2020 NL Central Standings Projections (Predictions Welcome)

[stoutdude04]

It also seems like Narvaez really wants to improve his receiving too(obviously). He said one of his goals this year is to be ranked in the top half of the league.

[bigredrobbo]

Brewers 87-75

Cubs 85-77

Reds 85-77

Cards 77-85

Pirates 66-96

[StearnsFTW]

I'll be shocked if the Reds win 85 games.

 

Brewers 89

Cardinals 87

Cubs 85

Reds 79

Pirates 64

[wallus]

Cubs 87

Brewers 86

Reds 86

Cards 80

Pirates 65

[brooks_quichenick]

Brewers 91

Cardinals 87

Reds 85

Cubs 83

Pirates 67

[brewtank34]

Cubs- 90

Brewers-88

Reds- 85

Red birds- 84

Pirates- 58

[stalton]

What does a baseball nerd do on a lonely Friday night? Math! Ding ding ding!

 

I looked at BFs guesses for our no longer possible 162 game series and found out there was practically a 4 way tie for first place for everybody but the Pirates. The cards had a whisper of an edge on average but the Brewers easily claimed the highest median so the Brewers pessimists were pessimistier than other teams.

 

All in all it would have been a helluva fight for 162 games and I imagine it would for however many games (if) they play.

 

Cards 84.9

Brewers 84.8

Reds 84.7

Cubs 84.1

Pirates 65.6

[Eye Black]

What does a baseball nerd do on a lonely Friday night? Math! Ding ding ding!

 

I looked at BFs guesses for our no longer possible 162 game series and found out there was practically a 4 way tie for first place for everybody but the Pirates. The cards had a whisper of an edge on average but the Brewers easily claimed the highest median so the Brewers pessimists were pessimistier than other teams.

 

All in all it would have been a helluva fight for 162 games and I imagine it would for however many games (if) they play.

 

Cards 84.9

Brewers 84.8

Reds 84.7

Cubs 84.1

Pirates 65.6

Thanks for doing the math, I absolutely believe every one of those teams was destined to finish somewhere in the 80-89 win range. It’s unfortunate we’ll never know how it would have played out over a full season.

[AZBrewCrew]

1st. Coronavirus

2nd. Cubs

3rd. Reds

4th. Brewers

5th Cardinals

6th Pirates

 

 

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[trwi7]

1st. Coronavirus

2nd. Cubs

3rd. Reds

4th. Brewers

5th Cardinals

6th Pirates

 

 

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

I never liked the NL Central with 6 teams.

[DuWayne Steurer]

Brewers 34-26

Cubs 33-27

Cards 32-28

Reds 27-33

Pirates 25-35

 

[Eye Black]

Brewers 34-26

Cubs 33-27

Cards 32-28

Reds 27-33

Pirates 25-35

 

RoCo's above post is from over 3 months ago. Bravo on the season length prediction.

[Eye Black]

According to Fangraphs updated ZiPS Projected Standings:

 

ZiPS Projected Standings, NL Central

 

[pre]Team W L GB PCT Div% WC% Playoff% WS Win%

Cubs 32 28 — .533 27.6% 14.5% 42.1% 3.9%

Brewers 31 29 1 .517 23.4% 13.7% 37.1% 3.3%

Cards 31 29 1 .517 21.9% 13.7% 35.6% 3.1%

Reds 31 29 1 .517 20.4% 13.3% 33.7% 2.9%

Pirates 26 34 6 .433 6.7% 7.1% 13.8% 0.9%[/pre]

[Dead Simmons]

I moved to Phoenix this Feb. and now with the few sports shows on ESPN I have no idea what's going on in baseball

 

I heard that Mookie Bettes went to the Dodgers and the Cards shipped out Ozuna and Wacha, but that's it! I no nothing else about our Division

 

Please fill me in....BTW: Arizona was a bad (covid) choice

[trwi7]

Global warming means the Central is now the East Coast.

[sveumrules]

I moved to Phoenix this Feb. and now with the few sports shows on ESPN I have no idea what's going on in baseball

 

I heard that Mookie Bettes went to the Dodgers and the Cards shipped out Ozuna and Wacha, but that's it! I no nothing else about our Division

 

Please fill me in....BTW: Arizona was a bad (covid) choice

 

Back when there was going to be a regular old fashioned 162 game baseball season, most of the projection systems had the Brewers, Cardinals, Cubs & Reds projected within a few games of each other with the only real certainty being the Pirates in last.

 

Now that we're down to maybe hopefully 60 games the odds for chaos increase pretty drastically. Going off of ZiPS the Pirates went from 0.7% to make the playoffs over 162 to 6.7% over 60.

 

The spread for playoff odds over 162 was Cubs (39.7%), Brewers (23.0%), Cardinals (18.8%), Reds (17.8%) vs Cubs (27.6%), Brewers (23.4%), Cardinals (21.9%) & Reds (20.4%) over 60 games.

[Tbadder]

I can’t see anyone being over .500 in the NL Central with the possible exception of the Crew.

 

Brewers 29-31

Cards 27-33

Cubs 27-33

Reds 24-36

Pirates 24-36

 

But then again, I really don’t think they’ll get any more than 40 games in. I really wish they’d just call it off.

[owbc]

NL Central > AL Central so I'll give our division an over .500 record. As for trying to predict the winner...give me some chaos.

Brewers 32-28

Reds 32-28

Cards 32-28

Cubs 32-28

Pirates 26-34

[Eye Black]

I can’t see anyone being over .500 in the NL Central with the possible exception of the Crew.

 

Brewers 29-31

Cards 27-33

Cubs 27-33

Reds 24-36

Pirates 24-36

For these standings to be mathematically possible the NL Central would have to finish a 31-69 in the 100 combined games against the AL Central. Considering it’s a league that includes the Tigers and Royals that would be a pathetic feat.

[Eye Black]

Clay Davenport projected standings:

 

[pre]NL Cent Won Lost Runs Runs Against

CIN 33 27 292 270

MIL 33 27 291 272

CHC 31 29 289 284

STL 29 31 262 276

PIT 27 33 254 290[/pre]

 

 

And PECOTA Projections:

 

[DuWayne Steurer]

Brewers 34-26

Cubs 33-27

Cards 32-28

Reds 27-33

Pirates 25-35

 

RoCo's above post is from over 3 months ago. Bravo on the season length prediction.

 

 

BAM!!

[pitchleague]

I'll go with something like this:

 

Brewers 35-25

Cardinals 32-28

Reds 32-28

Cubs 29-31

Pirates 25-35

[MrTPlush]

Every year as September rolls in there is talk of a tiebreaker so wild it is hard to imagine. This year...what a glorious time for it to come to fruition.

[MadScientist]

Brewers 37-23

Reds 32-28

Cards 30-30

Cubs 28-32

Pirates 22-38

 

Kool-aid perhaps, but teams get extra players for a significant portion of the season, and nobody manages with extra players as well as CC.

[Eye Black]

MLB’s accounts posted this on social media (using FanGraphs updated standings projections)...