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Eligible for the Rule 5 Draft - Fall 2020


Mass Haas

Figured there was a decent chance Brown was getting added, but "only" these 3 weren't at all a surprising selection. I think Henry will be safe in the draft regardless. The last time teams saw him he was in Hi-A, where he put up solid offensive numbers (107 wRC+) but with a 30% strikeout rate. Brewers were one of the teams who didn't share data from their alternate site. He seems to be an adequate defender behind the plate, but he's not a defensive wizard and his bat in all likelyhood isn't MLB-ready at all. In other words, he'll be a tough player to keep on a MLB roster for an entire season, even with a 26-man roster. Good chance he gets returned if picked IMO. I like him as a prospect, just don't think he's someone who teams will use a rule 5 pick on.

 

IMO guys like Jankins, QTC or Barker are players I think teams wouldn't mind having on the AAA shuttle; but not having the, eh, option to option them is why so many guys like them are passed over in the rule 5 draft. Brown I expected to be taken last year and I was wrong, so not gonna predict anything.

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Legitimately surprised by Brown not getting a spot. Brown and Bettinger are the same age. If Bettinger and File were better, one of them should have been on the playoff taxi squad, and if Brown was better, he should have been added today. I hope they aren't just being cute figuring that if he passed through last year he will again this year.

 

As for Barker, if he isn't on the AAA protected list, I wonder if it is a Farris situation (Didn't they do the same for someone else, maybe Gindl or Halton?). He's an older prospect and after not being asked to the alternate site this year (or as an NRI in spring training if I remember correctly) he might have asked the Brewers to leave him exposed if he wasn't in their plans. Depending on how things shake out they could have four 40-man guys plus Andrews, who was at the alternate site, in the AAA bullpen this season.

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Legitimately surprised by Brown not getting a spot. Brown and Bettinger are the same age.

 

Wasn’t Brown left unprotected last year and not selected?

 

He was, but the Brewers apparently thought enough of him to have him on the taxi squad for the playoffs, the other teams know that too, and he was a fairly well-regarded prospect before his disastrous 2019. As I said before, if he was the best of the three last year, don't get cute and assume that he'll pass through again. If he wasn't, then why not take Bettinger or File as the taxi squad starter?

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Updated list of what we believe to be the Brewers farmhands eligible to be plucked in Rule 5 today:

 

Alphabetical within level (highest level reached)

 

SAN ANTONIO:

 

RHP Luke Barker

RHP Zack Brown

RHP Bubba Derby

3B Lucas Erceg

3B/1B Zach Green

RHP Thomas Jankins

RHP Miguel Sanchez

LHP Quintin Torres-Costa

OF Jamie Westbrook

 

BILOXI:

 

1B/OF Ryan Aguilar

RHP Jesus Castillo

1B Luis Castro

RHP Luis Contreras

RHP Bowden Francis

OF/C Cooper Hummel

OF Alexander Palma

1B Chad Spanberger

IF/OF Weston Wilson

 

CAROLINA:

 

LHP Cody Beckman

RHP Matt Hardy

C Payton Henry

RHP Robbie Hitt

RHP Alec Kenilvort

LHP Nathan Kirby

RHP Braden Webb

 

WISCONSIN:

 

OF Pablo Abreu

RHP Freisis Adames

INF Yeison Coca

RHP Jake Cousins

C Brent Diaz

3B Gabriel Garcia

OF Jesus Lujano

1B/OF Chad McClanahan

SS Antonio Pinero

 

ROCKY MOUNTAIN / MARYVALE:

 

RHP Daniel Acosta

RHP Harold Chirino

RHP Brayan Salaya

C Jose Sibrian

RHP Nash Walters

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Well, the maneuvering is in, here's the current AAA level roster of the organization, each player listed is eligible to be taken in the MLB Rule 5 and is also protected from the minor league phase of Rule 5.

 

Specific to positioning, just yesterday, 2015 Competitive Balance Pick (post-first round) LHP Nathan Kirby was specifically moved to Biloxi's roster, and RHP Bubba Derby (Khris Davis deal with Oakland along with Jacob Nottingham) was also placed on Biloxi's roster, direct from San Antonio's. Thus, both are eligible to be plucked in the minor league phase of Rule 5. Remember IF/OF Eric Farris years ago? The Brewers somewhat surprisingly exposed Farris to the Minor League Phase in 2012 (he had already played in the big leagues with the Crew, but had been outrighted and the Brewers still owned his rights). Doug Melvin later explained it was a "favor" as opposed to a release, and the Mariners did select Farris, although he never again played at the MLB level.

 

Do you know who was not moved this week to the San Antonio roster from where he had been, on the Biloxi roster? RHP Luke Barker. If he's not, he literally could be plucked in the minor league phase for short money and no limitations. Either that, or that's one heck of an oversight by MiLB's webmasters.

 

Others not listed on the AAA roster today were almost all lower-level youngsters, but you still may see one or two plucked away in the minor league phase.

 

Recent minor league free agent signing Jamie Westbrook

Recent re-signing RHP Alec Kenilvort, coming off Tommy John

and the young'uns

RHP Daniel Acosta

RHP Henry Medina

 

Now remember, MiLB's pages aren't perfect, they still list Ryon Healy on the AAA roster, and we know he elected free agency weeks ago and is now set to play in Korea. Infielder Angel Ortega is listed, but he's on the restricted list after not reporting to begin 2018.

 

These transactions were copied from MiLB.com on the day the Brewers adjusted rosters:

 

11/19/2020 LHP Nathan Kirby assigned to Biloxi Shuckers from Carolina Mudcats.

