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Trent Grisham


adambr2

Any chance his resurgence is for real? He's getting on base as always, but he's even hitting for power now.

 

Maybe he's just having a nice stretch. Or maybe there really was something to the "he's just always been young for his level" talk.

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Too soon to tell. His stats are decent and he is only 22...which is still fairly young for AA.

 

He still isn’t much of a prospect in my mind though. In the sense of getting excited over. I always said if he could find a way to hit .270 he would be something interesting just because he takes walks so well. Of course that is also when he had speed and he doesn’t steal as much as he used to. Not sure if there is something to that or not. A few years ago he seemed like a potential lead off hitter if he could increase contact with the speed.

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He’s been hitting atom bombs all over the field pretty much all year and has one of the biggest increases in average FB distance in the minor leagues. Yes, the improvements appear to be legit.

 

Also, he’s literally never had a below average offensive season, or even partial offensive season at an affiliate, while always being young for his league.

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I think repeating a level has helped but already reaching his season high in HR at June 1 is certainly encouraging. His OBP has always been there but would like a better average to make that OBP even more impressive.
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He has been hitting for more power since spring training so I’m inclined to think the added power is real. The bigger question for me is K-rate. Since May 1 his has been in the vicinity of 12 percent. If he can someone keep that up, his chances of hitting the higher ceiling that the power gives him skyrockets.
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I haven’t watched as many Biloxi games as past years, but in the limited bit of action I’ve seen he seems to have better footwork in his swing. In the past he had a lot of at bats where he looked like he was on ice skates. He would get really off balance on a hard swing and even corkscrew into the ground at times. More recently it looks like his front foot plants sooner and he maintains leverage throughout the swing. Again, I haven’t seen enough at bats to know if this has been an actual advancement in his development, but anecdotally in the few chances I have had to view him it seems to be an improvement.
Not just “at Night” anymore.
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I haven’t watched as many Biloxi games as past years, but in the limited bit of action I’ve seen he seems to have better footwork in his swing. In the past he had a lot of at bats where he looked like he was on ice skates. He would get really off balance on a hard swing and even corkscrew into the ground at times. More recently it looks like his front foot plants sooner and he maintains leverage throughout the swing. Again, I haven’t seen enough at bats to know if this has been an actual advancement in his development, but anecdotally in the few chances I have had to view him it seems to be an improvement.

 

He looked great in ST, hard to believe he’s only 22, so I believe he’s as good an outfield prospect we have in our system.

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Doesn't look like his recent resurgence is just lucky either.

 

Like people said here, he's hitting the ball hard and only .294 BABIP this year.

 

His last 38 games (obviously arbitrary based on his hot streak):

 

.282/.396/.535, 7 HR, 19 XBH in 169 PA (27:27 K:BB), .306 BABIP

 

He's definitely going to be interesting to watch this year. His May OPS of .842 is his best month since August 2015 during his very good rookie ball season post-draft. Still got a great walk rate too.

 

Any word on his defense? I feel like reports in the past have said he wasn't that great out there, especially in center, but they've been playing him every day in CF this year so at least he's likely a guy who could play all over.

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Grisham’s arm is adequate in LF/CF. Somewhat of a liability in RF, but not unplayable.

 

Trent should be a better OF but he still takes awkward routes and has gotten a step slower as he’s gotten bigger. I’d say he’s not a CF prospect at the big league level but he could cover there. Primarily a LF.

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No matter what, it's nice to see a former 1st rounder put some shine back on his prospect status.

 

He's just young, he never lost prospect status. Important to remember that he's 26 months younger than Corey Ray. I think we always knew he wouldn't be a true CF, but we have a huge future need for a LF. He'll eventually be a defensive asset there. Great to see the power arrive, especially considering how thin we are now in OF prospects.

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My point: per pipeline

2015 Grisham (Clark) was the 3rd rated prospect in our system.

2019 Grisham is ranked 30th in our system.

 

He lost a lot of value prior to this upswing.

 

Even in this forum

#18 ( +1 ) Trent Grisham, OF, age 22 - AA Biloxi

153 points - 25 of 27 ballots

 

Is make-or-break overly dramatic to describe Grisham’s upcoming campaign? The former #1 pick simply has not hit the last few seasons. His ultra patient approach at the plate has yielded plenty of walks, but Grisham needs to show progress actually hitting the ball this year if he wants to maintain his prospect status.

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My point: per pipeline

2015 Grisham (Clark) was the 3rd rated prospect in our system.

2019 Grisham is ranked 30th in our system.

 

He lost a lot of value prior to this upswing.

 

Even in this forum

#18 ( +1 ) Trent Grisham, OF, age 22 - AA Biloxi

153 points - 25 of 27 ballots

 

Is make-or-break overly dramatic to describe Grisham’s upcoming campaign? The former #1 pick simply has not hit the last few seasons. His ultra patient approach at the plate has yielded plenty of walks, but Grisham needs to show progress actually hitting the ball this year if he wants to maintain his prospect status.

 

He was a 1st round pick in 2015, so it's natural to be ranked highly in a system at that point based on draft profile alone. Not many teams are trading players at that stage however. Are you faulting the Brewers for not cashing in on his ranking in 2015? As to your second point, every batter needs to hit at some point. Grisham is 1.7 years younger than the average for AA so he's still at the stage where a strong year could vault him back into the top 10. He's not at that make or break point just yet. If it keeps this up, all that value is still there to be realized. If he reaches a point where he's a year or two older than average for a level and still middling then no amount of sustained success other than an awakening as a batter in the majors is restoring that value.

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My point: per pipeline

2015 Grisham (Clark) was the 3rd rated prospect in our system.

2019 Grisham is ranked 30th in our system.

 

He lost a lot of value prior to this upswing.

 

Even in this forum

#18 ( +1 ) Trent Grisham, OF, age 22 - AA Biloxi

153 points - 25 of 27 ballots

 

Is make-or-break overly dramatic to describe Grisham’s upcoming campaign? The former #1 pick simply has not hit the last few seasons. His ultra patient approach at the plate has yielded plenty of walks, but Grisham needs to show progress actually hitting the ball this year if he wants to maintain his prospect status.

 

He was a 1st round pick in 2015, so it's natural to be ranked highly in a system at that point based on draft profile alone. Not many teams are trading players at that stage however. Are you faulting the Brewers for not cashing in on his ranking in 2015? As to your second point, every batter needs to hit at some point. Grisham is 1.7 years younger than the average for AA so he's still at the stage where a strong year could vault him back into the top 10. He's not at that make or break point just yet. If it keeps this up, all that value is still there to be realized. If he reaches a point where he's a year or two older than average for a level and still middling then no amount of sustained success other than an awakening as a batter in the majors is restoring that value.

 

All good points. Grisham is one of those guys who should probably rank higher on prospect lists based on his potential, but the fact that he's been around the system for a while tends to make some of that "prospect shine" wear off. The fact that he hasn't had a true "breakout" type season hasn't helped the hype parade, either. He's still young, and if he continues the trajectory he's on, he'll be a major league player. He may not ever be a star, but you can certainly do a lot worse with 1st round picks, as the Brewers have shown us over the years.

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