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Eligible for the Rule 5 Draft - Fall 2019


Brewer Fanatic Staff

Among these players are those the Brewers will need to add to the 40-man roster to protect them from being taken by another organization in the Rule 5 Draft at the Winter Meetings.

 

Alphabetical within current level.

 

SAN ANTONIO:

 

RHP Johan Belisario

RHP Zack Brown

OF Keon Broxton

RHP Bubba Derby

3B Lucas Erceg

RHP Justin Grimm

RHP Thomas Jankins

LHP Chris Lee

OF Corey Ray

RHP Miguel Sanchez

LHP Quintin Torres-Costa

RHP Aaron Wilkerson

 

BILOXI:

 

1B/OF Ryan Aguilar

C Alexander Alvarez

LHP Daniel Brown

RHP Jesus Castillo

1B Luis Castro

C Skyler Ewing

RHP Preston Gainey

3B/1B Jake Gatewood

RHP Nate Griep

INF C.J. Hinojosa

OF Cooper Hummel

1B Patrick Leonard

C Max McDowell

RHP Jon Olczak

OF Alexander Palma

LHP Cameron Roegner

OF Joantgel Segovia

RHP Justin Topa

IF/OF Weston Wilson

 

CAROLINA:

 

RHP Phil Bickford

RHP Chris Dula

INF Julio Garcia

LHP Nathan Kirby

RHP Nelson Hernandez

RHP Alec Kenilvort

INF Trever Morrison

RHP Michael Petersen

C Nathan Rodriguez

RHP Wuilder Rodriguez

RHP Matt Smith

RHP Braden Webb

 

WISCONSIN:

 

RHP Anthony Bender

INF Yeison Coca

RHP Carlos Herrera

OF Jesus Lujano

 

ROCKY MOUNTAIN / MARYVALE:

 

RHP Jeyner Baez

RHP Jordan Brink

1B/3B Aaron Familia

RHP Karsen Lindell

RHP Carlos Luna

IF Julio Mendez

RHP Joel Pinto

C Jose Sibrian

DH/IF Bryan Torres

RHP Nash Walters

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Protect: Z Brown, Erceg, Grisham, Ray. If space, maybe add the 1-2 relievers you think most likely to be taken (Or most likely to be useful for the Brewers in 2020) among QTC, D Brown, Sanchez, Griep, Olczak, Ponce.

 

I don't think the relievers are all that attractive tbh, there are guys like that in many systems. But that's coming from someone who has barely seen them, maybe there's something there in some of them that portends a breakout.

 

Erceg is perhaps unlikely to be taken given his struggles, but I wouldn't rule out a bad team taking a flyer on him. Can play good defense, and has the kind of tools where one small adjustment can make a real difference. Ray similarly, can think of plenty of bad teams who'd be willing to carry him as a 4th OF while trying to see if he fulfills that potential. Defense and baserunning means he'll still have some value. Brown is struggling this year, but given what he's shown in the past I don't think that scares teams off too badly.

 

And yeah, I expect we'll see the players on this list feature in any midseason trades the Brewers make. Them, and perhaps even more so Tyrone Taylor and Troy Stokes. With Ray and Grisham needing to be added, Taylor and Stokes should be prime trade bait. Unfortunately, their 2019 seasons have probably hurt their value, but they could still be part of a trade for a reliever.

 

On a more general note, with the rosters expanding to 26 players next year (With a 13-pitcher maximum), I think we can expect to see more players, especially position players, taken in the rule 5 draft this year compared to years past.

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  • 3 weeks later...
Think as of now I'd be interested in protecting Grisham, Ray, Jankins, Brown, Erceg, Sanchez, Griep, and Ponce. Obviously can't have them all. Grisham and Ray are easy. Jankins should be in the mix for the last rotation spot in the spring; at worst you have him in the Wilkerson/Burch role with full team control to see what he can do. Brown and Erceg are tough because there's potential but no results this year to warrant it. The last three are just strong bullpen candidates and would fall under the "nice to haves".
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Johan Belisario is someone I’m keeping an eye on the rest of the way. He has done very well so far in AA, but got lit up in his first appearance at AAA. If he can keep pitching well, I wonder if he would be deemed worthy of a 40 man spot after the season.
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  • 2 weeks later...

of note . . . these players are or could be eligible for free agency after the conclusion of the world series, which would remove them from the 40-man roster if they do not sign a major league contract with the brewers:

 

matt albers

jhoulys chacin

gio gonzalez

yasmani grandal (mutual option for 2020)

jordan lyles

mike moustakas (mutual option for 2020)

drew pomeranz

eric thames (club option for 2020)

 

these players are on the 60-day injured list and will have to be added back to the 40-man or outrighted to the minors:

 

corey knebel

brent suter

bobby wahl

 

as many as eight spots could potentially open up, with up to three spots taken by players activated from the injured list.

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of note . . . these players are or could be eligible for free agency after the conclusion of the world series, which would remove them from the 40-man roster if they do not sign a major league contract with the brewers:

 

matt albers

jhoulys chacin

gio gonzalez

yasmani grandal (mutual option for 2020)

jordan lyles

mike moustakas (mutual option for 2020)

drew pomeranz

eric thames (club option for 2020)

 

these players are on the 60-day injured list and will have to be added back to the 40-man or outrighted to the minors:

 

corey knebel

brent suter

bobby wahl

 

as many as eight spots could potentially open up, with up to three spots taken by players activated from the injured list.

