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7/20/2004: Brewers (Davis) @ Reds (Claussen)


brettac1

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As a note, the Reds are batting .229 as a team vs. lefties, with an OPS of .693. Wily Mo Pena (of course), is hitting .358 (19-53) with an OPS of 1.072 against southpaws. The Brewers, on the other hand, are hitting .243 with an OPS of .717. Wes Helms is the number one hitter vs. lefties, hitting an impressive .345, albeit with only 29 AB's and 10 hits, with an .855 OPS. My guess would be a low scoring affair, with the Crew coming out on top, but who the hell can stop Wily Mo Pena??? Possibly Doug Davis, who has held him 0-5 with 2 K's.
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If you look at the numbers, though, their only left-handed hitter who really sucks against lefties is Jenkins (.198 ) , while Overbay is hitting .309 and Podsednik is hitting better (.257, .789) against lefties than righties (.253, .712). Counsell is hitting only .200 (.579), but will most likely have the day off - Hall also hits only .200 (.526). The biggest problem is the "right-handed hitter that hits lefties well", Brady Clark, is hitting only .245 (OPS .610), and the C's are both hitting .150 and under with sub-.500 OPS'. So, most likely, what little run production they get today will come from Overbay, Helms (.345), and Ginter (.294). Hopefully they can get those runs early an get to a right-handed reliever.
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A left handed pitcher takes Grieve out of the lineup and makes Jenkins flail helplessly. Podsednik has historically done slightly worse against lefties, but not by a great deal. Counsell is pretty much unaffected. Overbay has done slightly worse against leftis, but seeing he is the only offense the Brewers have, any reduction isn't good.
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Grieve has struggled mightily at the plate lately, 3 for his last 21, while Clark has been heating up, 8 for his last 22. Clark's average is at .267 (.733), while Grieve stands at .271 (.780). So, I have no problem with Ned playing the hot hand. Grieve is my favorite Brewer, but he's been slumping lately.
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For anyone interested in some info on today's Reds starter. Here is what the Official Reds Game Notes has to say about the Claussen kid.

 

While With Louisville: When his promotion was announced he

led the International League in strikeouts (111), was tied for the IL lead in walks allowed (47) and ranked T4th in victories (8)...led the Bats? pitching staff in wins, walks and strikeouts...in his last 7 starts for the Bats went 5-2, 2.68...in his last 3 starts went 2-1, 1.45...produced season highs of 7.0ip (6/14 vs Scranton/Wilkes-Barre) and 12 strikeouts (7/7 vs Ottawa)...in the 10-5 victory on 6/14 vs Scranton/Wilkes-Barre didn?t allow a hit...left that start after 7.0 innings because of pitch count restrictions.

 

Grapefruit League Action: During spring training for the Reds went 0-2, 5.79 in 3 starts and 2 relief apps (14ip, 20h, 5bb, 14k)...in his 3 exhibition starts went 0-2, 5.40 (10ip, 15h, 3bb, 10k)...was optioned to Louisville on 3/28.

 

Last Pitched: For Louisville on Thu vs Syracuse, started and suffered the 3-1 loss (6ip, 6h, 3er, 1bb, 8k).

 

Last Pitched In The Major Leagues: Made his only other Major League appearance on 6/28 of last season, for the Yankees started and earned the 9-8 victory against the Mets at Shea Stadium (6.1ip, 8h, 2r, 1er, 1bb, 4k, 1hr)...was the nightcap of an unusual day/night, Yankee Stadium/Shea Stadium doubleheader....took a shutout into the sixth inning before the Mets produced an unearned run...in the seventh

allowed a solo HR to Roger Cedeno, his final batter...at the plate went 1-for-4 with an RBI-single off Dan Wheeler.

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Wow. Ned is going with a real right focused line-up. Jenkins gets a day off, moving Clark into the #3 hole

 

Milwaukee

S. Podsednik cf .254

C. Magruder lf .333

B. Clark rf .267

L. Overbay 1b .345

W. Helms 3b .265

B. Hall ss .249

K. Ginter 2b .253

C. Moeller c .228

D. Davis p .000

 

Cincinnati

R. Freel 3b .279

J. Castro ss .272

S. Casey 1b .338

A. Dunn lf .263

D. Jimenez 2b .271

W. Pena rf .299

J. LaRue c .236

J. Romano cf .111

B. Claussen p .000

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I swear if Claussen shuts down the Crew today i'm gonna shoot something. I know he is a pretty good prospect and all but his ERA was over 4.50 in AAA, if the brewers can't score some runs, lets try and get those people on those AAA teams that actually can.
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