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Angel Pagan?


Pagan's still out there. At 35, he's more suited to be a 4th OF, but he'd be an improvement over Kirk and be a guy who could possibly be flipped at the deadline. Imagine he's pricing himself rather high and hence nobody's taken him. Still runs well enough to have stolen 15 bases last year, so he'd fit with Counsell's style too.
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Pagan's still out there. At 35, he's more suited to be a 4th OF, but he'd be an improvement over Kirk and be a guy who could possibly be flipped at the deadline. Imagine he's pricing himself rather high and hence nobody's taken him. Still runs well enough to have stolen 15 bases last year, so he'd fit with Counsell's style too.

Pagan can't play CF very well any more. He was awful in 2015, and the Giants only put him there last year for four games.

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Not a chance. 11years-17WAR

has been a negative defensively for 5years running. The bat isn't anything special. He'll want far more than he's worth to play here. At his age/talents Id think he'd want to play for a team with Playoff potential...even though he has WS titles with the Giants... Just what keeps up his motivation if he's signed to a rebuilding team? Especially becoming a 4th OF or 5th on that team? Just don't buy in to either side wanting a deal.

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How can he be a flip candidate when no one wants him for free right now? Way too much flipping talk, if it were that easy to flip players, you'd think it would happen all the time.
"I'm sick of runnin' from these wimps!" Ajax - The WARRIORS
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Take ABs away from Perez and potentially Brinson so we can try to flip a 35 year old OF for a middling prospect? Pass. I have no problem finding someone other than Kirk N, but it needs to be someone on the right side of 30.

 

I really don't like this flipping concept to begin with. Last year was a bit different since CF and most f the IF was wide open. Made sense to bring a bunch of guys in, see who could stick, and try to trade others if there was a surplus. We're another year down the road now, no reason to do that- especially in the OF.

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Pagan made 30M the past 3yrs. Kirk is making 900k this year. The OF is already set and Brinson is on the brink of making his way up followed by Cordell and that doesn't include Reed as a potential backup. There are plenty of backup OFs north and south of 30yrs old I'd rather have than Kirk, including Pagan, but factoring in comp and the OF situation there's no logical reasoning to bring a veteran on right now to try to flip as that requires starter ABs.

 

Additionally, Pagan played 4 games in CF last year because they acquired Span as the starter shifting him to LF. The Giants have been a strong defensive team for a while now, that's a major focus for them, and Pagan's been a part of that the past 5yrs. Saying he's not good defensively, while solely citing (defensive) WAR, is outrageous.

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Saw the player name and immediately knew who started the thread. Totally pointless to sign him unless a bus full of Brewers outfielders drives off a cliff.

ditto. we already have a couple of better versions of angel pagan on the team and in the minors.

"I wish him the best. I hope he finds peace and happiness in his life and is able to enjoy his life. I wish him the best." - Ryan Braun on Kirk Gibson 6/17/14
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Additionally, Pagan played 4 games in CF last year because they acquired Span as the starter shifting him to LF. The Giants have been a strong defensive team for a while now, that's a major focus for them, and Pagan's been a part of that the past 5yrs. Saying he's not good defensively, while solely citing (defensive) WAR, is outrageous.

The fan scouting reports on Fangraphs (I KNOW FANGRAPHS OMG HOW CLICHE) seem to indicate a decline in defensive ability for Pagan over the past few years. His overall grades since 2013: 60, 55, 39, 32. He's also 35 going on 36, and missed a lot of time due to injury in 2013-2014, so it's not difficult to think that decline in grading might have some merit. He never had a great arm, and he's certainly not as fast as he was at his peak with the Mets a half dozen years ago.

 

He was at one point a good defender, but once being a good defender playing on a generally strong defensive team does not make him a good defender at present.

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The only position where it made sense to sign a veteran "flip candidate" was bullpen/closer, and we just did that.

"The most successful (people) know that performance over the long haul is what counts. If you can seize the day, great. But never forget that there are days yet to come."

 

~Bill Walsh

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The only position where it made sense to sign a veteran "flip candidate" was bullpen/closer, and we just did that.

 

Didn't we have interest in Michael Saunders though?

 

I don't remember seeing that anywhere. And it wouldn't make any sense to me. Saunder is not a Stearns guy at all and then factoring in the loss of a draft pick and I don't see why they would have had any interest.

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The only position where it made sense to sign a veteran "flip candidate" was bullpen/closer, and we just did that.

 

Didn't we have interest in Michael Saunders though?

 

I don't remember seeing that anywhere. And it wouldn't make any sense to me. Saunder is not a Stearns guy at all and then factoring in the loss of a draft pick and I don't see why they would have had any interest.

