Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

Is Ace Chanderson back?


BrewersAA

Obviously there is a huge “small sample size alert” here, but if Ace is back that would be an incredible boost to this team. For me it not just a good outing against a good team, but it was his velocity. For much of the year chase has been 91-94 on the fastball and that has been concerning to me since last season a high velocity accompanied his breakout. Last night he sat mostly at 94 and topped out at 97, he only touched 95 and 96 a couple times and I only saw 97 once, but he was beating hitters with it. There is a big difference in how every other pitch plays when the heater is coming in 94-95 vs 91-92. Anyone else notice this last night??

 

Also, the rotation would start looking pretty good again with last seasons Ace, Guerra, Cachin, David’s, and Suter

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Recommended Posts

I keep seeing references to this big difference in FB velocity between this season and last. Per Fangraphs, his FB averaged 93.7 last year, it's at 93 this year. I haven't dug any deeper yet, but pretty sure he started off last season a little lower in velo as well. So yea, I think he is ramping it up a little but it doesn't look like it's much different from last season.

 

Key for him, IMHO, is locating the curve. When he can drop that hammer for strikes, he looks Ben Sheets-like.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I keep seeing references to this big difference in FB velocity between this season and last. Per Fangraphs, his FB averaged 93.7 last year, it's at 93 this year. I haven't dug any deeper yet, but pretty sure he started off last season a little lower in velo as well. So yea, I think he is ramping it up a little but it doesn't look like it's much different from last season.

 

Key for him, IMHO, is locating the curve. When he can drop that hammer for strikes, he looks Ben Sheets-like.

 

I think there was concern after Anderson's 1st 1-2 starts this season when the velo was noticeably down...little was made of the fact he was fresh off an illness just as the season started and likely wasn't feeling 100%. That concern sort of waned after awhile, and now that he's gotten a few starts since coming off the DL under him it sure looks like the velo isn't as much of a worry going forward.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Checking Fangraphs his velocity was way up yesterday. Fastball was more in line with 2017 and honestly for the first time all year. Hasn’t pitched nearly that hard all year.

 

Before last night his velocity was steadily dropping three games in a row. Which isn’t unheard of throughout a season, but sure nice to see him revert back to throwing hard.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Velocity was definitely up last night, and I know CC and Chase both commented about it after the game. Boy, let's hope that this is the start of a good run for Chase and he can start to get back to his 2017 form. We need that badly if this team is really going to continue to compete for the division or a playoff spot this year. Very encouraging to see that performance last night, and let's just hope that he can build off of it.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Chase looked fantastic yesterday. He kept the ball DOWN. When he missed, he missed just a bit, and it was off the plate or further down. THAT is how you have to miss when you miss.

 

That was the best pitched game we have seen from a starter this year. Also, as I stated in the IGT, letting him go out for the 7th inning will only help him long term confidence wise.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Velocity was definitely up last night, and I know CC and Chase both commented about it after the game. Boy, let's hope that this is the start of a good run for Chase and he can start to get back to his 2017 form. We need that badly if this team is really going to continue to compete for the division or a playoff spot this year. Very encouraging to see that performance last night, and let's just hope that he can build off of it.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Verified Member
His velocity increased over the first couple months of the season and he really broke out in June last year as well, so it's something to be optimistic about. (Granted his start to 2018 was worse than his start to 2017 before he broke out)
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Verified Member

Chase Anderson Splits

 

2017, through May: 55.2 IP, 3.72 ERA, 3.75 FIP, 4.66 xFIP, 1.35 WHIP, .331 wOBAA

2017, from June: 85.2 IP, 2.10 ERA, 3.47 FIP, 4.12 xFIP, 0.92 WHIP, .246 wOBAA

 

2018, through May: 55.0 IP, 4.42 ERA, 6.26 FIP, 5.37 xFIP, 1.24 WHIP, .337 wOBAA

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Chase’s fastball velocity dipped over his last 6 or so starts after he came off the DL. That maybe be part of the overall yearly velocity not being considerable higher than this year. Regardless, it was the first outing I saw over 95 this year and that bodes well.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I still think he injured himself on that slide opening day, and is finally getting healthy now. Like others have said, great to have the real Chase back, he's a dominant pitcher.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

"88.6% of all statistics are made up right there on the spot" Todd Snider

 

-Posted by the fan formerly known as X ellence. David Stearns has brought me back..

Link to comment
Share on other sites

FanGraphs has his average fastball velocities by year:

 

2016: 92.1

2017: 93.7

2018: 93.1

 

So at least some of that bump has carried over to 2018, and I think there's a way somewhere to look at it by month because at the beginning of this season, I seem to remember someone saying that Anderson's velocity went up throughout the course of 2017 and his 2018 velocity wasn't that far off month-to-month.

 

Anyways, it'll be interesting to see his next start which is a day game on a super hot day so hopefully he'll feel right in his element again and will bring the heat!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Found it on Brooks Baseball:

 

Fourseam Fastball velo by month:

 

3/17 93.39

4/17 92.97

5/17 93.76

6/17 94.49

7/17 93.63

8/17 93.76

 

3/18 92.43

4/18 92.58

5/18 93.34

6/18 93.53

 

So he started a lot lower than last year, but he's working his way back up.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

That looks about right. Obviously avg. fab velocity is really important when looking at a pitcher, but I’m also a believe in looking at their max velocity as well. When I guy is maxing at 94 vs a guy that may have close the the same avg. speed but has show. 97, it makes the hitters have to respect that 97 could be coming and therefor the offspeed plays up, even if the avg is fairly similar. Does that make sense?
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Was ridiculously lucky last year. FB/HR ratio was one of the best in the entire majors. Uptick in velocity was there but was overstated considering most pitchers added about 2 mph due to the new measuring system. Is basically just a better version of the 2015-16 Chase, but still the same basic pitcher.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

The Twins Daily Caretaker Fund
The Brewer Fanatic Caretaker Fund

You all care about this site. The next step is caring for it. We’re asking you to caretake this site so it can remain the premier Brewers community on the internet. Included with caretaking is ad-free browsing of Brewer Fanatic.

×
×
  • Create New...