11/19/2020 RHP Bubba Derby assigned to Biloxi Shuckers from San Antonio Missions.

 

Oh, and here's an update on Luke Barker's status:

 

Yes, it was an oversight, as noted as a possibility above. I've been able to confirm that Barker is indeed protected on the AAA level, meaning he's still a definite candidate to be plucked by a major league team in Rule 5, but he won't be virtually given away in the minor league phase.

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I saw this name on the Rule 5 eligible list........Number 4 pick in the draft only a few years ago........bust city

13. Riley Pint, RHP, Rockies

Pint is the closest thing this class has to a pig in a poke. He has a recognizable name (the byproduct of being drafted fourth overall in 2016) as well as big-time stuff and late-inning potential. "Potential" is a spectrum and not a binary, however, and the chances of Pint reaching his ceiling appear remote. He had 55 combined walks, hit batsmen, and wild pitches in 17 2/3 innings in 2019, or more than one command-related oopsie per recorded out. Pint isn't able to repeat his release point, and his delivery imparts some nasty torque on his head that causes his neck to twist in a fashion previously imagined only by William Peter Blatty. He's almost certainly more than a few weeks with a different organization away from putting things together.

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Lots of teams taking players in the Rule 5 this year (12 of the first 14 teams took someone), but the Brewers at #15 have passed in the major league portion of the draft.

 

EDIT: 18 total players were taken in the major league portion of the Rule 5 Draft.

 

Here is the now completed the major league portion of the Rule 5 Draft (two teams took a second player):

 

1. Pittsburgh Pirates -- Jose Soriano, RHP (Angels)

2. Texas Rangers -- Brett de Geus, RHP (Dodgers)

3. Detroit Tigers -- Akil Baddoo, OF (Twins)

4. Boston Red Sox -- Garrett Whitlock, RHP (Yankees)

5. Baltimore Orioles -- Mac Sceroler, RHP (Reds)

6. Arizona Diamondbacks -- Zach Pop, RHP (Orioles)

7. Kansas City Royals -- Pass

8. Colorado Rockies -- Jordan Sheffield, RHP (Dodgers)

9. Los Angeles Angels -- Jose Alberto Rivera, RHP (Astros)

10. New York Mets -- Luis Oviedo, RHP (Indians)

11. Washington Nationals -- Pass

12. Seattle Mariners -- Will Vest, RHP (Tigers)

13. Philadelphia Phillies -- Kyle Holder, SS (Yankees)

14. San Francisco Giants -- Dedniel Nunez, RHP (Mets)

15. Milwaukee Brewers -- Pass

16. Houston Astros -- Pass

17. Miami Marlins -- Paul Campbell, RHP (Rays)

18. Cincinnati Reds -- Pass

19. St. Louis Cardinals -- Pass

20. Toronto Blue Jays -- Pass

21. New York Yankees -- Pass

22. Chicago Cubs -- Gray Fenter, RHP (Orioles)

23. Chicago White Sox -- Pass

24. Cleveland Indians -- Trevor Stephan, RHP (Yankees)

25. Atlanta Braves -- Pass

26. Oakland A's -- Ka'ai Tom, OF (Indians)

27. Minnesota Twins -- Pass

28. San Diego Padres -- Pass

29. Tampa Bay Rays -- Pass

30. Los Angeles Dodgers -- Pass

 

ROUND 2

 

4. Baltimore Orioles -- Tyler Wells, RHP (Twins)

14. Oakland Athletics -- Dany Jimenez, RHP (Blue Jays)

Not just “at Night” anymore.
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The Brewers also passed in the Triple-A portion of the Rule 5 Draft.

 

I understand why teams shy away from making picks in the major league portion, but am always surprised when they don't take someone in the minor league portion. It's even less risk, and occasionally has a big payoff.

 

In addition to not selecting anyone the Brewers didn't have any of their minor league players selected in the Triple-A portion of the Rule 5 Draft.

Not just “at Night” anymore.
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I know we have avoided a pick here for many years now, but I'm still a little surprised. I figured if there was any year to take one, this year would be it (financial reasons mostly).

rule 5 draft picks still cost $100,000--which is roughly a month's salary for a rookie making the minimum. clubs can get 50% back by offering the rule 6 player back to the original club.

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The 26 (or whatever it ends up being) man roster spot is the real valuable part. A team really, really has to like a guy that their current team doesn't like for it to be worth it, or be in complete tank mode. Filling up a ML roster spot with a guy who won't be a contributor (Other than in rare cases) can mean you lose out on other players, it shouldn't be done willy-nilly. With a much higher pick, maybe the Brewers go for it.

 

It is always interesting to see the different valuations. Like the Orioles both picked two, and lost two, in the ML phase. Look forward to seeing who will be on the right end of things like that.

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Interesting that there was a 15-3 pitcher to hitter split. Even the Dodgers' Estevez, who was looked at as a near lock to go, didn't get picked.

 

I'm a little surprised, unless they have a bunch of minor league free agent signings lined up and were waiting until after the minor league phase of the draft, that they passed on at least grabbing someone like Errol Robinson in the AAA phase. They only have one or two (depending on if Mathias ends up in the big leagues) middle infielders who belong in AA or AAA. They need some guys just to fill out the rosters.

 

Less surprised the Brewers didn't have anyone picked in the minor league phase. The fact that the Brewers even protected some players who don't seem to have a clear roster spot for next season probably tells you all you need to know on their opinion on Kirby's health, unfortunately.

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