 

http://www.brewcrewball.com/2017/1/17/14298762/brewers-michael-saunders-free-agency

"This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.
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Additionally, Pagan played 4 games in CF last year because they acquired Span as the starter shifting him to LF. The Giants have been a strong defensive team for a while now, that's a major focus for them, and Pagan's been a part of that the past 5yrs. Saying he's not good defensively, while solely citing (defensive) WAR, is outrageous.

The fan scouting reports on Fangraphs (I KNOW FANGRAPHS OMG HOW CLICHE) seem to indicate a decline in defensive ability for Pagan over the past few years. His overall grades since 2013: 60, 55, 39, 32. He's also 35 going on 36, and missed a lot of time due to injury in 2013-2014, so it's not difficult to think that decline in grading might have some merit. He never had a great arm, and he's certainly not as fast as he was at his peak with the Mets a half dozen years ago.

 

He was at one point a good defender, but once being a good defender playing on a generally strong defensive team does not make him a good defender at present.

Just because there's a decline in defensive ability doesn't mean he's not fine defensively. And you speak as if he wasn't with the Giants last year starting for them. Fangraphs defensive modeling is completely and utterly pointless. They don't even adjust based on defensive shifts, which are insanely common in today's game. There are several variables that make-up one's defensive ability that cannot be measured analytically. So continue to cite defensive WAR as if it's a hard selling point.

 

All this is moot given Pagan doesn't come close to fitting a need and doesn't make any sense.

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So continue to cite defensive WAR as if it's a hard selling point.

I cited Fangraphs defensive WAR exactly zero times in the post you quoted.

 

Fan scouting reports are reports compiled by asking people who watch the player play, what they think. I believe these have been around since before Fangraphs in some shape or form. Tom Tango came up with them, IIRC.

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Additionally, Pagan played 4 games in CF last year because they acquired Span as the starter shifting him to LF. The Giants have been a strong defensive team for a while now, that's a major focus for them, and Pagan's been a part of that the past 5yrs. Saying he's not good defensively, while solely citing (defensive) WAR, is outrageous.

Some people believe in WAR - at least to some degree. I don't think anyone takes it as gospel, but it offers a point of reference. If you don't like WAR - that's fine. But 'Outrageous'? Not even close.

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Just because there's a decline in defensive ability doesn't mean he's not fine defensively. And you speak as if he wasn't with the Giants last year starting for them. Fangraphs defensive modeling is completely and utterly pointless. They don't even adjust based on defensive shifts, which are insanely common in today's game. There are several variables that make-up one's defensive ability that cannot be measured analytically. So continue to cite defensive WAR as if it's a hard selling point.

I think the numbers indicate a decline as a defensive player - especially as a CF - whether you look at Fangraphs or Baseball Reference or Defensive Runs Saved or UZR or simpley reading what others have had to say about the guy - or watching him play.

 

I would love to know why you find Fangraphs defensive ratings as completely and utterly pointless. Personally, I don't know much about how they are calculated. So I would like understand why ratings such as Fangraphs - or whatever ranking system - are reliable (or not).

 

Perhaps it's a great post to start. Again, I don't really know that much about how ratings like Fangraphs are calculated - so someone explaining clearly why they think they work or not would be kind of cool.

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  • 2 months later...
Can anyone explain how Kirk Nieuwenhuis has a major league job and Angel Pagan does not? Ok Pagan was hoping for regular's money and he did fail a physical last month with Orioles. But are Brewers in such dire straits with their payroll that they can't at least offer him what they saved by unloading Gennett?
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Can anyone explain how Kirk Nieuwenhuis has a major league job and Angel Pagan does not? Ok Pagan was hoping for regular's money and he did fail a physical last month with Orioles. But are Brewers in such dire straits with their payroll that they can't at least offer him what they saved by unloading Gennett?

 

 

Didn't you just answer your own question? Wanted a lot more money than Kirk and he couldn't pass a physical. Those are two good reasons he's unemployed.

"This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.
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Can anyone explain how Kirk Nieuwenhuis has a major league job and Angel Pagan does not? Ok Pagan was hoping for regular's money and he did fail a physical last month with Orioles. But are Brewers in such dire straits with their payroll that they can't at least offer him what they saved by unloading Gennett?

 

 

Didn't you just answer your own question? Wanted a lot more money than Kirk and he couldn't pass a physical. Those are two good reasons he's unemployed.

Add in playing time. Pagan might simply be looking for a situation that will get him more playing time (not to mention money). I think it's pretty simple.

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