2019 Brewers Season Predictions

[3and2Fastball]

2019 Brewers Predictions

 

Win-Loss Record: 85-77

 

Playoffs (Yes, No): No

 

Highest Playoff Level Achieved: None

 

All-Star Game Representative(s): Hader, Yelich

 

Offensive Player of the Year: Travis Shaw

 

Starting Pitcher of the Year: Burnes

 

Relief Pitcher of the Year: Hader

 

Most Surprising Player: Arcia

 

Most Disappointing Player: Chace Anderson

[Eye Black]

2019 Brewers Predictions

 

Win-Loss Record: 89-73

 

Playoffs (Yes, No): Yes

 

Highest Playoff Level Achieved: NLCS Appearance

 

All-Star Game Representative(s): Christian Yelich, Josh Hader, Yasmani Grandal

 

Offensive Player of the Year: Christian Yelich

 

Starting Pitcher of the Year: Brandon Woodruff

 

Relief Pitcher of the Year: Josh Hader

 

Most Surprising Player: Ben Gamel

 

Most Disappointing Player: Zach Davies

[Jimbo]

Sorry, but I see a slight regression to the mean. I don't see a repeat of Aguilar and Yelich's final six weeks.

 

90 wins.

[MadScientist]

2019 Brewers Predictions

 

Win-Loss Record: 92-70

 

Playoffs (Yes, No): Yes

 

Highest Playoff Level Achieved: WS win

 

All-Star Game Representative(s): Hader, Burns, Grandal, Yelich

 

Offensive Player of the Year: Yelich

 

Starting Pitcher of the Year: Bruns

 

Relief Pitcher of the Year: Hader

 

Most Surprising Player: Arcia

 

Most Disappointing Player: Albers

[brewcrewdue80]

Sorry, but I see a slight regression to the mean. I don't see a repeat of Aguilar and Yelich's final six weeks.

 

90 wins.

 

Both have had promising Spring Game Stats in line or better than last season's numbers. Also, what did Aguilar do the final 6 weeks that he can't do this season? He hit fewer HRs on average the last 6 weeks than he had hit before those final 6 weeks. You're talking an OPS that went from about .940-.950 to end of season .890. So at that stage for 6 weeks he must have been around an .840 OPS hitter to have that late season OPS reduce to .890. By the game logs it doesn't look like it was BA, just less power and a lower OB of only 10 pts to his season up to those 6 weeks. .360-.352 roughly. You take his 2017 and 2018 overall the stats are about on point. He's in for around 30HRs 90+ RBIs. So what is exactly your estimate for Aguilar this season?

[Marc Newfield of Dreams]

2019 Brewers Predictions

 

Win-Loss Record: 87-75

 

No Postseason

 

All-Star Game Representative(s): Yelich

 

Offensive Player of the Year: Yelich

 

Starting Pitcher of the Year: Chacin

 

Relief Pitcher of the Year: Hader

 

Most Surprising Player: Arcia

 

Most Disappointing Player: Aguilar

[Jimbo]

Both have had promising Spring Game Stats in line or better than last season's numbers. Also, what did Aguilar do the final 6 weeks that he can't do this season? He hit fewer HRs on average the last 6 weeks than he had hit before those final 6 weeks. You're talking an OPS that went from about .940-.950 to end of season .890. So at that stage for 6 weeks he must have been around an .840 OPS hitter to have that late season OPS reduce to .890. By the game logs it doesn't look like it was BA, just less power and a lower OB of only 10 pts to his season up to those 6 weeks. .360-.352 roughly. You take his 2017 and 2018 overall the stats are about on point. He's in for around 30HRs 90+ RBIs. So what is exactly your estimate for Aguilar this season?

 

Allow me to clarify, I don't see a repeat of (Aguilar) and (Yelich's final six weeks). I can't see Jesus repeating the first half he had last year.

