Game Thread (5/24/2022): Brewers (Burnes) at Padres (Snell) - 8:40 PM CDT

[Ron Robinsons Beard]

9 minutes ago, sveumrules said:

Sure, one blow up outing could push his season line closer to replacement level, but his current ERA- is 79 so he’s got some breathing room.

The projections aren’t quite as volatile though. Even before the season started ZiPS had him down for a 3.83 ERA | 87 ERA-.

StatCast has him at an xERA of 3.07 & his SIERA is 3.47, so those computers don’t think his results this year have been overly luck reliant so far.

Guess it just blows my mind a lil bit there was a whole Free Luke Barker Movement last year with a 2.35 ERA | 11.3 K9 | 1.5 BB9 | 1.3 HR9 line in Nashville, while Milner put up an even better Nashville line of 1.69 ERA | 13.5 K9 | 0.6 BB9 | 0.6 HR9 & has followed that up with a solid start to 2022 at the MLB level, but is still reflexively viewed as some kind of replacement level mop up guy.

I'm not a Barker guy either. I'm afraid his 90 mph heater would get eaten alive at the MLB level. That's the same reason I'm not on the Milner bandwagon. He's basically a junkballing side-armer. Those types can be effective in short doses, but rarely if ever have any sort of sustained success. Once the league figures them out, they are typically shelled and relegated back to the minors. See Dillard, Tim.

[sveumrules]

20 minutes ago, Ron Robinsons Beard said:

I'm not a Barker guy either. I'm afraid his 90 mph heater would get eaten alive at the MLB level. That's the same reason I'm not on the Milner bandwagon. He's basically a junkballing side-armer. Those types can be effective in short doses, but rarely if ever have any sort of sustained success. Once the league figures them out, they are typically shelled and relegated back to the minors. See Dillard, Tim.

Dillard was a righty & never put up numbers in the minors close to Milner.

Tim’s best AAA season was 10.1 K9 | 3.2 BB9 | 3.12 K/BB with a career 6.0 K9 | 3.1 BB9 | 1.93 K/BB in 908 career AAA IP vs only 84 MLB IP. That is what replacement level or AAAA looks like.

Hoby’s best AAA season was 13.5 K9 | 0.6 BB9 | 24.0 K/BB with an 11.9 K9 | 2.0 BB9 | 6.03 K/BB in 178 career AAA IP vs 94 MLB IP.