Goodbye, Old Windmill

[owbc]

There are a lot of "good sends" that end up in the baserunner getting thrown out by 10 ft.

 

The odds of scoring a runner from 3B with 2 outs is around 33%.

 

So you should always send on 50/50 shots with 2 outs.

 

With < 2 outs, if you are doing things right you should still end up with a fair number of outs at home plate over the course of a season.

[Outlander]

lost in the shuffle is that Marcus Hamel is no longer a BP catcher.

Feel bad for Hanel but also the charity Koos for Kids that he is so heavily involved with. There was a charity event every year where the vast majority of players and coaches attended and gave autographs/took pictures and I'm sure generated a ton of revenue for the charity.

[balsamlaker]

With all the stats out there in baseball, I am actually surprised there is not one regarding players getting thrown out at home.

[sveumrules]

With all the stats out there in baseball, I am actually surprised there is not one regarding players getting thrown out at home.

 

BRef keeps track of a lot of baserunning minutiae, though only so much can be gleaned from the raw totals without additional context...

 

https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB/2020-baserunning-batting.shtml

 

In the shortened season, we made the fewest outs on the bases (7), with only three coming at home plate, 6th fewest. Sound pretty good, right?

 

Stealing bases, our 58% SB success rate was the worst in MLB. We took an extra base 35% of the time, 5th lowest. We grounded into 53 double plays, thee most.

 

Add it all up & Fangraphs had us dead last on the bases at -17.6 runs, next worst was the Mets at -11.1, that's a pretty massive gap for 60 games. BRef had it a little closer at -13 to -12, but 3rd worst was up at -6 so again a sizable gap.

 

Would not be surprised at all if our acquisitions this offseason are geared towards guys who can contribute positive value on the bases.

[balsamlaker]

This makes the additional of Berry to the major league staff make sense. Position-by-position there is not an abundance of speed on this team, though.

[Underachiever]

With all the stats out there in baseball, I am actually surprised there is not one regarding players getting thrown out at home.

 

BRef keeps track of a lot of baserunning minutiae, though only so much can be gleaned from the raw totals without additional context...

 

https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB/2020-baserunning-batting.shtml

 

In the shortened season, we made the fewest outs on the bases (7), with only three coming at home plate, 6th fewest. Sound pretty good, right?

 

Stealing bases, our 58% SB success rate was the worst in MLB. We took an extra base 35% of the time, 5th lowest. We grounded into 53 double plays, thee most.

 

Add it all up & Fangraphs had us dead last on the bases at -17.6 runs, next worst was the Mets at -11.1, that's a pretty massive gap for 60 games. BRef had it a little closer at -13 to -12, but 3rd worst was up at -6 so again a sizable gap.

 

Would not be surprised at all if our acquisitions this offseason are geared towards guys who can contribute positive value on the bases.

This Brewer team was slow, especially in the infield. I have said it in game threads and other places, but I think it contributed to a lot of things: holding runners at third, the stats that Sveumrules noted above, and also the number of infield hits that the Brewers gave up.

[CheezWizHed]

Yep. Completely subjective. To my knowledge there is no one out there 'grading' 3B coaches to even try to determine A)Their value in runs added/subtracted, or B)Their value relative to other 3B coaches. As such, they're a lightning rod that fan bases love to complain about. Their current guy is the absolute worst.... until they watch the next guy, and he's the absolute worst. Very similar to complaining about managers, IMO.

 

I'd actually be surprised if no one is crunching those numbers. They just don't make for interesting reading for use arm-chair GMs.

[dlk9s]

Replace all 3B coaches with windmills for any situation that isn't an obvious stop or an obivous send, and scoring will increase.

 

Also, tons of birds will die and some players will get cancer.

[nate82]

When a player is sent from third and whether they score isn't determined by solely by the coach waiving them around. I'm sure there is insider information on whose arms have to be respected and who you can run on. But even in those situations, sometimes a fielder gets off an excellent throw with perfect aim and the runner is out by a mile on what should have been a run scored. Or the cut-off man saves a run with an excellent relay play. They get no credit and take all the blame, but a 3rd base coach isn't just some guy out there waiving them around subjectively as he sees fit.

 

From 2010 on Baseball Prospectus says this about 3B coaches:

 

Thus, the ideal third-base coach is a sign on a stick featuring the words “If the gentleman currently holding the ball is an outfielder, please turn left and run an additional 90 feet.”

 

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/10073/hot-stove-u-why-all-third-base-coaches-should-be-fired/

 

I believe Sedar was in the 90% success rate which means he didn't send enough maybe he needs a nickname change to stop sign.

[brewcrewdue80]

With all the stats out there in baseball, I am actually surprised there is not one regarding players getting thrown out at home.

 

BRef keeps track of a lot of baserunning minutiae, though only so much can be gleaned from the raw totals without additional context...

 

https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB/2020-baserunning-batting.shtml

 

In the shortened season, we made the fewest outs on the bases (7), with only three coming at home plate, 6th fewest. Sound pretty good, right?

 

Stealing bases, our 58% SB success rate was the worst in MLB. We took an extra base 35% of the time, 5th lowest. We grounded into 53 double plays, thee most.

 

Add it all up & Fangraphs had us dead last on the bases at -17.6 runs, next worst was the Mets at -11.1, that's a pretty massive gap for 60 games. BRef had it a little closer at -13 to -12, but 3rd worst was up at -6 so again a sizable gap.

 

Would not be surprised at all if our acquisitions this offseason are geared towards guys who can contribute positive value on the bases.

 

A lot of that low outs on the bases is simply the poor batting. 26th-21st-23rd team ranks for BA, OB, OPS. DPs and SB% also contribute to how putrid the team was offensively. (And why everyone hated watching this year's team play) That all said, gotta believe why Sedar left us like he didnt windmill this year is full lack of times to.