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2020-09-27: Brewers (Anderson) at Cardinals (Gomber) [Brewers lose, 5-2 -- Clinch spot in Postseason]


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This mess just takes me back to the decision not to pitch Williams here... If Williams comes in, do they score 0 or 1 run?

 

Hindsight and all that, but it makes you wonder what the game would look like now, had our manager made a different choice.

"I'm sick of runnin' from these wimps!" Ajax - The WARRIORS
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Horrible managing. Game was on the line right there. Williams should have been brought into the game to get strikeouts. Saving him and hoping for another guy to get out of that mess unscathed is way too much to ask for. Especially when our offense has been so embarrassing all season, you can’t risk it. The game already feels completely out of reach. The season was on the line and we didn’t use Williams or Hader.
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Peralta was not a horrible choice here. He's got a k/9 of 14.5, so it's not like he's a contact pitcher. I don't mind the questioning of the bullpen decision game, it's good clean fun, but it is not unreasonable to to have expected Peralta to do better in that spot than allowing a billion guys to get on.

 

I don’t disagree about Peralta’s K rate being a factor. But this would’ve seemed like a situation where you bring in a veteran pitcher who might have a bit of experience loosening up quickly and being called in unexpectedly. Maybe a Yardley to try to get out of the inning, while letting Peralta warm up for an inning and bring him in.

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I normally defend Counsell, but not putting Williams in there was inexcusable, to the point where I would be fine if Counsell wasn’t the manager next season.

 

It is up there with starting Mark Kotsay in CF in a play-off eliminating game... Seriously, did Counsell even think about Williams for one single second?

"I'm sick of runnin' from these wimps!" Ajax - The WARRIORS
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The Williams stuff is true. And I agree. But I don't trust non-Williams pitchers to do mich for 6 innings...

 

True, but it could have given us a clean slate at least. I know one thing for sure, had he brought in Williams, we wouldn't be down 4 runs.

"I'm sick of runnin' from these wimps!" Ajax - The WARRIORS
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I normally defend Counsell, but not putting Williams in there was inexcusable, to the point where I would be fine if Counsell wasn’t the manager next season.

 

Some of Williams' worst results this year have come against the Cardinals. He's giving up a .280 batting average and an .880 ops. Freddy, in a slightly smaller sample, had only allowed a .100 batting average and no earned runs. This is not the call you fire someone over.

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I normally defend Counsell, but not putting Williams in there was inexcusable, to the point where I would be fine if Counsell wasn’t the manager next season.

 

Some of Williams' worst results this year have come against the Cardinals. He's giving up a .280 batting average and an .880 ops. Freddy, in a slightly smaller sample, had only allowed a .100 batting average and no earned runs. This is not the call you fire someone over.

 

That's also not the kind of sample size you use to make a decision like that. That's nothing but statistical noise.

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I normally defend Counsell, but not putting Williams in there was inexcusable, to the point where I would be fine if Counsell wasn’t the manager next season.

 

Some of Williams' worst results this year have come against the Cardinals. He's giving up a .280 batting average and an .880 ops. Freddy, in a slightly smaller sample, had only allowed a .100 batting average and no earned runs. This is not the call you fire someone over.

 

Making the wrong call to end consecutive seasons in must-win games (not putting Williams in now and leaving Hader in in the Wild Card game last year when he clearly didn’t have it) is worthy enough in my book. Good thing I’m not the GM I guess.

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I normally defend Counsell, but not putting Williams in there was inexcusable, to the point where I would be fine if Counsell wasn’t the manager next season.

 

Some of Williams' worst results this year have come against the Cardinals. He's giving up a .280 batting average and an .880 ops. Freddy, in a slightly smaller sample, had only allowed a .100 batting average and no earned runs. This is not the call you fire someone over.

 

That's also not the kind of sample size you use to make a decision like that. That's nothing but statistical noise.

 

This whole year is statistical noise. The idea that anyone--manager or player--is being meaningfully evaluated under the most bizarre circumstances in baseball history and the shortest season ever is a little hyperbolic. I know I'm arguing against emotional responses in an IGT, and that's on me, but I also tend to operate on the assumption that the people who do this for a living are not incandescently stupid and that there are reasons for their decisions. In fact, those decisions probably aren't even that Williams pitches the 8th forever and ever no matter what. I think the answers to these questions are way more nuanced and interesting, and that is what I want to puzzle out.

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