NFC Divisonal Playoffs: Seahawks @ Packers Sunday, Jan 12th, 5:40PM

[homer]

I don't know what else you could ask for as far as not liking a matchup. Their strength plays well into the strength of our defense, and they can't run to take the heat off. Their defense isn't particularly good at either run or pass. Things happen and we can still lose, but I think it's just nostalgia that has people leery of playing Seattle.

 

Metcalf, Lockett, Wilson, and Pete Carroll are what im worried about. Quite frankly I’d have much rather any of the other 5 in the NFC except SF, and I don’t think they’re what they were last time we met. Hopefully I’m wrong about it and you have to beat em anyway to get where we want to go.

 

In the Divisional round, basically every opponent is going to have a couple great to good players that can give their team a chance to win. This dangerous and worrisome Seahawks team couldn't put away an even more decimated Eagles squad who had a high school football coach playing QB most of the game yesterday.

 

The Packers have it all in front of them with this game - they are the better team and should win at home Sunday night. If they don't we'll all be disappointed, and it will be because they didn't play well. That could obviously occur based on the Packers' body of work of occasionally getting trounced and oftentimes playing down to their opponents' level...but the Seahawks are the exact same way.

 

 

I can see Russell Wilson rushing for like 90 yards and throwing three deep TDs to Lockett/Metcalf. Hopefully, they can contain him as I think they'll get a good pass rush.

[Fear The Chorizo]

I can see Russell Wilson rushing for like 90 yards and throwing three deep TDs to Lockett/Metcalf. Hopefully, they can contain him as I think they'll get a good pass rush.

 

Seattle's Oline is a mess, so Wilson will need to be running for his life to buy enough time for deep passes. With the Packers' D, the deep middle seems to be the weak spot - particularly when a play breaks down and TEs/RBs have time to get behind the linebacker level. I think the Packers can get home rushing 4 and have a hybrid safety playing at the LB level as a spy on Wilson so the rest of the secondary can stay in coverage. The Seahawks' current running game may not be good enough to even get Green Bay out of a hybrid nickel package that deploys an extra safety as a spy when they don't have 3-4 WRs on the field. Wouldn't surprise me to see the Seahawks go back in the Beast Mode time machine with more read option stuff to try and bust a big run - that's probably the only way for Lynch to avoid backside contain tackling him 1 yard upfield at this stage in his career. There will be plays Wilson gets loose and runs for a 1st down or two, and that's fine - the killer ones are if he breaks contain and buys time for a huge pass play after a busted or overextended coverage.

 

That said, under you scenario the Packers will win 24-21, which I'm still good with!

[PinaMadness]

I hear Pete Carroll plans on using Marshawn Lynch more. If that's the case, the Packers are winning this game.

[KeithStone53151]

I hear Patet Carroll plans on using Marshawn Lynch more. If that's the case, the Packers are winning this game.

 

I find this a bit weird. I don't disagree, but my primary concern is keeping Wilson in the pocket and not letting him rush for 75+ yards. Making him actually throw the ball, or hand the ball off a majority of their plays...are winning formulas for the defense.

[OldSchoolSnapper]

Lynch is a total non factor. He's 33 and fat and has done nothing since coming back. If that retread does anything then the Packers deserve whatever happens. Seattle has one way to win this game and that's Wilson doing Wilson things. The Packers can win in a variety ways. On paper, there's no reason to think the Packers won't win. But it's not played on paper and despite all of that, I can't quite get myself to think the Packers will win by 10+. An "easy" win would do wonders I think for team's confidence should they have to go into SF. But I fully expect another heart attack playoff experience that swings on one big play at the end.

[owbc]

I can see a scenario where the Packers' offense is incompetent and the Seahawks win 16-13 or something like that.

[sveumrules]

Interesting that with their win in Philly the Seahawks are now 8-1 on the road this season.

 

I think I would put my likelihood of outcomes somewhere around...

 

GB wins close (45%)

SEA wins close (40%)

SEA wins big (10%)

GB wins big (5%)

 

At the same time I'd imagine most gamblers are taking SEA & the points, so for the Packers sake I'll hope Vegas & the refs are in cahoots this week.

[stalton]

Interesting that with their win in Philly the Seahawks are now 8-1 on the road this season.

 

I think I would put my likelihood of outcomes somewhere around...