[ReverendBrewmeister]

2019 Brewers Predictions

 

Win-Loss Record: 88-74

 

Playoffs (Yes, No): Yes (NL Central Champion)

 

Highest Playoff Level Achieved: NLCS

 

All-Star Game Representative(s): Grandal, Yelich, Hader

 

Offensive Player of the Year: Yelich (in the mix for repeat of NL MVP)

 

Starting Pitcher of the Year: Woodruff (becomes a true #2 starter)

 

Relief Pitcher of the Year: Hader (fireman role, as well as double-digit saves)

 

Most Surprising Player: Barnes (figures out how to harness talent and becomes very competent setup man)

 

Most Disappointing Player: Moustakas (doesn't hold 2B position well enough to prevent Hiura from being called up)

[Slippery_Pete]

Win-Loss Record: 93-69

 

Playoffs (Yes, No): Yes

 

Highest Playoff Level Achieved: World Series

 

All-Star Game Representative(s): Cain, Yelich, Grandal, Hader, Burnes

Offensive Player of the Year: Yelich

 

Starting Pitcher of the Year: Burnes

 

Relief Pitcher of the Year: Hader

 

Most Surprising Player: Burnes

 

Most Disappointing Player: Aguilar

[Tbadder]

Record 85–77

Playoffs No

All Star Hader, Yelich

Offensive player Yelich

Starter Chacin

Reliever Hader

Most surprising Arcia

Most disappointing Huira

 

Bold prediction: Brewers get crushed the 1st month of the season by Cards and Dodgers, spending the rest of the year playing solid, entertaining baseball that gives us hope next year

 

Hope for the future: Peralta, Burnes, and Woodruff keep their collective heads above water

 

Story of the year: injuries injuries injuries Cain misses most of the season, Nelson moves forward, gets injuries again, Knebel lost season, Jeffress basically a lost season, Thames less than 30 games, Braun plays less than 81 games, etc.

 

Comeback player: Albers

 

Personally I’m not discouraged by this. I think it’s more a matter of this is the kind of stuff that happens in baseball. The organization is on the right path and I’d expect he following year to be more competitive.

 

Crazy prediction: so much parity in the NL that only one team wins 90 games (not gonna happen)

 

Are you sure your not a cards fan? Be honest. I think you also want baseball to strike. Wouldn’t affect you much, if memory serves me right.

 

If not for the Yankees the Cards, those smug so and sos, are my most despised franchise in any sport. If my wife was a Cards fan I’d divorce her. If my kid was a Cards fan he’d be out of the will. If my boss was a Cards fan I’d quit my job of 35 years.

[Brew crew 92]

Record 85–77

Playoffs No

All Star Hader, Yelich

Offensive player Yelich

Starter Chacin

Reliever Hader

Most surprising Arcia

Most disappointing Huira

 

Bold prediction: Brewers get crushed the 1st month of the season by Cards and Dodgers, spending the rest of the year playing solid, entertaining baseball that gives us hope next year

 

Hope for the future: Peralta, Burnes, and Woodruff keep their collective heads above water

 

Story of the year: injuries injuries injuries Cain misses most of the season, Nelson moves forward, gets injuries again, Knebel lost season, Jeffress basically a lost season, Thames less than 30 games, Braun plays less than 81 games, etc.

 

Comeback player: Albers

 

Personally I’m not discouraged by this. I think it’s more a matter of this is the kind of stuff that happens in baseball. The organization is on the right path and I’d expect he following year to be more competitive.

 

Crazy prediction: so much parity in the NL that only one team wins 90 games (not gonna happen)

 

Are you sure your not a cards fan? Be honest. I think you also want baseball to strike. Wouldn’t affect you much, if memory serves me right.

 

If not for the Yankees the Cards, those smug so and sos, are my most despised franchise in any sport. If my wife was a Cards fan I’d divorce her. If my kid was a Cards fan he’d be out of the will. If my boss was a Cards fan I’d quit my job of 35 years.

 

I knew you were a cards fan!

[pacopete4]

Bump.

 

How we looking? My Cain prediction is spot on and predicting Yelich and Hader was easy. The rest isn’t looking all too great for me.

[sveumrules]

44 BF.net predictions in this thread came up with an average of about 91 wins (90.77 if I mathed right) versus preseason projections of 85 (ZIPS), 86 (538) & 88 (BPro).

