2021 Brewers Optimism Thread

[pacopete4]

This is the optimism thread. Let's not waste it on complaining about negative posters

 

Mine wasn’t a complaint. It was a positive thing. They’ve disappeared and will stay away until a rough patch. That’s a great thing!

[Nola Beery]

Sweep the Reds, on the road, score 26 runs, seven game Division lead.

 

Gotta bump the Optimism thread back to the top.

 

The Brewers lost games by 2-0, 4-3 and 3-1 margins last weekend, and there were a few here ready to crown the Reds. Well, the Brewers just beat them three times by 11-6, 7-4 and 8-0 margins.

 

They just swept a team that we were told by several members here is MUCH better than them after those close losses. Did the Brewers get that much better in a week? Or was it just baseball?

 

Guilty of pessimism and a lack of perspective. But I repent! A very impressive weekend by the crew. It's still a long season, but that was a strong statement of intentions.

[reillymcshane]

What I like about the offense is that it's much more solid. It's not great, but it's solid, and the black holes of April are going away.

 

- Narvaez, Wong, Adames - all hitting .290+. That's great.

- Urias has steadily gotten better. I could see him at .260ish and 20 HRs by season's end. That's pretty solid. Same with Avi Garcia. If he's hitting .260 with 25 HR - that's a decent player.

- I have to believe Yelich will improve. He's not worthless - just nothing special. But I have to think he'll get better.

- JBJ should keep getting better as well. His defense has been really good, but the bat should (please) improve. Even if he hits .230-.240 the rest of the way out - he's decent.

- Cain's return will - hopefully - be a good thing. Like Bradley, he doesn't have to hit a ton to be of value.

- Peterson (.800 OPS) and Taylor (.760 OPS) have been really good bench players. I'm feel good with them playing.

 

That mostly leaves 1B as a question mark. Let's hope someone steps up.

 

But all in all, the is a solid line up. Not without question marks, but above average in several spots, solid most much of the rest of the way. With our pitching - that's a winning formula.

[Underachiever]

The Brewers will not have to face the Royals in the World Series.

[markedman5]

Brewers are finishing games well……….Rays and Padres are the best but Brewers a strong 4th

 

[brewcrewdue80]

Brewers are finishing games well……….Rays and Padres are the best but Brewers a strong 4th

 

 

St Louis in that graph is next to Arizona. 87 runs only vs our 141. Think I read somebody nervous that St. Louis was possibly going to take a run should they beat up on Cincy this current series. Think we are approaching running away with this division by 15+games.

[OldHeidelberg]

Woodruff leads all of MLB in ERA, Burnes is 2nd, Peralta 5th.

[jjfanec]

Woodruff leads all of MLB in ERA, Burnes is 2nd, Peralta 5th.

 

If Lauer is one of our true top 5 starters our worst era is Houser at 3.88. The 2018 team only Chacin at 3.5 and Miley who only pitched 80 innings who hatter Eras than houser. This rotation is special

[MoreTrife]

Woodruff leads all of MLB in ERA, Burnes is 2nd, Peralta 5th.

 

Does degrom not qualify?

[jjfanec]

Woodruff leads all of MLB in ERA, Burnes is 2nd, Peralta 5th.

 

Does degrom not qualify?

 

No but he really should. He is not that many innings behind Burnes, Woodruff and Peralta

[DuWayne Steurer]

If Degrom comes back reasonably soon, he'll get enough innings, I would think.

[OldHeidelberg]

Lynn has a better era than Woody and should qualify today. But I expect him to get pounded.

[IIAY]

Through 100 games, the 2021 team is tied for the second-best record in Brewers history:

 

1979: 60-40

2021: 58-42

1978: 58-42

1982: 58-42

 

Perhaps more importantly, it is only the sixth time the Brewers have been in first place after 100 games, and the 6.5 game lead is the largest lead in Brewers history:

 

2021: 6.5 game lead

2007: 3.0 game lead

2017: 1.0 game lead

1982: 0.5 game lead

2014: 0.5 game lead

2011: Tied for first

[rickh150]

Brewers became 1st NL team to strikeout 1000 batters before 100 games completed.

