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Game Thread (5/30/2022 - Game 1): Brewers (Small) at Cubs (Swarmer) - 12:05 PM CDT


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25 minutes ago, Cool Hand Lucroy said:

When can we start talking about Hader's HOF case? He's a one-man revolution.

Here’s how Josh stacks up among some of the best relievers of recent vintage over their first 300 IP or so…

Hader | 297 IP | 50 ERA- | 59 FIP- | 12.3 rWAR | 9.7 fWAR | +15.39 WPA

Mariano | 326 IP | 44 ERA- | 61 FIP- | 14.6 rWAR | 9.5 fWAR | +15.08 WPA

Hoffman | 287 IP | 78 ERA- | 81 FIP- | 6.7 rWAR | 5.0 fWAR | +8.48 WPA

Wagner | 280 IP | 65 ERA- | 67 FIP- | 8.6 rWAR | 7.4 fWAR | +5.74 WPA

Chapman | 319 IP | 56 ERA- | 50 FIP- | 10.9 rWAR | 11.3 fWAR | +10.84 WPA

Kimbrel | 289 IP | 38 ERA- | 41 FIP- | 12.3 rWAR | 11.0 fWAR | +12.01 WPA

Kenley | 287 IP | 62 ERA- | 53 FIP- | 8.6 rWAR | 9.2 fWAR | +8.67 WPA

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Using 1986 as a somewhat arbitrary starting point (first year I remember baseball), here is how Josh ranks so far among all relievers (min. 250 IP)…

50 ERA- (3rd) behind Mariano (46) and Britton (47).

59 FIP- (6th) tied with Gagne/Kenley behind Smoltz (53), Aroldis (55), Kimbrel/Betances (56), Giles (58).

194 K%+ (3rd) tied with Chapman behind Kimbrel (197) and Dibble (213).

56 AVG+ (1st) Kimbrel is 2nd at 64, which is a pretty huge gap.

121 LOB%+ (1st) another pretty big gap over 2nd, Hideki Okajima at 116 with Mariano, Wagner, Koji Uehara and Darren O’Day at 115.

If we narrow it to just 2021-22 since Josh has really mastered the slider he is at 73 IP | 23 ERA- | 39 FIP- | 193 K%+ |  48 AVG+ | 129 LOB%+, so a pretty clear notch above his early career.

Also has trimmed his HR9+ to 30 over the last two years vs the dead on league average 100 HR9+ he posted from 2017-20.

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