will change if you become the GM."

[gypcasino]

question, do NBA teams even try on the road?

It doesn't seem like it considering that the Bucks 6-25 road record is good for only the 6th worst road record in the league.

[Blancofan1]

question, do NBA teams even try on the road?

It doesn't seem like it considering that the Bucks 6-25 road record is good for only the 6th worst road record in the league.

Thank god I'm not a Bucks fan. I thought the Brewers were iffy on the road. Ouch

[Baldkin]

I'm gonna write a letter to Mr. Simmons. Explaining to him, that being the Bucks GM, has very little to do with making actual basketball decisions, and everything to do with making the decisions Herb Kohl and his cronies will allow him to.

 

I mean, You think Larry Harris heard this when he got the gig? "Here, we expect you to do this job, and do it well, but, you aren't free to make any of your own decisions, only to run idea's past us, so we can take credit and not allow you to make any actual moves."

[ccbrew]

Over the course of five years I've gone from reading every one of Simmons' articles to not even bothering to look at them. It seems that he's fallen head over heels in love with himself. Things quickly started to go south around the time his animated cartoon started showing up on ESPN's site.