Machado to Padres - 10 years, $300 million

[SRB]

From ages 26-35 (the ages Machado will be for this contract) fat, lazy Miguel Cabrera produced 48.5 WAR.

 

Miguel Cabrera and Manny Machado are not even in the same universe offensively.

 

Machado's value derives primarily from his defense. A better comparator would be Jason Heyward.

[homer]

From ages 26-35 (the ages Machado will be for this contract) fat, lazy Miguel Cabrera produced 48.5 WAR.

 

Miguel Cabrera and Manny Machado are not even in the same universe offensively.

 

Machado's value derives primarily from his defense. A better comparator would be Jason Heyward.

 

I think the point is that Cabrera was supposedly a doofus and he performed just fine his whole career even after signing a big deal.

[sveumrules]

From ages 26-35 (the ages Machado will be for this contract) fat, lazy Miguel Cabrera produced 48.5 WAR.

 

Miguel Cabrera and Manny Machado are not even in the same universe offensively.

 

Machado's value derives primarily from his defense. A better comparator would be Jason Heyward.

 

I think the point is that Cabrera was supposedly a doofus and he performed just fine his whole career even after signing a big deal.

 

You're both right.

 

The comparison was bad to begin with because Cabrera has always been elite bat/poor defense while Machado has been good bat/elite defense. Two completely different profiles.

 

The comparison is doubly flawed because Cabrera was a top 5 player in MLB from age 26-35, an outcome San Diego would love on their investment.

 

The Heyward comparison is much better & FG had an interesting article building off just that comparison...

 

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-specter-of-jason-heywards-contract-looms-over-manny-machado/

 

TL, DR version is that comparable players to Machado averaged between 26 & 36 WAR from ages 26-35 depending on which parameters were used to determine the pool of comparable players.