 

GB wins close (45%)

SEA wins close (40%)

SEA wins big (10%)

GB wins big (5%)

 

At the same time I'd imagine most gamblers are taking SEA & the points, so for the Packers sake I'll hope Vegas & the refs are in cahoots this week.

 

Those %'s feel close though I might bump GB close to 50 and Sea close to 40. I feel like if its blowout, there's a better chance GB puts up a clunker than Sea.

[Fear The Chorizo]

I think the GB defensive front is going to dominate this game - it won't be as obvious as that Monday night game against the Vikings because Wilson will be able to make a few plays outside the pocket scrambling compared to Cousins. But I think going with a 4 man line of the Smiths, Clark, and Gary on passing downs is going to be a problem for Seattle's banged up Oline.

[stoutdude04]

Interesting that with their win in Philly the Seahawks are now 8-1 on the road this season.

 

I think I would put my likelihood of outcomes somewhere around...

 

GB wins close (45%)

SEA wins close (40%)

SEA wins big (10%)

GB wins big (5%)

 

At the same time I'd imagine most gamblers are taking SEA & the points, so for the Packers sake I'll hope Vegas & the refs are in cahoots this week.

 

Those %'s feel close though I might bump GB close to 50 and Sea close to 40. I feel like if its blowout, there's a better chance GB puts up a clunker than Sea.

 

Interestingly, ESPNs thingy puts Green Bay at 66%. Slightly greater chance to beat Seattle than SF has of beating Minn.

[sveumrules]

Interesting that with their win in Philly the Seahawks are now 8-1 on the road this season.

 

I think I would put my likelihood of outcomes somewhere around...

 

GB wins close (45%)

SEA wins close (40%)

SEA wins big (10%)

GB wins big (5%)

 

At the same time I'd imagine most gamblers are taking SEA & the points, so for the Packers sake I'll hope Vegas & the refs are in cahoots this week.

 

Those %'s feel close though I might bump GB close to 50 and Sea close to 40. I feel like if its blowout, there's a better chance GB puts up a clunker than Sea.

 

Interestingly, ESPNs thingy puts Green Bay at 66%. Slightly greater chance to beat Seattle than SF has of beating Minn.

 

538 has us at 74% to win, too, so the models definitely have more confidence than my gut does.

 

For me, I guess I still don't have much faith in the offense, who have looked pretty mediocre the last two months outside of one game against the Giants 30th ranked defense.

[stalton]

Looking at the points scored/against; The big difference is the defense. Our median PF 23 to their 27 but PA is 18 vs 27. We have been held under 20 3 times compared to Seahawks 4. Seattle has given up 25 points or more in 9 games but for us, only 3. Maybe it's just the winning ugly factor but I can see how the pack are more heavily favored than other games.

[OldHeidelberg]

I think the GB defensive front is going to dominate this game - it won't be as obvious as that Monday night game against the Vikings because Wilson will be able to make a few plays outside the pocket scrambling compared to Cousins. But I think going with a 4 man line of the Smiths, Clark, and Gary on passing downs is going to be a problem for Seattle's banged up Oline.

 

I haven't been paying attention to the injury report until today but Clark sounds pretty iffy to play at all. That would be a huge loss, so much for the bye getting everyone healthy. I am guessing he will give it a try, it's the playoffs, but he sort of disappeared in the middle of the season when hurt. We need that monster we had the last few games, he is the heart of our D.

[MrTPlush]

I am pretty confident in a Packers win. To me the Seahawks were a pretty great draw for the Packers. Our weaknesses on defense are when teams run all over us and/or we can't get any QB pressure. The Seahawks don't have a strong running game and the OL is beat up majorly. I think this is going to be a great defensive performance by us.

 

Everyone talks about us "winning ugly", but what about the Seahawks. They have not had one dominating win all year. They beat two playoff teams all year (MIN and SF). Their biggest win was 27-10 over the Cardinals...the same Cardinals that then beat them late in the season in Seattle 27-13. Honestly the Seahawks are in the playoffs by narrowly winning nearly every single game where 10/12 were against non playoff teams (some of which were really poor teams). The same team that struggled to put away the Eagles playing an ancient backup QB.

 

I like us a lot regardless of where the game is played...but Green Bay in January? Yah, we should win this game. It may be close, but Rodgers and Co. should be able to figure this one out.

