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Josh Lindblom signs with Brewers - 3 years / $9.125 mil [Latest: Lindblom DFAd]


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The lack of quality in the rotation is an extremely valid point. The objective is to win the

World Series. For 2 straight years the Brewers could have benefited greatly from having 2 more great, truly great pitchers in the postseason.

 

It has debated here frequently as to why the Brewers don’t have 2 more great pitchers. Can’t afford it. Spent the money on position players. Don’t do a good enough job developing pitchers. Etc... so I won’t go back into all of that...

 

To suggest that the rotation is “good enough” because we made the postseason 2 years in a row is extremely perplexing to me.

 

Obviously having more elite pitchers is a positive but I think you are letting last year taint 2018.

 

Our playoff run was Chacin Gio Miley Woodruff Burnes Hader Knebel and some Peralta. You have to look past the starters with this team. You can't really say the starters in 2018 failed their job. Nor did they fail their job last year when MKE had the lead vs the WS champs with the ball and game in Hader's hands.

Currently you have Woodruff Hader Peralta a question on Knebel, a role to be defined by Houser and Suter and a lot of pieces to add.

The expensive guy was a Chacin at 8 mil.

 

I think Rich Hill and Gio could fill the Miley Gio role. I think McHugh could fill the Burnes role (and clearly Burnes and Rasmussen have a shot at that as well).

 

There were a lot of problems that arose last year. Chacin falling flat and Knebel missing the year were the biggest two blows to this team. Burnes and Peralta starting poorly in the early season were the other major factors. It didn't pan out in 2019. It wasn't special in 2018. It just worked.

 

Basically, yeah more = better but flexibility and multiple pieces has let them cobble together the results you'd get from a 35 million dollar ace for a fraction on the price.

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To suggest that the rotation is “good enough” because we made the postseason 2 years in a row is extremely perplexing to me.

 

Over the last three years our starting pitchers have posted a 94 ERA-, 10th best in baseball.

 

Combined with our bullpen, offense & defense that has been good enough for the team to win 271 games, 8th most in MLB. Same as the Cubs, more than the A's or Rays or Cardinals.

 

Our rotation has been good enough for us to miss the postseason in 2017 by 1 game when no one dreamed we would be that competitive, get us to Game 7 of the NLCS in 2018 & get us to the Wild Card game with a lead over the eventual WS Champs before our bullpen & defense lost the game in 2019.

 

Is that "good enough"? Clearly, individual mileage will vary, but for me personally I think it has been very entertaining to observe over the last few years.

 

Also, take away Jimmy Nelson's freak injury in 2017... and we're talking a whole different Crew.

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Look at the history of the Transactions forum. Success rate is very low when you look at all the starting pitchers people wanted via FA or trades, and how they turned out.

 

Funny thing though, when one...two...six of these guys don't pan out posters just go on the next name. Stearns doesn't have that luxury. If he throws 5 years/ $120mm at a big name starting pitcher and it doesn't work out, that money is spent. Oh, and by the way, no flexibility to fix it.

 

This shouldn't have to be explained every year, but it's a no-brainer to have several Lindbloms and Burnes rather than the tremendous risk of signing a big name pitcher.

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The lack of quality in the rotation is an extremely valid point. The objective is to win the

World Series. For 2 straight years the Brewers could have benefited greatly from having 2 more great, truly great pitchers in the postseason.

 

It has debated here frequently as to why the Brewers don’t have 2 more great pitchers. Can’t afford it. Spent the money on position players. Don’t do a good enough job developing pitchers. Etc... so I won’t go back into all of that...

 

To suggest that the rotation is “good enough” because we made the postseason 2 years in a row is extremely perplexing to me.

 

The thing is (and this is more of a general comment than directed at you), some people talk about this like it's so easy. We could have benefitted from having 2 more great pitchers in the postseason? Of course we could have. This isn't unique to us. Every one of the other 8 playoff teams that didn't win the World Series could have benefited from 2 more great pitchers.

