2019 Draft Pick Discussion, Rounds 1-5

[jjgott]

 

Check out the kid sitting in the front row. Already knows it's going to be a K before the 3rd pitch is delivered

[Madhawk23]

Couple of questions this morning:

 

When does day 2 of the draft begin?

 

I know we don't pick for awhile, but are there some names that we should be keeping an eye on for our next pick at #133? We've done well in recent years with some of these round 3-10 picks, so I'm hoping we might find some more gems on day 2 here today.

[And That]

Draft re-starts at 11:30 central.

[clancyphile]

Couple of questions this morning:

 

When does day 2 of the draft begin?

 

I know we don't pick for awhile, but are there some names that we should be keeping an eye on for our next pick at #133? We've done well in recent years with some of these round 3-10 picks, so I'm hoping we might find some more gems on day 2 here today.

 

I'm hoping for Tyler Callihan to slip to 133...

[Madhawk23]

Correct me if I'm wrong, but aren't the chances pretty much zilch that Callihan would sign as a 4th round pick? If so, why are you hoping we take him in that spot. Seems likely that it would be a wasted pick.

[And That]

Yah, it is extremely doubtful that the Brewers would have enough bonus pool space to sign Callihan at 133, if he's even still there.

[Eye Black]

FanGraphs Day 1 Draft Review is a nice recap of each team's collection of picks.

 

For having the smallest bonus pool for the entire draft and only two day one selections (#42 and #69), I think the Red Sox did a nice job. I will be surprised if at least one of their two picks doesn't pan out.

[Never Outhustled]

My guy for our next pick is OF Jordan Brewer. Not just the right name, he had a big junior year at Michigan after being at a juco. Athletic and could still be on the rise.

[MadScientist]

Kelly reads like a left-handed Derrick Turnbow...

AKA Hader 2.0. A bit of development and he could be quick moving bullpen arm.

[clancyphile]

FanGraphs Day 1 Draft Review is a nice recap of each team's collection of picks.

 

For having the smallest bonus pool for the entire draft and only two day one selections (#42 and #69), I think the Red Sox did a nice job. I will be surprised if at least one of their two picks doesn't pan out.

 

Wish the Crew was able to rack up seven picks in the first day...

[brewerfan82]

Wish the Crew was able to rack up seven picks in the first day...

It makes draft day more fun, but a lot of bad things have to happen to have 7 picks in the first day. For the Brewers that would have been something like, 1.) Not being able to sign Turang last year, 2.) Not signing Grandal, 3.) Not trading for Claudio (of course that's only questionably a bad thing), 4.) Having a couple QO-caliber players, like Yelich and Hader, up for FA and losing them

 

I get what you're saying, but realistically, we're probably doing better if we're not in that scenario.

[And That]

Callihan went at 85 to the Reds.

[And That]

My guy for our next pick is OF Jordan Brewer. Not just the right name, he had a big junior year at Michigan after being at a juco. Athletic and could still be on the rise.

Brewer picked by the Astros at 106.

[trwi7]

I wish the draft would move this quickly in the first couple of rounds. There's no reason it shouldn't with picks not being able to be traded. Guess MLB Network just really thinks we care about what Harold Reynolds and Eric Byrnes have to say about them.

[JDBrewCrew]

Brewers select.....

 

Nick Kahle | Rank: 131

School: Washington Year: Junior

Position: C Age: 21 DOB: 2/28/1998

Bats: R Throws: R Height: 5'10" Weight: 210 lb.

Previously drafted: Never

WATCH

Scouting grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 40 | Run: 35 | Arm: 50 | Field: 50 | Overall: 45

 

When Kahle first got to the University of Washington after playing his high school ball in Southern California in 2017, he got to learn under the wing of Joey Morgan, who ended up being a third-round pick of the Tigers that June. Kahle's been the starter since, and while he might not surpass his predecessor in terms of when he gets taken, he's had a tremendous junior season to raise his stock.

 

Kahle has been hitting with a lot of confidence all spring, giving scouts hope he'll hit for average at the next level. He's shown the ability to catch up to good fastballs with solid bat speed and recognizes breaking stuff well, which he's gotten a lot of as teams have pitched around him. He tends to show mostly gap power, but he does stay inside the ball well and shows some ability to turn on pitches for some home run power. Short and stocky, Kahle is a below-average runner and doesn't have that much agility behind the plate. He has improved his receiving and blocks well, and while his arm is fringy strength-wise, it's accurate.

 

Teams thinking about taking Kahle early will be buying the bat and believing it will play as a pro. If it does, he has the chance to play a long time, with a floor as a very good backup and the chance to be a solid regular if everything clicks.

[JDBrewCrew]

Carlos Collazo

Verified account

@CarlosACollazo

22m22 minutes ago

We ranked Nick Kahle 131 and the #Brewers took him 133. So close. Good approach at the dish, but mixed reviews on his defense. Some like it and some are more skeptical.

#MLBDraft

 

Taylor Blake Ward

@TaylorBlakeWard

24m24 minutes ago

Nick Kahle has had strong leadership qualities since high school where he was teammates with Blake Rutherford, can stick behind plate and hit his way into backup role at minimum #Brewers

 

Dan Zielinski III

@DanZielinski3

21m21 minutes ago

More Dan Zielinski III Retweeted MLB Draft Tracker

Brewers draft Washington catcher Nick Kahle. He's an bat-first catcher with a gap-to-gap approach. He needs to refine his defensive tools but should stick behind the plate.

