D-Backs Eyeing Wily Peralta?

[Jenkins5]

If Peralta netted us Jake Lamb and Peter O'Brien, I'd do it in a heartbeat. Two guys that can play now, are young, controllable, and could be very good MLB players.

 

In no way I think Peralta's value is that much higher than Lamb's. He has a little more track record, however, has more service time lined up. I have a feeling the best we could possible do if Lamb is included would be Peralta for Lamb & a prospect in lower levels who is a low floor- high ceiling Diplan type.

 

The need a quality starter who is controlled and we need a quality 3B who is controlled. Both teams fill their holes. If we want O'Brien to, we will most likely have to throw in another prospect

[brewcrewdue80]

Things to look at when rating O'Brien. He's 25. He's slow. He hasn't established a definitive defensive position yet, at this stage. He's probably more suited to be just a DH. There's a reason he's not in a top 100 prospect ranking. He's got power but that is all that can be counted on. Will he bat .190 or .275? He's obviously going to be a negative if played in the OF with his Catcher speed. You play him at 1b and .190-.240BA isn't solving that position even with 30-40HRs. unless it comes with a .350+OB. He's just got major bust potential to be reading him like he's of great trade value. Lamb will stick in MLB. O'Brien may just be a AAAA player and out of baseball within 5years. His ceiling to me is just Solid contributor.

[MrTPlush]

Here's the thing: You have to bet on Peralta having a Carrasco-esque figuring it out moment that gets him into a mid/high 2s FIP pitcher this coming season. That's your gamble.

 

Why the heck do I have to bet on him getting a FIP in the 2s!?

 

Just getting back to a stat line similar to 2014 would give him a lot more value than he does now.

[bill hAll Star]

Here's the thing: You have to bet on Peralta having a Carrasco-esque figuring it out moment that gets him into a mid/high 2s FIP pitcher this coming season. That's your gamble.

 

Why the heck do I have to bet on him getting a FIP in the 2s!?

 

Just getting back to a stat line similar to 2014 would give him a lot more value than he does now.

 

He was a bit lucky in 2014, but yeah, he was productive. The issue is then: how much value does a "decent" pitcher have on a tanking team have with only 3 years of control left as of right now?

 

I'm not going to hold on to Peralta for dear life hoping he improves from "below average" to "decent" to close this thing out. That's like holding out on a stock that has a "hold" status in hopes that you might see a 1% gain next year when the stock is known to have the risk of the bottom falling out. If that's the case, just sell now. You could get your 1% gain but I'd rather not wait for that at the risk of Tommy John surgery or a 5 ERA.