 

In addition, there are several players without options remaining, who could be kept through ST but could also be DFA'd in the offseason to make room for Rule 5 picks or other new acquisitions:

 

Taylor Williams

Ray Black

Jake Faria

Jimmy Nelson (options remaining but 5 years service time)

Burch Smith

Tyler Saladino

 

Plus there's Aaron Wilkerson, who will have an option remaining but is about as DFA'able as it gets.

 

Yeah, I know, two of these guys haven't even thrown a pitch yet since acquiring them, they'll probably keep them through at least ST even if they're bad this year. But putting them here for the complete list of un-optionable guys in 2020.

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I think this one's fairly easy. Taking out Grisham because he's been called up, it's Brown, Sanchez, and Ray. Webb's performance and injury make him a fairly low risk to expose. Erceg's performance makes him a fairly low risk to expose. QTC's injury makes him a low risk to expose.

 

The one I wonder about is Bickford, and it's not because he's a former first round pick - it's because in a fairly small sample he's struck out 15.3/9 this year. Not sure if he found something or if he's finally healthy, but someone might take a flyer on that in their bullpen.

 

Man, looking back on Bickford's 2016 reminds me of why I was so excited about the trade, but throwing 120 IP a year after only throwing 22 IP as a 20-year-old... why?

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  • 4 weeks later...
has mlb set the limit for pitchers on an active roster in 2020? it seems to be trending towards 13, but i haven't seen anything official. this is important for teams to know because it makes it easier to gauge if teams may be more inclined to stash a position player on their 26-man roster all season.
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  • 1 month later...
Seems like Feyereisen would be a pitcher the Brewers would like to protect since they traded for him just makes me wonder why the Yankees never gave him a shot. Guess I would protect Brown, Bickford and Ray still just for potential. Have a feeling somebody would take Bickford even though he was only in A+. I am interested in how Cooper Hummel performs in 2020 but don't think he gets selected. Could maybe see Hinojosa be the next Perez/Spangenberg but only cheaper with options.
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Seems like Feyereisen would be a pitcher the Brewers would like to protect since they traded for him just makes me wonder why the Yankees never gave him a shot. Guess I would protect Brown, Bickford and Ray still just for potential. Have a feeling somebody would take Bickford even though he was only in A+. I am interested in how Cooper Hummel performs in 2020 but don't think he gets selected. Could maybe see Hinojosa be the next Perez/Spangenberg but only cheaper with options.

 

Ray has 0.1% chance of getting taken....at most. Even if taken, he’ll likely be offered back. I’d forgotten the new guy—Feyereisen. So two arms to protect, maybe Peterson, Griep, or Brown

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Seems like Feyereisen would be a pitcher the Brewers would like to protect since they traded for him just makes me wonder why the Yankees never gave him a shot. Guess I would protect Brown, Bickford and Ray still just for potential. Have a feeling somebody would take Bickford even though he was only in A+. I am interested in how Cooper Hummel performs in 2020 but don't think he gets selected. Could maybe see Hinojosa be the next Perez/Spangenberg but only cheaper with options.

 

Ray has 0.1% chance of getting taken....at most. Even if taken, he’ll likely be offered back. I’d forgotten the new guy—Feyereisen. So two arms to protect, maybe Peterson, Griep, or Brown

 

I can see someone taking Ray to see if they can fix his swing. With the added active player on the roster, and if it has to be a bench player, he can be the pinch runner, spare OF as they work with him. I assume it would be a team that really liked him in the draft that wants to get a close look.

 

You never know if a team like the Pirates that will pack it in for 2019, would do what San Diego did a few years ago and grab Rule 5 guys.

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  • 2 weeks later...
The deadline to add players to the 40 man and protect them from the rule 5 draft is tomorrow. Real interested to see what they do. Maybe learned to not protect borderline guys like Stokes because they could be let go with no restrictions during the season if there is a roster crunch. Appears now that they have a lot of room but that could change in August when trying to secure a playoff spot.
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Was a weird year - the guys you thought were good bets at the beginning of the season had disappointing seasons (Brown, Ray, Webb, Sanchez), and then some guys came out of almost nowhere (Bickford, Hummel, Topa) to force the issue.

 

I don't know how many they'll protect, but I think my pecking order would be:

 

Z. Brown

Bickford

Sanchez

Ray

Feyereisen

Hummel

QT-C

Erceg (potential to switch him to the mound)

Webb

 

I could see the Brewers protecting most of them. I could see the Brewers protecting none of them. With only 33 on the roster right now, I think they add four and leave three spots for free agents. Could easily dump D. Guerra or Perdomo to open another roster spot or two for a FA. Need to add two FA SPs and a corner IF, maybe a C.

 

Dark horse is Justin Topa. He was hitting upper 90's last year. I think the Brewers were trying to hide him by not assigning him to the AFL.

 

Edit: Duh, totally forgot about Feyereisen. Though it is odd they didn't let him pitch at the end of the year when Biloxi was in the playoffs, so maybe they were trying to hide him with the intention of not protecting him.

 

Also, for every bit that AAA hitters stats were inflated last year, AAA pitchers stats were deflated, thus I'm a bit higher on Brown and Sanchez than most.

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