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2019 MLB Postseason: NLDS & ALDS Series

TURBO

By TURBO,
in Archived Game Threads

Bob Skube Snacks Prep Ball

Bob Skube Snacks

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Posted
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Cardinals have not sold out any of their postseason games yet. Not even their Sunday game and first postseason game in years.

 

A little surprised.

 

They claim “sellouts” in almost every game despite several sections’ worth of empty seats. Tickets are always abundant, and usually cheap, on the secondary market.

 

In the playoffs, you can’t get away with the “tickets sold” model of announcing attendance they claim justify the sellout claims. The emperor can’t raid his own clothes.

 

And to be fair? The Brewers likely do this too.

 

Attendance numbers are a scam in almost every sport. If teams/schools are using inaccurate numbers to gain sponsorship/advertising, etc., they’re all guilty of legal fraud.

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bill hAll Star First Round Pick

bill hAll Star

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If the Nats make the NLCS they are going to test whether the 2001 Diamondbacks model can be replicated.

 

Any model where you can stretch your good pitching to cover 90+% of the playoff innings can work. You could be the Astros or somewhat the Yankees and have a $200 million payroll + a well-drafted team and have Verlander open with a lock-down bullpen to finish. That is preferable.

 

But if you've messed up your bullpen depth over the past few years like the Nats or you're the Brewers and don't have the payroll for a Scherzer or Kershaw, you have to get creative. The Brewers bullpenned their way to it, the Nats are creatively using their starters.

 

Of course you're risking guys tiring out or having zero fallback if something unforeseen happens, but it's the best risk to take. It's a better idea than not using Scherzer or Corbin out of the pen with a small lead late in the game because, "well, this is baseball, we're supposed to call on Fernando Rodney here."

 

RE: the Twins. I'm not arguing that they are far less-talented than the Yankees, but if you watched the games you could see them clearly start pressing with RISP, missing very hittable pitches, plus the visible frustration on their faces. You don't want to be the underdog in the series AND feel the most pressure.

 

Personally I believe that Miguel Sano and Eddie Rosario were "pressing with RISP" because they were facing Zach Britton or Luis Severino or Chapman or Chad Green or Ottavino instead of Buck Farmer or Hector Santiago.

 

The Twins essentially did not face a bad pitcher all series. Loaisiga is a good pitcher but I guess hittable and Lyons is hittable. They faced those guys for 2 innings in garbage time on Saturday and that is it. So it is not surprising that an offense that put up numbers with a juiced ball mostly against bad pitching did not do all that well against the Yankees with a bunch of All Star pitchers.

 

The Yankees did get 4 runs on Tyler Duffey, a solid reliever. Beyond that, almost all of their runs came against:

-Kyle Gibson (marred by e.coli all year)

-Zach Littell

-Cody Stashak

-Randy Dobnak

 

Berrios, Odorizzi, Rogers all did great. Romo was OK.

 

So personally, I think the Yankees had slightly superior hitters hitting against a bunch of replacement level pitchers.

 

The Twins were "pressing" against 95% All-Star/Hall of Fame pitchers.

 

That's the difference. I'm not sure the Twins were pressing...I don't know if even the clutchest of hitter is going to do much off of Adam Ottavano or Chad Green after his mechanical adjustments made him unhittable this year. Those guys throwing their best stuff is going to get anyone out.

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sveumrules Carolina Mudcats

sveumrules

Community Moderator
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Is it my imagination or do starters on short rest in playoff games get lite up more often then not?

 

Managers keep sending them out there. I guess the Astros figured why not since we have Cole for game 5 anyway.

 

Not your imagination...

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fancy-stats/wp/2016/10/05/the-case-against-pitching-on-short-rest-in-mlb-playoffs/

 

Article is from 2016, but the lede is...

 

Since 1995, the first year the wild-card format was used in the playoffs, 77 pitchers have started 121 playoff games on three days or fewer of rest, resulting in a combined 35-40 record with a 4.35 ERA. Considering teams usually use their ace in this way during the postseason, those results are not very encouraging.

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willie key First Round Pick

willie key

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There are not too many times that I would bet baseball games. But tonight is the perfect storm of everything I look for. A good team who is a home underdog against a pitcher going on short rest.

 

And you were getting 2 1/2 to one. This is the game you load up on

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Baldkin ACL Brewers

Baldkin

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Three game 5's in the first round. Three win or go home games.

 

Gosh, do I love baseball. Go Rays. Go Braves.

"I wasted so much time in my life hating Juventus or A.C. Milan that I should have spent hating the Cardinals." ~kalle8

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OldSchoolSnapper Carolina Mudcats

OldSchoolSnapper

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What a snooze this is going to be. A real strong chance the LCS is New York, Houston, LA and St. Louis. Haven't watched any of it, wake me up when it's over.

 

Just as good a chance at it being nats, Braves, Rays and yankees at this point

 

I'd prefer that, but the Nationals don't really grab my attention like the Rays do.

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tmwiese55 ACL Brewers

tmwiese55

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All I care about is no STL. Then a big gap, then prefer not NYY. After that I'm ok with everyone with Rays being my #1 choice. Watching last night and listening to the announcers try to guess on the pitching strategies when they're so unfamiliar with this strategy was funny.
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Ron Robinsons Beard Biloxi Shuckers

Ron Robinsons Beard

Brewer Fanatic Contributor
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All I care about is no STL. Then a big gap, then prefer not NYY. After that I'm ok with everyone with Rays being my #1 choice. Watching last night and listening to the announcers try to guess on the pitching strategies when they're so unfamiliar with this strategy was funny.

 

Well, the Cardinals are up 9-0 in the 1st, so I imagine they'll be moving on.

 

I don't like the Braves, so I'm ok seeing them gone. Will just be cheering all that much harder for the Nats/Dodgers in the NLCS.

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BruisedCrew ACL Brewers

BruisedCrew

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Can you imagine going to a decisive game 5, being all revved up, and having the game be over before your team comes to bat? I’m not sure I would be able to stay and watch the rest.
Note: If I raise something as a POSSIBILITY that does not mean that I EXPECT it to happen.
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tmwiese55 ACL Brewers

tmwiese55

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It's almost to the point where the Cards have to think about not pitching Flaherty more than an inning or two.

 

Yea I thought the same thing. He's warmed up and all so might as well pitch 1-2 but if you pull him then he could probably go in game 2.

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