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2017 Draft Pick Discussion, Rounds 1-5

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colbyjack Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

colbyjack

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I'm a little surprised they went with another bat with their next pick, but I like Tristen Lutz a lot. He's one of those guys that quickly passes the eye test, a very physical player with a big upside.

 

Here's the PG Draft Pack report on Lutz:

 

Tristen Lutz – OF

 

Height/Weight: 6-3/210

Bats/Throws: R/R

Birthdate: August 22, 1998

High School: Martin

Hometown: Arlington, Texas

Travel Team: Academy Select

Commitment: Texas

Projected Draft Round: 2-3

 

If you put all the top prospects in the country in order according to their physical strength and build, Texas high schooler Tristan Lutz would be right near the top. His 6-foot-3, 210-pound chiseled frame is immensely strong without being tight and restricted and he stands out even on a field crowded with top players.

 

Lutz has also stood out for his performance. He was among the top hitters at two of the last major events on the 2016 circuit, the Area Code Games and the WWBA World Championships, giving scouts a positive last impression going into their winter planning. He has also been a consistent high level for Arlington Martin High School, annually one of the top programs in the country.

 

For a right handed hitter with his strength and raw power, Lutz has a very short and direct swing and has consistently shown the ability to hit the ball as hard to right centerfield as he does pulling the ball. He hits from a deep bent knee crouch, which doesn't help his ability to lift the ball with any consistency, but he does consistently square up the ball hard, which given his strength, results in a steady diet of line drives and extra base hits. Scouts project that his power will improve as he stands taller in the box.

 

Lutz's secondary tools are very solid. He runs in the mid-4.2's from home to first, which is solid average major league speed, and has a plus throwing arm from the outfield. He plays centerfield at present but has the prototype tools to be a above average defender in right field.

 

Lutz has been slowly moving up team's draft boards all spring as more and more scouts appreciate his combination of strength driven tools and polished high school skills. With how much his stock has already gone up, it would be shocking if he even exceeded his second-third round projected draft position above. (DR)

 

And video from the good folks at 2080 Baseball:

 

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wichmae College Ball

wichmae

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Gonna have to go over slot to sign Lutz. Not a huge fan of this one IMO.

Why?

 

MLB Pipeline has him ranked #34 - right about where we picked him. Is there some reason we would have to go over slot?

He probably has the second highest signability issue besides Baz for the top 50 guys. His Texas commit is very, very strong. Its gonna take some coin to sign him.

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homer MVP

homer

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He's a big 18 year old. Wow
"Dustin Pedroia doesn't have the strength or bat speed to hit major-league pitching consistently, and he has no power......He probably has a future as a backup infielder if he can stop rolling over to third base and shortstop." Keith Law, 2006
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reillymcshane Nashville Sounds

reillymcshane

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Gonna have to go over slot to sign Lutz. Not a huge fan of this one IMO.

Why?

 

MLB Pipeline has him ranked #34 - right about where we picked him. Is there some reason we would have to go over slot?

He probably has the second highest signability issue besides Baz for the top 50 guys. His Texas commit is very, very strong. Its gonna take some coin to sign him.

Aha. Gotcha. Thanks for the info.

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wallus First Round Pick

wallus

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Gonna have to go over slot to sign Lutz. Not a huge fan of this one IMO.

Why?

 

MLB Pipeline has him ranked #34 - right about where we picked him. Is there some reason we would have to go over slot?

He probably has the second highest signability issue besides Baz for the top 50 guys. His Texas commit is very, very strong. Its gonna take some coin to sign him.

 

Don't you think they would have talked to him about this before the draft?

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82brewcrew82 ACL Brewers

82brewcrew82

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Gonna have to go over slot to sign Lutz. Not a huge fan of this one IMO.

Why?

 

MLB Pipeline has him ranked #34 - right about where we picked him. Is there some reason we would have to go over slot?

He probably has the second highest signability issue besides Baz for the top 50 guys. His Texas commit is very, very strong. Its gonna take some coin to sign him.

 

They are not picking him here without taking that into consideration and/or having a plan in place to sign him.

but it's not like every guy suddenly forgot every piece of advice he gave
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brwrsfan First Round Pick

brwrsfan

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They almost certainly knew what it would cost to sign him or they wouldn't take him with the comp pick (I think, not sure, but you don't get those back for not signing the guy right??).

 

Still got pick 46 coming, and several pitchers I think a lot of us would like. Could Carlson get there??

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