2021-09-21: Cardinals (Woodford) at Brewers (Woodruff) [Brewers lose, 2-1 -- Crew offense continues to struggle, Solid Woodruff start goes for naught]

[Eye Black]

 

 

Brandon Woodruff: Batter (Cardinals) vs Pitching Stats

 

Jake Woodford: Batter (Brewers) vs Pitching Stats

 

 

Statcast Game Preview for Cardinals-Brewers

 

Statcast Game Feed for Cardinals-Brewers

[MrTPlush]

The fact Brandon Woodruff is 9-9 is slightly disturbing.

[Ron Robinsons Beard]

Other than Old Man Wainright, this Cardinals rotation resembles the crap that the Brewers ran out there in the late '90s-early '00s. There is absolutely no reason why the offense shouldn't be able to score runs on this team. Let's get a couple of these over the next few days, put this division stuff to bed, then start gearing up for the playoffs. I certainly wouldn't mind playing spoiler for the Cardinals, but that requires one of those other teams in the WC hunt to actually step up.

[sveumrules]

The fact Brandon Woodruff is 9-9 is slightly disturbing.

 

Tough luck for Woody for sure, though the bullpen & late offense have picked it up somewhat going 7-3 in his non-decisions.

 

I'd looked up the runs scored by inning already on the season, but hadn't noticed the batting order splits & thought they were pretty interesting too.

 

Runs Scored By Inning w/ MLB Rank...

 

1st: (84 R | 15th) 2nd: (76 R | 13th) 3rd: (62 R | 26th) 4th: (71 R | 20th) 5th: (70 R | 19th) 6th: (94 R | 4th) 7th: (83 R | 8th) 8th: (73 R | 14th) 9th: (56 R | 8th)

 

It's almost like our offense for the first five innings is the pre-Adames trade version & then from the sixth inning on they become the post-trade version.

 

OPS By Batting Order Position w/ sOPS+

 

1st: (763 | 100) 2nd: (744 | 92) 3rd: (764 | 92) 4th: (780 | 99) 5th: (719 | 95) 6th: (780 | 117) 7th: (754 | 118) 8th: (656 | 98)

 

sOPS+ is the same concept as OPS+, but uses the league average for that specific split as the baseline. So a 763 OPS from the leadoff spot is exactly average. Our two through five spots have been below average by one to eight percent. Then the 6th & 7th spots have been well above average relative to other hitters in those same batting order slots.

 

Kind of speaks to the depth of the 2021 lineup/position player group vs 2018/19 where at times it felt like the offense was Yelich & a prayer.

[TURBO]

Other than Old Man Wainright, this Cardinals rotation resembles the crap that the Brewers ran out there in the late '90s-early '00s. There is absolutely no reason why the offense shouldn't be able to score runs on this team. Let's get a couple of these over the next few days, put this division stuff to bed, then start gearing up for the playoffs. I certainly wouldn't mind playing spoiler for the Cardinals, but that requires one of those other teams in the WC hunt to actually step up.

 

 

Or, we can sweep them from here on out and put that nail in their coffin ourselves!

[willie key]

Other than Old Man Wainright, this Cardinals rotation resembles the crap that the Brewers ran out there in the late '90s-early '00s. There is absolutely no reason why the offense shouldn't be able to score runs on this team. Let's get a couple of these over the next few days, put this division stuff to bed, then start gearing up for the playoffs. I certainly wouldn't mind playing spoiler for the Cardinals, but that requires one of those other teams in the WC hunt to actually step up.

 

 

I’d be happy just to win a game at this point

[Eye Black]

I’d be happy just to win a game at this point

BF.net is giving off some serious Jim Mora vibes right now.

 

 

[Nola Beery]

This is not literally a must win game, but it sure would be very good to win.

[GenoSeligPrieb]

Nice work, sveumrules!

 

May I ask: Did we score a lot of runs in some of those 1st, 2nd and 3rd innings, to skew the overall totals?

 

It would be helpful to know, because WAY too often, the Brewers are dazzled by the SP, the first time through the order, but then we adjust (too often, after falling behind, and more often, to a bum starter with an ERA over 5).

 

If it's available to you....thanks

[Fear The Chorizo]

This would be a nice game to win to put the Brewers on the doorstep of a division title with two more left to play in the series (dying to watch a division title celebration on our home field while the dirty birds can watch and gripe about it) - plus I'm thinking the Reds find a way to get on a roll to finish off the season and it'd be great to get them a game closer to STL in the standings for WC2.

 

Biggest plus aside from winning would be seeing Woodruff go deep into the game with a quality start and some key bats (Adames, Garcia, etc) keep rounding into form tonight.

[BrewCrewForever]

Need a big time start from Woodruff tonight.

[sveumrules]

Nice work, sveumrules!

 

May I ask: Did we score a lot of runs in some of those 1st, 2nd and 3rd innings, to skew the overall totals?

 

It would be helpful to know, because WAY too often, the Brewers are dazzled by the SP, the first time through the order, but then we adjust (too often, after falling behind, and more often, to a bum starter with an ERA over 5).

