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Remaining Schedules


BruisedCrew
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The Reds are 10-7 so far in August while with over half those games coming against the Twins, Cubs, and Pirates. They are actually under .500 this month when playing teams outside the Pirates. It is just hard for me to get too worked up about them catching us

 

And I realize how poorly this post could age and that it could be material to be bumped later in the year

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The Reds aren’t good enough. They’re a solid to good team but they simply aren’t good enough to play at the rate the Brewers are. Those that were and still are afraid of the collapse, it’s only a matter of time before you’re finally at ease.
"This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.
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Regarding the NL East, I see the Braves running away with that division a bit. The Mets absolutely stink right now and they are in the middle of a brutal schedule. And I just don’t see it with Philly. Maybe they get hot and overtake the Braves but I think Atlanta ends up winning that division with some cushion. A Brewers-Braves NLDS would make for a pretty good matchup I would think.
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It seems like the Reds just hit a wall. They were 10 games over .500 since the end of June but lost ground in the standings. It’s difficult to play at that level and not get rewarded, although their focus now is more on the Padres than the Brewers.
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Regarding the NL East, I see the Braves running away with that division a bit. The Mets absolutely stink right now and they are in the middle of a brutal schedule. And I just don’t see it with Philly. Maybe they get hot and overtake the Braves but I think Atlanta ends up winning that division with some cushion. A Brewers-Braves NLDS would make for a pretty good matchup I would think.

 

I think the NL East is still a 3-team race but it is looking really bad for the Mets right now. In the end I think it will be the Braves but I don't believe they will have that big of a cushion. I think that division goes all the way to the last couple of days before it is decided. Schedule looks to be about even for the Braves and Phillies in September.

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Regarding the NL East, I see the Braves running away with that division a bit. The Mets absolutely stink right now and they are in the middle of a brutal schedule. And I just don’t see it with Philly. Maybe they get hot and overtake the Braves but I think Atlanta ends up winning that division with some cushion. A Brewers-Braves NLDS would make for a pretty good matchup I would think.

 

I think the NL East is still a 3-team race but it is looking really bad for the Mets right now. In the end I think it will be the Braves but I don't believe they will have that big of a cushion. I think that division goes all the way to the last couple of days before it is decided. Schedule looks to be about even for the Braves and Phillies in September.

 

As the sun rises in the East, the Mets falter down the stretch.

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It’s completely possible the Reds don’t lose to the Cubs or Pirates once more the rest of the season. The Cubs played the Reds pretty tough tonight and were still down 4-0 through 6 innings and now it’s 11-0. Not only are these teams bad, but they are in full tank mode trying to get the highest draft pick possible. The Reds must be licking their chops right now.

Yikes! This did not age well.

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Brewer Fanatic Contributor

Reds were at 1.9% to win the division per fangraphs this afternoon. Even on a day they hold serve with the Brewers, their division odds are going to go down, because there's just fewer games to make up ground. Losing to the Cubs (losing an *easy* game off the schedule), and the Brewers pull another game further ahead is pretty killer for the Reds at this point. They had been playing pretty good ball and hadn't made up any ground at all. Now they've lost two in a row to the AAA Iowa Cubs while the Brewers are handling the Cards.

 

I'm not saying it's "over", but I just don't see the Reds as a viable threat at this point.

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To be clear, we want Milwaukee simply with the #2 seed, yes? I have little interest in drawing the wild card winner for the NLDS at this stage.

 

If you assume that the Giants or Dodgers are the Wild Card winner, yah...you probably would prefer whatever NL East team it is. That being said if the Padres became the opponent I think it is pretty much a wash between them and the Braves.

 

Doesn't really matter a whole lot to me. If we are good we should beat anyone. Trying to draw up the easiest way to win on paper just seems like a boring exercise.

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To be clear, we want Milwaukee simply with the #2 seed, yes? I have little interest in drawing the wild card winner for the NLDS at this stage.

You’re saying you’d rather that the Brewers play Atlanta? I don’t think it’s clear at all. What if the NLDS was against wild card winner Cincinnati? What if MKE sweeps the Reds, while ATL and SF play a full series, allowing the Brewers to set up and rest their rotation? So many variables. Just two days ago there was talk about the Reds easy schedule. Things change in the blink of an eye, or a swing of a bat. Very little is clear or simple. Pretty exciting, though.

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To be clear, we want Milwaukee simply with the #2 seed, yes? I have little interest in drawing the wild card winner for the NLDS at this stage.

You’re saying you’d rather that the Brewers play Atlanta? I don’t think it’s clear at all. What if the NLDS was against wild card winner Cincinnati? What if MKE sweeps the Reds, while ATL and SF play a full series, allowing the Brewers to set up and rest their rotation? So many variables. Just two days ago there was talk about the Reds easy schedule. Things change in the blink of an eye, or a swing of a bat. Very little is clear or simple. Pretty exciting, though.

 

Yes, I'd rather play Atlanta. Atlanta doesn't have the pitching to match up well in a 7 game series, and they're without their best player.

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Yah, there isn't a huge benefit to play anyone specific, unless you really think the Reds can catch and fend off the Padres in the standings. I think there is a big assumption the WC winner is the Giants or Dodgers. Not that the Padres aren't good, but I also think people are overly worried about them due to the media darling they can be.

 

The only team you would want to avoid is probably the Dodgers. If we stay the #2 seed and the Giants get the #1 seed that makes two opportunities for the Dodgers to get eliminated before they would get to you. Regardless, there would then be no chance of seeing the Dodgers AND the Giants.

 

But as I said, kind of boring to hope for that. Reality is, it is incredibly likely we will have to go through the Dodgers to get to the World Series. I just don't find baseball to be a huge match-up driven result like the playoffs in NBA/NFL can be. Instead of praying for specific opponents, pray our team gets hot. That is how we will win it all.

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To be clear, I am not suggesting that we root to lose or not try to win as many games as possible. Just saying that if I have the choice between a 1 seed with a likely Dodger/Giants draw in the NLDS and then likely having to face the other in the NLCS, or the 2 seed and a guaranteed NLDS draw with the East winner, I'm taking the latter.

 

Frankly, even if it's the Reds that win the WC I'd rather have the Braves in the NLDS. I don't love divisional matchups in the playoffs as the favorite.

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To be clear, I am not suggesting that we root to lose or not try to win as many games as possible. Just saying that if I have the choice between a 1 seed with a likely Dodger/Giants draw in the NLDS and then likely having to face the other in the NLCS, or the 2 seed and a guaranteed NLDS draw with the East winner, I'm taking the latter.

 

Frankly, even if it's the Reds that win the WC I'd rather have the Braves in the NLDS. I don't love divisional matchups in the playoffs as the favorite.

 

Agreed here. If you had to pick facing Braves/Dodgers with the Dodgers being away series versus Giants/Dodgers with both at home...it's not a difficult decision at all. Option A every time. Also based on how it looks, option A could include both series with home field if the Dodgers end up in the wildcard.

 

All that said, in any scenario, the best thing that can happen outside the Brewers control is the Dodgers losing the wildcard game to the Padres/Reds. Every scenario gets significantly more appealing if that happens.

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