 

Kyler Peterson

@KPeterson813

22m22 minutes ago

With their 4th round pick, the @Brewers select C, Nick Kahle. Stocky catcher that has had strong spring. 59 BB to 26 K at Washington. #MLBDraft #Brewers

[homer]

Seems like this is a high floor kid. Most project him to be a backup at worst. Solid pick.

[JDBrewCrew]

Brewers select....

 

Thomas Dillard | Rank: 114

School: Mississippi Year: Junior

Position: OF Age: 18 DOB: 04/30/2001

Bats: S Throws: R Height: 6'0" Weight: 235 lb.

Previously drafted: Never

 

WATCH

Scouting grades: Hit: 45 | Power: 55 | Run: 40 | Arm: 50 | Field: 40 | Overall: 45

 

Dillard led all national high school players with 16 homers as a senior in 2016 -- finishing one ahead of Kyle Muller, who signed with the Braves for $2.5 million as a pitcher. He went undrafted because he was strongly committed to Mississippi and lacked an obvious position. Three years later scouts still aren't sure where he fits best, but he's a switch-hitter who has hit for power in the Southeastern Conference and draws some "poor man's Kyle Schwarber" comparisons.

 

Dillard generates impressive raw pop with a combination of bat speed, strength and loft in his swing. He has improved his plate discipline and contact rate throughout his college career and has a chance to hit for average as well. Though he has below-average speed, he's aggressive on the bases and has good feel for picking spots to steal.

 

Dillard has played mostly left field at Mississippi, showing at least average arm strength but limited range. The hope is that he can become an adequate defender in left, but he could wind up at first base or DH. He was a catcher in high school and has seen brief action behind the plate for the Rebels, though the consensus is that he doesn't receive well enough to do so in pro ball.

[JDBrewCrew]

Vinnie Cervino

@vcervinoPG

19s20 seconds ago

Thomas Dillard bangs. Performed for three years at Ole Miss, good hit/pop combo from both sides. Was announced as a catcher but likely won't stick. Defensive home is biggest liability. #Brewers

 

Zack Silverman

@ZackMatt4

30s31 seconds ago

Brewers are announcing Thomas Dillard as a catcher. If that works out, however unlikely, could be tremendous value at pick 163. Gets a lot of power from a whippy swing, performed well for Ole Miss though numbers fell off in SEC play. High ceiling if things break just right

 

Tom Mussa

@tom_mussa

4m4 minutes ago

Interesting tidbit about Thomas Dillard, although he is has a large frame of 6’ 230, dont let his size fool you. Dillard last year had 17 SB with 13 SB this year. Dude has some sneaky speed. Mix that with his good power and he might be something. Defense is a liability though.

[clancyphile]

Kahle really excites me, although how you fit him in a catcher situation with Henry, Feliciano, and Fry is a fair question.

 

Mac McDowell's days have to be numbered.

[And That]

Clancy, did Max injure you personally?

[patrickgpe]

Brewers select....

 

Thomas Dillard | Rank: 114

School: Mississippi Year: Junior

Position: OF Age: 18 DOB: 04/30/2001

Bats: S Throws: R Height: 6'0" Weight: 235 lb.

Previously drafted: Never

 

WATCH

Scouting grades: Hit: 45 | Power: 55 | Run: 40 | Arm: 50 | Field: 40 | Overall: 45

 

Dillard led all national high school players with 16 homers as a senior in 2016 -- finishing one ahead of Kyle Muller, who signed with the Braves for $2.5 million as a pitcher. He went undrafted because he was strongly committed to Mississippi and lacked an obvious position. Three years later scouts still aren't sure where he fits best, but he's a switch-hitter who has hit for power in the Southeastern Conference and draws some "poor man's Kyle Schwarber" comparisons.

 

Dillard generates impressive raw pop with a combination of bat speed, strength and loft in his swing. He has improved his plate discipline and contact rate throughout his college career and has a chance to hit for average as well. Though he has below-average speed, he's aggressive on the bases and has good feel for picking spots to steal.

 

Dillard has played mostly left field at Mississippi, showing at least average arm strength but limited range. The hope is that he can become an adequate defender in left, but he could wind up at first base or DH. He was a catcher in high school and has seen brief action behind the plate for the Rebels, though the consensus is that he doesn't receive well enough to do so in pro ball.

i was wondering how he could be a 4th year JR and be born in 01. Birthday is in 1997, which makes more sense.

[clancyphile]

Clancy, did Max injure you personally?

 

No, but I look at him, his good-field no-hit profile, and I think his ceiling is far lower than that of Feliciano, Henry, and Fry. He loses out in the numbers game. I'd rather take my chances with Cooper Hummel behind the plate. Now, there's also Kahle and Thomas Dillard in the mix. Granted Hummel and Dillard may be bench types who are OF/1B/C types, but I just don't see where McDowell fits.

[And That]

McDowell has a career 100 wRC+, which means he's been an exactly average hitter, which combined with above average defense, is actually really valuable at the catcher position. Hummel is not a catcher - he doesn't have the arm.

[CheeseheadInQC]

Clancy, did Max injure you personally?

 

No, but I look at him, his good-field no-hit profile, and I think his ceiling is far lower than that of Feliciano, Henry, and Fry. He loses out in the numbers game. I'd rather take my chances with Cooper Hummel behind the plate. Now, there's also Kahle and Thomas Dillard in the mix. Granted Hummel and Dillard may be bench types who are OF/1B/C types, but I just don't see where McDowell fits.

 

Martin Maldonado has accumulated about 12 WAR in his career. Just saying.

 

Also, Hummel and McDowell have fairly similar stats this season, basically if Hummel had one fewer home run it would be even.