 

Currently on pace for 83-84 wins.

[clancyphile]

Record: 101-61

Playoffs: NL Central Champs

Highest Level of Playoffs: World Series Champs, 4-2 over Boston

All-Stars: Burnes, Hader, Kimbrel, Yelich, Shaw, Aguilar, Grandal, Moustakas

Offensive Player of the Year: Yelich - another near-triple crown

Starting Pitcher of the Year: Corbin Burnes - Becomes a home-grown TOR pitcher

Relief Pitcher of the Year: Hader/Kimbrel (tie)

Most Surprising Position Player: Ryan Braun - Hits like the Braun of 2011-2012/Mike Moustakas - Arcia slump leads to first appearances at shortstop since Full-Season A Ball as he has a 2017-esque season with the bat and Hiura forces his way to the majors

Most Surprising Starting Pitcher: Brandon Woodruff - Burnes will get the All-Star Game appearance and the recognition, but Woodruff will be just as good.

Most Surprising Relief Pitcher: Craig Kimbrel - Signs a one-year deal with mutual option for 2020/Rick Wilson - emerges as solid asset/Jimmy Nelson - Goes to pen as young guns dominate 2019 rotation (tie)

Most Disappointing Position Player: Orlando Arcia - Hits .235/.285/.330 - Barely enough to keep his job, but will lose PT and be relegated to a defensive replacement for Moustakas.

Most Disappointing Starting Pitcher: Chacin - Slight regression from 2018, but young guns will pick up the slack

Most Disappointing Relief Pitcher: Knebel/Jeffress - Injuries will have them miss first-half playing time.

 

Bold Preditions: As hinted in other topics:

1. Brewers reach deal to add Kimbrel to bullpen by end of opening series.

2. Moustakas will play some shortstop as Arcia struggles at the plate (not 2018 bad, but...).

3. Jimmy Nelson does a John Smoltz and becomes a dominant force in the pen as he recovers from missed PT in 2017-2018.

 

Well, to date - here's where I was right:

1. Yelich is contending for the Triple Crown again.

2. Hader, Yelich. Grandal, and Moustakas are the four All-Stars for the Crew initially - and I called all of them.

3. Moose hitting like 2017.

4. Woodruff is proving to be a good pitcher - and I didn't expect him to make the ASG.

 

Where I was wrong:

1. Burnes. Wow.

2. Kimbrel. Didn't think he'd go to the [bLEEP]ing Cubs.

3. Nelson. Maybe trying to make him come back as a starter was a mistake.

[sveumrules]

Current Wins: 84

 

Preseason Projected Wins...

 

ZIPS: 85

538: 86

BPro: 88

BF.net: 91

 

Getting there.

[markedman5]

Win-Loss record: 88-74

 

Postseason: Wildcard

 

Highest Postseason level achieved: Wildcard Loss

 

All-star game representatives: Yelich, Grandal, Hader, Moose

 

Offensive player of the year: Yelich

 

Starting Pitcher of the year: Woodruff

 

Relief Pitcher of the year: Hader

 

Most surprising player: Woodruff/Moose

 

Most disappointing player: Peralta

 

This is looking pretty darn close.

[MrTPlush]

Win-Loss record: 88-74

 

Postseason: Wildcard

 

Highest Postseason level achieved: Wildcard Loss

 

All-star game representatives: Yelich, Grandal, Hader, Moose

 

Offensive player of the year: Yelich

 

Starting Pitcher of the year: Woodruff

 

Relief Pitcher of the year: Hader

 

Most surprising player: Woodruff/Moose

 

Most disappointing player: Peralta

 

This is looking pretty darn close.

 

Really messed up not picking them as World Series Champs.

[adambr2]

Wow, Surhoff nailed just about everything. Burnes is probably the biggest disappointment but other than that...wow.

[Brew crew 92]

Wow, Surhoff nailed just about everything. Burnes is probably the biggest disappointment but other than that...wow.

 

Yes, he did. Really impressive.

We’ll just have to see about that WC loss though!