 

I don't think that anyone is suggesting the rotation is good enough just because we made the playoffs two years in a row, but rather that Stearns is doing a really good job given the limitations that he has to put a contending team out there.

 

If you look at the top rotations in baseball, almost all are supported by either heavy payrolls or really good pitcher farm development. A team like the Rays is unique in having made a couple really savvy trades and signings recently that have happened to pan out. But they don't always. We were obviously hoping Corbin Burnes would be our Tyler Glasnow and unfortunately that didn't happen, not yet. But you just don't know. I understand why they wanted to find out. Yes, you can dabble in free agency, but the days of throwing 3/30 at a decent proven Randy Wolf type and calling it a day are long gone. These solid proven affordable starters that people want to go just go out and sign simply don't exist, which is why guys like Lindblom are such great guys to take a chance on. The Tanner Roarks of the world are getting 12M a year. That 5/80 we gave to Cain a couple years ago? That doesn't buy jack for starting pitching in this market. Not without questions and risks, anyway.

 

We haven't been good enough in developing our own pitching over the years, that is true. But that's something that takes years, so I'm certainly not going to put that on the GM who has been here for 4 years. We'll see how his first generation of guys, Burnes, Ashby, Rasmussen, etc. turn out.

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The 2019 Milwaukee Brewers had a starter fWAR of 8.7

The 2018 Milwaukee Brewers had a starter fWAR of 8.7

 

Both Teams played in the post-season.

 

Two World Series winners from recent past had lower starter's fWAR: KC Royals (8.6 in 2015) and SF Giants (8.5 in 2014)

 

It should be clear right now what David Stearn's idea of an optimal starting rotation will look like.

 

This signing is great as it fit's in with his overall strategy of finding value and provides a cost controlled piece that either slots into a rotation spot or is another of the starter turned RP that have been very successful for the Brewers the last 2 years.

 

In a world where Tanner Roark can get a $24M contract, this is a steal, steal, steal, steal, steal...

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This reminds me of the last time I needed Windshield Washer Fluid.

 

At a department store, they were charging $13 for a gallon of it, stating that it was All-Season.

 

I balked at that price, so instead I headed to the Dollar Store and bought two half gallons at $1 each.

 

I saved $11 and was happy.

 

I mean, it freezes to the windshield at times, but most of the time it gets the job done.

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I know this isn't really on baseball topic but I don't think the point of all season fluid is to prevent it freezing on the windshield. Regular fluid tends to freeze up internally so it doesn't dispense at all at low temps. Which has absolutely happened to me and is why I keep a jug of the all season stuff stored for winter.
"Counsell is stupid, Hader not used right, Bradley shouldn't have been in the lineup...Brewers win!!" - FVBrewerFan - 6/3/21
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I know this isn't really on baseball topic but I don't think the point of all season fluid is to prevent it freezing on the windshield. Regular fluid tends to freeze up internally so it doesn't dispense at all at low temps. Which has absolutely happened to me and is why I keep a jug of the all season stuff stored for winter.

 

So what you are saying is that I could continue to have success with my bargain bin Windshield Fluid, but there is also a good chance that it will become a complete and utter disaster?

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I know this isn't really on baseball topic but I don't think the point of all season fluid is to prevent it freezing on the windshield. Regular fluid tends to freeze up internally so it doesn't dispense at all at low temps. Which has absolutely happened to me and is why I keep a jug of the all season stuff stored for winter.

 

So what you are saying is that I could continue to have success with my bargain bin Windshield Fluid, but there is also a good chance that it will become a complete and utter disaster?

