Catcher Position for 2020

[TJseven7]

Hmm, loaded up a Catcher 2019 ranking. Narvaez had a 17% CS rate. Worse than Vogt while run on about 3times the amount. Grandall beat Pina in that category. 27-25%. A name that pops near the top of the list is Alex Avila who threw out 11 outta 21 attempts. He's been around and takes his share a walks to consiately be above .300OB. 4.2mil last ur for Arz. Avila is a roller coaster OPS in his years. From the looks of it, he'd be my choice if we end up with a beteran Catcher. Even if it came at a 2yr deal. It's not likely over 5mil a yr. And you can trade that. Lefty platoon is also a plus.

 

17% sure is bad. However, so is 27% and 25%. It's not like Grandal was throwing out 83% of base stealers and Narvaez was throwing out 17%.

 

I really don't care about the difference between 1 in 4 and 1 in 6. It doesn't happen enough to offset the offensive gain.

 

Let's math this ok.

27 of 100 and 7 of 28.

34 CS to 94 SB

128 attempts. Grandal would CS 35 in 128 attempts. Narvaez would CS 22 in 128 attempts.

 

We are talking about a 13 out difference in 4,374 outs.

 

That is 0.3%

It'll impact the team 1 time every 12.5 games.

 

287/358/790 x 2 Narvaez career vs rhp

271/339/738 x 1 Pina career vs lhp

=

281/351/772 platoon vs

246/380/848 Grandal last year

 

Is it worse? Sure. Is that 37 million dollars worse over the next 3 years? I'd say no.

[Oxy]

Well, 1/4 means that the C is close enough to the break even point to prevent guys from running who shouldn't be running. 1/6 means that it's almost guaranteed that good base stealers will run all over him and even many others should take the chance. The chances to throw guys out won't be equal, which furthers the gap even more between good/poor catchers.

 

SBs are a minor and decreasingly important part of a guys skillset though. At least until every team starts to use more decent hitting poor throwing Cs, at which point more guys will steal bases. It's one of those self correcting balances that make the game of baseball great.

[TJseven7]

Still base stealing isn't dropping because catchers are getting a lot better at throwing guys out. It's dropping because teams don't like the risk reward of it. Even if you drop the risk its not going to alter that decision dramatically.