Is there a "going rate" for alternate bobbles compared to regular?

[Blunt36]

From what I hear, something like 1 in 5 bobbles are the "special" ones, right? I'm wondering if there is an accepted rate for trading special for normal bobbles. I'd think 2 for 1, or maybe 3 for 1 but I really have no idea. For example, if I happened to get one of the special ones, and somone else has a few of the regular, what would be considered a fair trade? If I were to ask for 3 normals, would that be pushing it? If they offered me just 2 normals, would that be a lowball offer?

[razzzorsharp]

I have traded 2 for 1 a couple times. Seems fair.

[Warriors76]

It's more like 1 in 9...I know people do trade 2 for 1, but I would never do that. I think that's a steal for the guy getting the rare one. Look what happens down the road...a white 03 Molitor is getting $20-30 and probably won't go much higher. A blue Molitor can take in $150. Maybe that's just me though, I don't sell my bobbles or anything, so when I get a rare one I'm pretty much locked in to keeping it...I woudln't do a 3 for 1 either.

[billyhallfan]

that isn't a fair comparison warriors, though the numbers may not match up, 2 for 1 value wise is fair, most of the bobbles go for around $10 or $15, and most of the alternates go around $30 - $35

 

There are 5,000 alternates

There are 40,000 regulars,

 

That seems to be 1 in 8, but that also isn't accurate because it is certain boxes of what they are in, they aren't in every box.

[Warriors76]

Right, I'm not arguing that it's fair. Right now it's fair. Five years from now do you think two white Princes for a retro Prince will be fair? I doubt it, that's why I can never make those deals. Someone was offering me a blue Cooper for the Huntsville Prince...which really, is not a bad deal at all. But I just can't believe that down the road that Prince won't be going for much more than the $25 it is now. Also 40+5 = 45,000, so it's 1/9. If it were 35,000 whites and 5,000 retros that would be 1/8. And I really think those are pretty much accurate odds. The odds are an basically an average. You can have 30 people go in and not get a retro, but 10 people in a row will get one...in the end the odds are 1/9...odds are odds, they're not an exact science. Just because they're not in every box, that's still 1/9 odds.

[billyhallfan]

and clearly I don't know how to do math...i guess I see your point, but if I am buying one off of a guy at a game, or trading for one, I'm not going to trade or pay what it might be 5 years later, but I get what you're saying.

 

bottom line, it is just finding the right person to deal with.