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2019-06-17: Brewers (Chacín) at Padres (Lucchesi) [Brewers lose, 2-0]


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A few random thoughts and observations...

 

At the start of the year if you asked me which west coast stop worried me the most between the Angels, Giants and Padres, I would have picked this one (obviously Dodgers would have topped the list). After going 1-5 in Anaheim and San Francisco this season (although they did go 2-1 in Chavez Ravine), the Brewers could really use a bit of a west coast course correction with this series.

 

Lucchesi has been good at home (3.11 ERA), and very good against left-handed hitters this year (.501 OPS). He has thrown 100 pitches just once this year, and it is sort of curious he is pitching on short rest after throwing 95 and 90 pitches, respectively, in his past two outings.

 

Any time the Brewers are in San Diego it reminds of Ryan Braun hitting some memorable home runs at Petco Park. Braun has played in just 25 games at Petco and has 9 home runs. The only other park where Braun has played at least 20+ games and has a better HR-to-games played ratio is Citizens Bank in Philadelphia (14 HR in 38 games).

Not just “at Night” anymore.
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A few random thoughts and observations...

 

At the start of the year if you asked me which west coast stop worried me the most between the Angels, Giants and Padres, I would have picked this one (obviously Dodgers would have topped the list). After going 1-5 in Anaheim and San Francisco this season (although they did go 2-1 in Chavez Ravine), the Brewers could really use a bit of a west coast course correction with this series.

 

Lucchesi has been good at home (3.11 ERA), and very good against left-handed hitters this year (.501 OPS). He has thrown 100 pitches just once this year, and it is sort of curious he is pitching on short rest after throwing 95 and 90 pitches, respectively, in his past two outings.

 

Any time the Brewers are in San Diego it reminds of Ryan Braun hitting some memorable home runs at Petco Park. Braun has played in just 25 games at Petco and has 9 home runs. The only other park where Braun has played at least 20+ games and has a better HR-to-games played ratio is Citizens Bank in Philadelphia (14 HR in 38 games).

 

He last pitched on 6/12 so he'd be on "normal" rest for other teams. The Padres apparently have been keeping their starters on an "extra" day of rest this season.

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He last pitched on 6/12 so he'd be on "normal" rest for other teams. The Padres apparently have been keeping their starters on an "extra" day of rest this season.

Good catch, I definitely misread that as being "short" rest the first time around. I didn't realize the Padres were doing an extra day of rest for starters this season.

Not just “at Night” anymore.
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Teams are obviously figuring out that lining up their lefties for the Brewers is a winning formula.

 

The Padres have been scoring a ton of runs lately and will provide a big challenge for the Brewers fatigued pitching staff.

Note: If I raise something as a POSSIBILITY that does not mean that I EXPECT it to happen.
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We weren't going to go tonight but we have friends in from Whitefish Bay for their son's wedding so now it's all three. The UW Club's tailgate is tonight. I'm hoping the Pads will be drained from the weekend, but they were out of all of the games late save 2 9th inning surprises so their back end isn't all that bad off.
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Teams are obviously figuring out that lining up their lefties for the Brewers is a winning formula.

Somewhat surprisingly, the Brewers have an .803 OPS versus lefties this year which is tied with the Braves for the 8th best mark in MLB.

 

The Brewers also have 39 home runs off LHP which is 2nd best in MLB, just one home run shy of the Diamondbacks (40 HR vs. LHP). The Brewers are middle of the pack in how often they have faced LHP, for instance the D-backs have 114 more at bats this year against LHP which is likely due to playing in the southpaw heavy NL West.

 

The Brewers have a .782 OPS versus RHP which ranks 12th highest in baseball.

Not just “at Night” anymore.
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Teams are obviously figuring out that lining up their lefties for the Brewers is a winning formula.

 

The Padres have been scoring a ton of runs lately and will provide a big challenge for the Brewers fatigued pitching staff.

 

We are currently 10-10 vs LH starters this season, so it has been a break even strategy at best for opposing teams to this point.

 

For the season we have actually hit LHP (.803 OPS) better than RHP (.782).

 

The Padres just scored 44 runs in four games at Coors Field (11 R/G), in the sixteen games before that they scored 59 runs (3.69 R/G), well below their season average of 4.38 R/G.

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Don't worry, I'm starting Lucchesi in my fantasy league tonight. Therefore, he's guaranteed to get shelled.

 

I benched him, which guarantees the opposite effect. He'll have a great night, 8 innings, 10 K's 1 earned run and the win.

 

We'll see which of us caused the end result after the game. lol

"I'm sick of runnin' from these wimps!" Ajax - The WARRIORS
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Perez sure has been getting a LOT of starts again.

 

That’s what happens when you smack around lefties.

"This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.
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A good game from both Aguilar and Chacín as others have said will go a long way towards our mental stability. Then, we just have to worry about the lack of pitching on the market this deadline. Sheesh. Here’s to houser becoming Knebel.
"Did I ever tell you how I became a Postman Abby? I don't know if you'd laugh or cry"-The Postman
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Rooting hard for both Chacin and Aguilar tonight.

 

of course, they are Brewers...

My thought, exactly!!! :)

Aguilar is going to get on base 4 times tonight.

 

He'll get on base more than that. He plays first base, after all. He will have to hold runners on occasionally tonight. ;)

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I think Lorenzo Cain will be on base offensively a minimum of 3 times tonight. I expect at least one stolen base from him tonight. I expect at least one diving or lunging catch in the outfield from him. I expect him to start ascending beginning tonight.
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