 

If it's available to you....thanks

 

Clicking around BRef & it looks like this link has a table of how many times they have scored 1 run, 2 runs, 3 runs, etc, in each inning over the course of the season...

 

https://stathead.com/baseball/inning_summary.cgi?year=2021&team_id=MIL&utm_medium=br&utm_source=team-inning-sum&utm_campaign=baseball&__hstc=107817757.06df2a44e3a0168d58bb81526b61cd36.1629481267153.1632245369903.1632250542308.49&__hssc=107817757.13.1632250542308&__hsfp=3520052351

 

Drawing an arbitrary line at 3 runs or more and calling that a Big Inning the Brewers distribution of Big Innings by inning would be as follows...

 

1st Inning: 7 times

2nd Inning 6 times

3rd Inning: 6 times

4th Inning: 8 times

5th Inning: 9 times

6th Inning: 16 times

7th Inning: 13 times

8th Inning: 8 times

9th Inning: 5 times

[KeithStone53151]

I took a few minutes looking at Woodruff's last start against the Cardinals. Gave up 6 runs, obviously not what you want. He gave up 3 doubles early in the game on exit velocities below 83 mph. Those are fairly lucky dumped down the line i'm sure. Also both HR he gave up later in the game were on middle middle offspeed pitches. I'd expect Woodruff to attack with his fastball a lot more today than he did in his last start against them, hopefully he'll have more success this time around.

[KeithStone53151]

That's really not all that surprising. 6th and 7th inning either we're getting a tired starter or a non-elite reliever(s) most of the time.

[GenoSeligPrieb]

Again, thanks, sveuwmrules.

 

I so badly want to end St Louis's winning streak, send a message and all that.

 

Tonight may not actually be a "must-win", but if we lose to them again, they get bolder, and momentum is building. Anything but a sweep.

[jerichoholicninja]

The Cardinals just need to lose. I don't care what the Brewers do.

[markedman5]

Another good right handed bat has returned

 

[Eye Black]

 

[Fear The Chorizo]

Another good right handed bat has returned

 

 

This should mean the end of JBJ's starts even if Cain's not starting.

[markedman5]

Anderson announced as the starter tomorrow

 

Figure they might piggyback him with Ashby

 

[jason21nl]

No Yelich….not disappointed. Sure would like to see a win tonight!

[BruisedCrew]

Nice work, sveumrules!

 

May I ask: Did we score a lot of runs in some of those 1st, 2nd and 3rd innings, to skew the overall totals?

 

It would be helpful to know, because WAY too often, the Brewers are dazzled by the SP, the first time through the order, but then we adjust (too often, after falling behind, and more often, to a bum starter with an ERA over 5).

 

If it's available to you....thanks

 

Clicking around BRef & it looks like this link has a table of how many times they have scored 1 run, 2 runs, 3 runs, etc, in each inning over the course of the season...

 

https://stathead.com/baseball/inning_summary.cgi?year=2021&team_id=MIL&utm_medium=br&utm_source=team-inning-sum&utm_campaign=baseball&__hstc=107817757.06df2a44e3a0168d58bb81526b61cd36.1629481267153.1632245369903.1632250542308.49&__hssc=107817757.13.1632250542308&__hsfp=3520052351

 

Drawing an arbitrary line at 3 runs or more and calling that a Big Inning the Brewers distribution of Big Innings by inning would be as follows...

 

1st Inning: 7 times

2nd Inning 6 times

3rd Inning: 6 times

4th Inning: 8 times

5th Inning: 9 times

6th Inning: 16 times

7th Inning: 13 times

8th Inning: 8 times

9th Inning: 5 times

 

The interesting thing about this is that, for the NL as a whole, the first and second innings produce significantly more big innings than the others. So, the Brewers pattern is not typical of others. You’d have to look game by game to see how many of these late big innings turn games around and how many are piling on against back end relievers in games that are already pretty much won.

 

We can all remember games in which the Brewers broke open a close game with a big inning. The 10 run 8th against the Cubs that turned a 4-4 tie into a 14-4 lead comes Richthofen to mind.

 

I would love to see more big innings early because they can take the pressure off the pitcher, who doesn’t feel like he has to be perfect to keep the team in the game.

[wibadgers23]

No Yelich….not disappointed. Sure would like to see a win tonight!

 

Yeah remember when we were outraged a few years ago when he sat a game against the Cubs. Times have changed.

[IIAY]

Trivia question while we wait for the game to start:

 

Which ONE of these players never had a season in which he led the Brewers in Plate Appearances?

 

Yasmani Grandal

Nori Aoki

Scott Podsednik

Pat Listach

Domingo Santana

Jody Reed

Jonathan Villar

Jean Segura

[Cool Hand Lucroy]

Trivia question while we wait for the game to start:

 

Which ONE of these players never had a season in which he led the Brewers in Plate Appearances?

 

Yasmani Grandal

Nori Aoki

Scott Podsednik

Pat Listach

Domingo Santana

Jody Reed

Jonathan Villar

Jean Segura

 

I'll go with Domingo....