[OldSchoolSnapper]

Exactly, Seattle has for some reason skirted that "lack of big win" criticism. Probably because they did beat SF, played them tight a 2nd time, and had some other less humiliating losses with good teams. The Packers really only got one shot at a good team outside the division and lost in embarrassing fashion.

 

If you believe that the 49er game was flukey in the manner in which they lost, then you should have a good deal of confidence in them beating Seattle. That team is really, really beat up. Kevin King would be their best corner. I don't think one guy on that OL would start for the Packers.

[Fear The Chorizo]

Interesting that with their win in Philly the Seahawks are now 8-1 on the road this season.

 

I think I would put my likelihood of outcomes somewhere around...

 

GB wins close (45%)

SEA wins close (40%)

SEA wins big (10%)

GB wins big (5%)

 

At the same time I'd imagine most gamblers are taking SEA & the points, so for the Packers sake I'll hope Vegas & the refs are in cahoots this week.

 

Line continuing to climb in GB's favor, which means gamblers are sidong with the Pack...dont get me started on who refs seem to be in cahoots with during recent packer/seahawks games...

[Fear The Chorizo]

Interesting that with their win in Philly the Seahawks are now 8-1 on the road this season.

 

I think I would put my likelihood of outcomes somewhere around...

 

GB wins close (45%)

SEA wins close (40%)

SEA wins big (10%)

GB wins big (5%)

 

At the same time I'd imagine most gamblers are taking SEA & the points, so for the Packers sake I'll hope Vegas & the refs are in cahoots this week.

 

Line continuing to climb in GB's favor, which means gamblers are sidong with the Pack...dont get me started on who refs seem to be in cahoots with during recent packer/seahawks games...

[nodakfan17]

I hope the snow lets up before tomorrow’s game. Weird things can happen in bad weather. Given the Seahawks’ injury woes and the Packers’ relative health, I’d prefer to face Seattle straight up without any interference from Mother Nature.

[nodakfan17]

I hope the snow lets up before tomorrow’s game. Weird things can happen in bad weather. Given the Seahawks’ injury woes and the Packers’ relative health, I’d prefer to face Seattle straight up without any interference from Mother Nature.

[MrTPlush]

Have a friend on Facebook that still hates the Packers and wishes weekly injury on Rodgers because his feelings are still hurt they threw old man Favre to the street over 10 years ago.

 

I can’t believe their is still a group of people that literally hate the Packers with a burning passion because of that to this day.

[MrTPlush]

Have a friend on Facebook that still hates the Packers and wishes weekly injury on Rodgers because his feelings are still hurt they threw old man Favre to the street over 10 years ago.

 

I can’t believe their is still a group of people that literally hate the Packers with a burning passion because of that to this day.

[pacopete4]

Have a friend on Facebook that still hates the Packers and wishes weekly injury on Rodgers because his feelings are still hurt they threw old man Favre to the street over 10 years ago.

 

I can’t believe their is still a group of people that literally hate the Packers with a burning passion because of that to this day.

 

While I don’t hate anything Packers related, football fandom changed for me after that debacle. Not because my first player love moved on to another team but the entire situation was such a mess it turned me off towards being so invested. I don’t think I’ve followed the Packers/NFL nearly as close as I used to.

[pacopete4]

Have a friend on Facebook that still hates the Packers and wishes weekly injury on Rodgers because his feelings are still hurt they threw old man Favre to the street over 10 years ago.

 

I can’t believe their is still a group of people that literally hate the Packers with a burning passion because of that to this day.

 

While I don’t hate anything Packers related, football fandom changed for me after that debacle. Not because my first player love moved on to another team but the entire situation was such a mess it turned me off towards being so invested. I don’t think I’ve followed the Packers/NFL nearly as close as I used to.

[True Blue Brew Crew]

While I don’t hate anything Packers related, football fandom changed for me after that debacle. Not because my first player love moved on to another team but the entire situation was such a mess it turned me off towards being so invested. I don’t think I’ve followed the Packers/NFL nearly as close as I used to.

 

That situation was a mess 99% because of the player you loved.

[True Blue Brew Crew]

While I don’t hate anything Packers related, football fandom changed for me after that debacle. Not because my first player love moved on to another team but the entire situation was such a mess it turned me off towards being so invested. I don’t think I’ve followed the Packers/NFL nearly as close as I used to.

 

That situation was a mess 99% because of the player you loved.