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2021 Draft Pick Discussion, Rounds 11-20


Will be interesting to see how many of these guys sign. It is weird to think the Brewers have drafted more JUCO pitchers than 4-year college pitchers thus far. I wonder if the Brewers weren’t the biggest fans of the depth in this year’s college pitching crop of if the Angels just drafted them all.
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The Brewer Nation

@BrewerNation

 

20s

With the 507th overall pick of the 2021 MLB Draft, the Milwaukee #Brewers select Will Rogers, C, Mounds View HS (MN).

 

Rogers may not get drafted high enough to divert him from college but could develop into a premium prospect at Arizona State. He's a right-handed hitter with solid power and arm strength who needs to polish his hitting and receiving. He helped his cause by performing well at the inaugural MLB Draft Combine.

 

Carlos Collazo

@CarlosACollazo

1m

The guy whose BP impressed me the most at the MLB Draft Combine was Will Rogers. Just barrel after barrel and long line drives and fly balls up the middle. An

@ASU_Baseball commit.

#MLBDraft #Brewers

 

Baseball America

@BaseballAmerica

Jun 24

Keep an eye on Will Rogers (

@willrogers219

He had moved up more than 100 spots in our latest draft rankings.

And he posted some of the best BP exit velos of any prep hitter at the MLB Draft Combine.

Scouting report: https://baseballamerica.com/rankings/2021-mlb-draft-top-prospects/?Position=&Keyword=Will+Rogers

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  umphrey said:
Given the 1 day break I would think they did enough signability homework to have some confidence that they could sign their 11th round pick. If they can sign him it raises this draft for me a lot because it’s another guy in the top 20 prospect discussion.

 

 

Isn't Yelich from Thousands Oaks (like Riggio). Have him reach out to Riggio to make him feel loved and wanted to be part of the Brewers contingent of California Strong.

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Here are some articles on Will Rogers. Sounds like he’s a catcher-first, pitcher-second with good pedigree, but appears excited about attending ASU. We’ll see what happens:

 

https://www.presspubs.com/shoreview/sports/local/state-s-top-baseball-prospect-savoring-last-hometown-season/article_49242b60-bdbb-11eb-a6af-5785142bf510.html

 

https://www.mnbaseballhub.com/news_article/show/1169322

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Holton, Carter

Benedictine Military School (GA)

P

L/L

HS SR

5' 11" 195lbs

DOB:09/04/02

--

player-headshot

Benedictine Military School (Savannah, Ga.) has produced a pair of big leaguers in Hawk Harrelson and Mike Fitzgerald, but the Cadets have never had a pitching prospect of Holton's caliber. He has repeatedly dominated on the showcase circuit and can flash four plus pitches, though he comes with relief risk because of his size. He's the best pitcher in Vanderbilt's recruiting class, but may be more signable than a typical Commodores recruit and could land in the top three rounds. Holton ran his four-seam fastball up to 96 mph last summer at the Perfect Game All-American Classic and usually favors a two-seamer that sits in the low 90s with sink. He has two distinct breaking balls, with scouts slightly preferring his upper-70s slider to his mid-70s curveball, and both pitches have been more consistent this spring. He also has a low-80s changeup with some sink and keeps hitters off balance by mixing his pitches. Holton is doing a better job of staying more under control and pitching with less effort than he did last summer. He has some crossfire in his delivery that adds deception, especially against left-handers. He has a quick arm and throws all of his pitches for strikes, so the only real concern about him remaining a starter is his 5-foot-11, 195-pound frame.

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Carter Holton was apparently holding out for a certain $$ figure in the early rounds, so I guess the Brewers are taking a flyer here in case we fail to sign some other players and have excess cash to win him over. He’s a dominant pitcher first, but also hits well.

 

https://www.wjcl.com/amp/article/former-benedictine-standout-carter-holton-turns-down-mlb-offers-headed-to-vanderbilt/37003250

 

https://www.savannahnow.com/story/sports/high-school/baseball/2021/07/10/carter-holton-benedictine-savannah-2021-major-league-baseball-draft-vanderbilt-pitcher/7906786002/

 

http://baseballprospectjournal.com/carter-holton-presents-intriguing-potential/amp/

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This fits the mold of drafting more than likely un-signables but because you drafted them get to be the team getting to know them deeper for a future draft potential. Would be surprised if the signed 5 or more of these kids. Basically you check on the top 10 you want to sign and work your way down with what you have to offer til 1 or more agree to it. Which is a great thought process in my opinion. Land a kid that you wouldn't have expected signing and likely with the restrictions, for less than expected. Gain your lottery ticket that possesses talent vs filler that fizzles at A ball talent. You save money on the kids that don't sign vs that filler you paid.
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Brewers have been very good about locking up picks up. They pay close attention to the money as they go. Looking at Johnson’s track record, we can probably assume we will get at least 5 of these picks signed.

 

Riggio & Vire will probably top priority & they must know price could fit in budget.

 

 

Avina & Low are very interesting, hope we can at least land one of them

 

 

Rogers & Holton are late flyers on guys you probably can’t sign but build relationship & who knows…. Something goes wrong with Riggio & Vire… throw that money at one & see what happens.

Proud member since 2003 (geez ha I was 14 then)

 

FORMERLY BrewCrewWS2008 and YoungGeezy don't even remember other names used

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From article with interview Avina

 

  Quote
With a spot on the Wolf Pack's roster available to him next season, Avina said his ultimate goal is to be drafted and sign with a pro team in the coming months. It's a dream that has only come into focus as a potential reality in recent months

 

Looks like he is wanting to sign & get started.