 

I think correct and hopefully you have saved enough with the bargain bin fluid to get a steering wheel cover and a car wash. If the fluid fails, the steering wheel cover and car wash don't really matter... but if the bargain fluid holds up, boy are you in for a sweet ride :)

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This is Stearns’ 5th off-season with the team since taking over the team operations in the Fall of 2015. Is this three year deal for Lindblom only the third time he has given out a free agent deal that surpassed two years? Thames signed a three year guarantee and Cain signed a five year contract. Other than that I can only think of two deals that were two years in length (Chacin and Albers). Beyond that I believe every free agent deal the Brewers have done since Stearns took over have been one year deals.

 

Am I missing any additional free agent deals that were greater than one year?

 

It’s sort of amazing that they operate almost exclusively on short term deals in free agency, and two of the longest contracts have been for players coming back to MLB from the KBO.

Not just “at Night” anymore.
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To be technical Jeffress was a 3 year deal but it had team options every year. (I believe)

Was he in charge of the Anderson arby buy out?

I was just referring to guaranteed free agent contracts. With Jeffress he obviously traded him away and then traded back for him, but did he sign him to a multi-year deal as a free agent? I didn’t think so, but I could be mistaken.

 

Edit: Found it (Link), the Jeffress deal was considered a one year contract with two club options. So technically just a one year guarantee.

Not just “at Night” anymore.
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Brewer Fanatic Contributor
This is Stearns’ 5th off-season with the team since taking over the team operations in the Fall of 2015. Is this three year deal for Lindblom only the third time he has given out a free agent deal that surpassed two years? Thames signed a three year guarantee and Cain signed a five year contract. Other than that I can only think of two deals that were two years in length (Chacin and Albers). Beyond that I believe every free agent deal the Brewers have done since Stearns took over have been one year deals.

 

Am I missing any additional free agent deals that were greater than one year?

 

It’s sort of amazing that they operate almost exclusively on short term deals in free agency, and two of the longest contracts have been for players coming back to MLB from the KBO.

I believe you're correct.

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  • 2 weeks later...
Have any more details leaked about this contract, such as how much Lindblom will make in 2020?

 

$875,000 signing bonus, $2.75 million for all 3 years. $125,000 bonus for 90, 100, 110 and 120 innings pitched. $250,000 bonus for 130, 140, 150 and 160 innings pitched and $500,000 for 170, 180 and 190 innings pitched.

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Have any more details leaked about this contract, such as how much Lindblom will make in 2020?

 

$875,000 signing bonus, $2.75 million for all 3 years. $125,000 bonus for 90, 100, 110 and 120 innings pitched. $250,000 bonus for 130, 140, 150 and 160 innings pitched and $500,000 for 170, 180 and 190 innings pitched.

 

Cool, thanks!

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  • 4 months later...
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Couple interviews with Josh over at FanGraphs the last two days...

 

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-remaking-of-a-pitcher-in-the-kbo-a-conversation-with-josh-lindblom-part-1/

 

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-remaking-of-a-pitcher-in-the-kbo-a-conversation-with-josh-lindblom-part-2/

 

Thought this tidbit was interesting...

 

"I had a few other offers from some different teams but after going to the Winter Meetings, sitting down with David Stearns and the rest of the front office, they had a plan for me. And they didn’t think that my development was done. It was just an awesome fit with that organization."

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Josh gave away $500 worth of Custard at Kopps last night.
"Dustin Pedroia doesn't have the strength or bat speed to hit major-league pitching consistently, and he has no power......He probably has a future as a backup infielder if he can stop rolling over to third base and shortstop." Keith Law, 2006
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  • 11 months later...
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a public service announcement that josh lindblom is on the brewers' 26-man roster. with a five run lead last night, i was surprised that he wasn't put in for a three-inning save attempt.

 

Counsell said at the beginning of the season after announcing that Peralta had won a spot in the rotation that Lindbloom was going to start a lot of games, and that he would likely be starting games by the end of April. Well, it's now April 21. Following tomorrow's off day, the Brewers don't have another scheduled off day until May 10. Him not pitching last night tells me that we can expect them to go to a 6-man rotation starting Friday.

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