[MrTPlush]

Wow, Surhoff nailed just about everything. Burnes is probably the biggest disappointment but other than that...wow.

 

No, way. Biggest disappointment has got to be Aguilar or Shaw. Probably Shaw as no one would have ever guessed he would go from one of the better 3B to can’t hit anything period.

 

Burnes was a young pitcher with little track record. Him struggling isn’t a huge shock. Big disappointment, but I think a slugger falling off the map completely at 29 was bigger. Though I understand some had crazy expectation for Burnes.

[adambr2]

Wow, Surhoff nailed just about everything. Burnes is probably the biggest disappointment but other than that...wow.

 

No, way. Biggest disappointment has got to be Aguilar or Shaw. Probably Shaw as no one would have ever guessed he would go from one of the better 3B to can’t hit anything period.

 

Burnes was a young pitcher with little track record. Him struggling isn’t a huge shock. Big disappointment, but I think a slugger falling off the map completely at 29 was bigger. Though I understand some had crazy expectation for Burnes.

 

I mean sure, Shaw makes sense. I wouldn't say Aguilar. Burnes pitching wise has to be near the top. I guess my point was it's not Peralta, but he nailed everything else at least subjectively. Even Peralta judging by many predictions here was certainly a disappointment to many and high on the list.

[stalton]

2019 Brewers Predictions

 

Win-Loss Record: 90-72

 

Playoffs (Yes, No): Yes

 

Highest Playoff Level Achieved: Lose in the WS

 

All-Star Game Representative(s): Yelich, Hader, Cain as the vote in

 

Offensive Player of the Year: Yelich

 

Starting Pitcher of the Year: Chacin and Peralta are the clear top 2

 

Relief Pitcher of the Year: Hader

 

Most Surprising Player: Moose

 

Most Disappointing Player: Aguilar

 

Oof. Could be right on the record though

[True Blue Brew Crew]

I only have a few thoughts, not a list of predictions on all of these items...

 

- Brandon Woodruff looks to be a disappointment based on what I'm seeing here. I see a lot of people tabbing him as their starting pitcher of the year. I think he's the first starter removed from the rotation, non-injury related. I think he once again provides tremendous value to the team pitching in relief as the season winds on.

 

- I've said it elsewhere but since this looks like an official prediction thread, I'll put it here. Freddy Peralta is going to be looked on as this team's ACE by year's end. Way too much misunderstanding here of just how good he is. Not a day goes by where someone doesn't post something completely inaccurate about him. Thankfully they get to play the games and this will bear itself out on the field.

 

- Continuing the theme of consolidating predictions into this space, I believe Keston Hiura will be the Brewers 2nd best hitter, behind only Yelich, from the day he's called up. By season's end he'll be a fixture in the lineup and the playing time juggling will be between Shaw, Moose, and Aguilar. Those 3 will occupy 1st and 3rd based on splits and career success against the opposing pitcher.

 

Yuck on the first two, glad to be so very wrong on Woodruff. Still expecting big things from Freddy. If anything, Woodruff's success putting it all together should give everyone hope for the much younger Peralta and for Corbin Burnes as well.

 

Couldn't have been more right about Hiura. He's right there in 2nd behind Yelich in OPS at .943, well ahead of Thames (.854), Grandal (.851), and Moustakas (.849). Calling Hiura a lineup fixture may seem obvious now, but there were people here expecting Hiura to be a September call-up who would become a regular in 2020.

[Surhoff5]

Win-Loss record: 88-74

 

Postseason: Wildcard

 

Highest Postseason level achieved: Wildcard Loss

 

All-star game representatives: Yelich, Grandal, Hader, Moose

 

Offensive player of the year: Yelich

 

Starting Pitcher of the year: Woodruff

 

Relief Pitcher of the year: Hader

 

Most surprising player: Woodruff/Moose

 

Most disappointing player: Peralta

 

Wow, I might go to Vegas after looking at my predictions.. Hopefully the Wildcard loss is the one I get way wrong.

[TURBO]

dang it! I can't believe I didn't post in this thread..

 

I am BOOOOing myself right now.