Proud member since 2003 (geez ha I was 14 then)

 

FORMERLY BrewCrewWS2008 and YoungGeezy don't even remember other names used

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So our draft card looks like this so far:

 

10 pitchers

4 outfielders

2 short stops

2 2B

2 catchers

1 3B

 

I guess we will just remain in 1B/3B hell for all eternity...

"I'm sick of runnin' from these wimps!" Ajax - The WARRIORS
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From @BrewerNation: #Brewers VP of Domestic Scouting Tod Johnson clarified on Low that they see him primarily as a 1B if he signs and would send him out that way to begin his pro career, but he also hits 97 MPH on the mound so they wanted to use the new "two-way player" designation on him.

 

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SS Kay-Lan Nicasia has cool background

 

  Quote
My name is Kay-lan Nicasia a High school Class 2021 graduate. I am originally from the island of Curacao and I do come from a baseball family, my grandfather and my father played and baseball. I was part of different national teams during the years I played baseball and did represent the island of Curacao proudly. My grandfather was a big coach on the island which had coached current MLB players such as Andrelton Simmons, Didi Gregorious, Kenley Jansen, Jurickson Profar and former MLB pitcher Jair Jurjens. My dad did follow my grandfather footsteps and did take over the baseball organization my Grandfather founded together with my mother and my goal is to get as much knowledge and play at the highest level I could play and to come back to help the younger generation pursuing their dream.

Proud member since 2003 (geez ha I was 14 then)

 

FORMERLY BrewCrewWS2008 and YoungGeezy don't even remember other names used

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  turborickey said:
So our draft card looks like this so far:

 

10 pitchers

4 outfielders

2 short stops

2 2B

2 catchers

1 3B

 

I guess we will just remain in 1B/3B hell for all eternity...

 

1B

Clarke (He will not stick at C but Brewers like to try guys there 1st)

Low (Johnson said mainly first but will try pitching)

 

3B

Black (played 2B because of shoulder surgery but can & has played 3B)

Binelas (May end up at 1B but Johnson said they’d give him every chance)

 

Draft gave couple options

Proud member since 2003 (geez ha I was 14 then)

 

FORMERLY BrewCrewWS2008 and YoungGeezy don't even remember other names used

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The Mendez story is really something. A 28 year old basketball player turned baseball player getting drafted. Throws 97, so who cares how old he is.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

"88.6% of all statistics are made up right there on the spot" Todd Snider

 

-Posted by the fan formerly known as X ellence. David Stearns has brought me back..

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This Perfect Game article from October of 2020 includes lots of good information and quotes from Rico Riggio who played for the Brewers Scout Team including in front of Craig Counsell:

 

51310205198_7b72ccfb1c_c.jpg

 

Brewers Scout Team Out to Enjoy the Ride

 

It’s a very long article so I embedded it in a spoiler window below.

 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Not just “at Night” anymore.
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  Eye Black said:
The Angels used all 20 draft picks on pitchers, 19 of which were college pitchers. That seems incredible.

 

Oh but that is not all...

 

- Cleveland drafted 19 pitchers out of its 21 selections, & 18 of the 19 pitchers were college players.

 

- The Dodgers didn't draft a position player until the 16th round and selected 17 pitchers out of 19 picks. The first two of those were high school pitchers, but the rest were college or junior college selections.

 

- The Giants selected pitchers with their first nine selections, with eight of those coming from the collegiate ranks.

 

- Tampa Bay selected 13 pitchers out of 21 selections..

 

 

Not sure about the other organizations but CLE has been position player heavy in its last few International signing classes. Going pitching heavy in this draft helps to balance that out..

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  turborickey said:
So our draft card looks like this so far:

 

10 pitchers

4 outfielders

2 short stops

2 2B

2 catchers

1 3B

 

I guess we will just remain in 1B/3B hell for all eternity...

 

You know there are more ways to get prospects than the draft, right

"Dustin Pedroia doesn't have the strength or bat speed to hit major-league pitching consistently, and he has no power......He probably has a future as a backup infielder if he can stop rolling over to third base and shortstop." Keith Law, 2006
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  MadThinker88 said:

Not sure about the other organizations but CLE has been position player heavy in its last few International signing classes. Going pitching heavy in this draft helps to balance that out..

 

This makes sense, and fits with previous comments from the organization. About 4-6 weeks ago there was an article on the Indians' success developing pitchers, but struggles with hitters. Basically, they feel they can target certain pitchers and make him better with their pitching lab and analytics, but they have no clue how to guarantee success with developing a hitter.

 

One key is that if they can always develop pitching and trade the surplus for hitters.

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Looking at the Brewers draft, I assume that their strategy (and if so, a good one) is that by going college early (and possible under-slot signs) they have the flexibility to use that remaining bonus pool on any of the 11-20 HS picks. Yes, they could have taken the HS picks in earlier rounds where there were bigger slot values, but then that bonus slot can only be used by that player. This way, if, say, their 11th round pick doesn't want to sign for what they have available they can shift that bonus pool to their 12th/13th/14th/etc pick. Also puts pressure on the kids to sign if they want to by a "first come, first serve" approach to available bonus pool. Shifts the balance of power to the Brewers and away from the draft pick.
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