 

https://www.mlb.com/news/milwaukee-brewers-stat-of-the-day-july-2021

[josh]

Through 100 games, the 2021 team is tied for the second-best record in Brewers history:

 

1979: 60-40

2021: 58-42

1978: 58-42

1982: 58-42

 

Perhaps more importantly, it is only the sixth time the Brewers have been in first place after 100 games, and the 6.5 game lead is the largest lead in Brewers history:

 

2021: 6.5 game lead

2007: 3.0 game lead

2017: 1.0 game lead

1982: 0.5 game lead

2014: 0.5 game lead

2011: Tied for first

 

This is fabulous.

 

Weird that you left that empty line between 1982 and 2011, though. Weird.

[jjfanec]

Through 100 games, the 2021 team is tied for the second-best record in Brewers history:

 

1979: 60-40

2021: 58-42

1978: 58-42

1982: 58-42

 

Perhaps more importantly, it is only the sixth time the Brewers have been in first place after 100 games, and the 6.5 game lead is the largest lead in Brewers history:

 

2021: 6.5 game lead

2007: 3.0 game lead

2017: 1.0 game lead

1982: 0.5 game lead

2014: 0.5 game lead

2011: Tied for first

 

Up to 7 after 100 now! If the brewers play .500 ball 31-31 the Reds would have to go 38-24 to catch them. The Cards at 8 back would have to go 39-23. It is just hard for me to see either team making that run. The only benefit the Cards have is they play the Brewers 13 times before the season is over. The problem for them is that their team isnt very good.

[Lathund]

Since the intent to crack down on foreign substances was announced (the crackdown itself happened a few weeks later, but the effect on spin rates coud be seen immediately) on June 3rd, Brewers have the best ERA in MLB. By a lot; 0.4 runs/game. They also have the best FIP/xFIP in that time. Being able to handle that transition so well is a very positive sign.

[MrTPlush]

We are closing in on the trade deadline and the Cardinals are .500 and the Reds are barely over. Neither team is going to make any moves to try and close the gap...it would be dumb. On the flip side the Brewers will be highly motivated to make additions for a World Series run.

 

The Brewers just don't seem like a team built to fall off the face of the earth and implode badly enough to lose the division. The Brewers are good and the rest of the division is not. The stats show that as do the standings. That will become even more obvious/worse at the deadline.

[IIAY]

We are closing in on the trade deadline and the Cardinals are .500 and the Reds are barely over. Neither team is going to make any moves to try and close the gap...it would be dumb. On the flip side the Brewers will be highly motivated to make additions for a World Series run.

 

The Brewers just don't seem like a team built to fall off the face of the earth and implode badly enough to lose the division. The Brewers are good and the rest of the division is not. The stats show that as do the standings. That will become even more obvious/worse at the deadline.

 

Also, under the Stearns/Counsell regime, the Brewers have always had a higher winning percentage in their last 62 games than they did in their first 100.

 

Year: First 100/Last 62*

2016: .440/.468

2017: .530/.532

2018: .560/.635

2019: .520/.597

 

*included game 163 in 2018, because that game was kind of important

 

Like MrTPlush, I just don't see this team falling apart down the stretch.

[bork]

Assuming Williams replaces Perdomo today, there are really no holes in the pitching staff. 13 out of 14 with a sub 4 ERA. 9 with a sub 3 ERA.

[pacopete4]

Assuming Williams replaces Perdomo today, there are really no holes in the pitching staff. 13 out of 14 with a sub 4 ERA. 9 with a sub 3 ERA.

 

Who would ever of thought we’d see something like this as Brewers fans?!! Incredible.

[tmwiese55]

Well I was surprised when I saw that stat and went to look up Suter's ERA, never would've guessed it was that solid. Yet another positive.

[jjfanec]

Assuming Williams replaces Perdomo today, there are really no holes in the pitching staff. 13 out of 14 with a sub 4 ERA. 9 with a sub 3 ERA.

 

That is an incredible stat especially considering we traded a few bullpen arms during the season and guys like Bickford having success on new teams as well.

[wibadgers23]

Topa should be back soon too and I have a good feeling about him.

[bork]

Assuming Williams replaces Perdomo today, there are really no holes in the pitching staff. 13 out of 14 with a sub 4 ERA. 9 with a sub 3 ERA.

 

Who would ever of thought we’d see something like this as Brewers fans?!! Incredible.

 

Yeah, how many years were we lucky to have 1 starter with a sub 4 ERA?