Brewer predictions

[AKCheesehead]

GoGo saved it us with his jam job blooper today. Not out of the woods by any stretch though, I'll still be surprised if nobody gets us this year.

[adambr2]

Looks like most of this thread should be in blue. Yikes.

[Bombers]

Record: 73-89

Playoffs: Emphatic No.

Team MVP - Garza

Surprises - Brewers pitching staff only allows 600 runs.

Disappointments - Brewers Bats only score 530.

Bold Predictions: Miller Park hosts a World Series for Cubs vs Red Sox as heavy snow in the final week of October forces games to be moved out of Chicago.

bump ... Just so we can reflect back at how most of us homers were way off

 

lcbj68c had the lowest win total guess. (From my quick scroll through the thread) ... I am hoping for more than 90 losses as I really want a top 5 pick. But we do have a good shot at the Cubs in the World Series

[Bombers]

Just for reference, we are 53-74 with a .417 win %. With 35 games left that will give us 15 more wins if we can stay at that win %. Final record would be 68-94.

 

Also, taking a look at the other bottom feeders. The Reds may not win a game for the rest of the season outside of playing us:

LAD(1), @ MIL 3, @ CHC 3, MIL 3, PIT 3, STL 4, @ SF 3, @ MIL 3, @STL 3, NYM 4, WSH 1, CHC 3, PIT 3

[FVBrewerFan]

Record: 73-89

Playoffs: Emphatic No.

Team MVP - Garza

Surprises - Brewers pitching staff only allows 600 runs.

Disappointments - Brewers Bats only score 530.

Bold Predictions: Miller Park hosts a World Series for Cubs vs Red Sox as heavy snow in the final week of October forces games to be moved out of Chicago.

bump ... Just so we can reflect back at how most of us homers were way off

 

lcbj68c had the lowest win total guess. (From my quick scroll through the thread) ... I am hoping for more than 90 losses as I really want a top 5 pick. But we do have a good shot at the Cubs in the World Series

 

He also named Garza MVP, so that should cancel out his record prediction

[ewitkows]

Garza and Loshe maybe the MVP of this team. They were both so horrible they finally made the front office confront what this team is. The Gomez trade doesn't happen unless we were crap.

[3and2Fastball]

We are an optimistic lot in preseason here at Brewerfan.net, I'll give us that. I laugh at my prediction of 80-82 although I was of course correct about "no playoffs"

 

I am thrilled that my predicxted "disappointment" of Melvin & Roenicke will be invited back after the season won't come true. That gives me a little hope

[Ennder]

It is fun to go back and read this stuff but nobody is really right or wrong. There was no way to predict how bad they would be in the start of the season. Since then they are around .500. Seasons are many times defined by one hot or cold streak. That is why even the best projection systems don't look good at the end of a season, baseball is just too erratic.

[Bombers]

It is fun to go back and read this stuff but nobody is really right or wrong. There was no way to predict how bad they would be in the start of the season. Since then they are around .500. Seasons are many times defined by one hot or cold streak. That is why even the best projection systems don't look good at the end of a season, baseball is just too erratic.

Agreed. I like going back and looking at this. I do find it funny that we were mostly way off. But like you said, there is just no good way to predict this.

[LouisEly]

Garza and Loshe maybe the MVP of this team. They were both so horrible they finally made the front office confront what this team is. The Gomez trade doesn't happen unless we were crap.

And they'll help the Brewers get a hopefully top-5, very likely top-7 draft pick instead of another 12-18th overall pick, as well as more international signing bonus money.

 

I think most of us agree that this season is preferable than a season of 78-83 wins.

[FidoMcCokefiend]

Just for reference, we are 53-74 with a .417 win %. With 35 games left that will give us 15 more wins if we can stay at that win %. Final record would be 68-94.

 

I'd feel way more comfortable at 64 or 65 wins getting us into the top 3 here. The nine games vs Cin will be pretty huge in determining that.

[reillymcshane]

Just for reference, we are 53-74 with a .417 win %. With 35 games left that will give us 15 more wins if we can stay at that win %. Final record would be 68-94.

 

 

Last season saw us collapse in September, but the previous two years saw the club do well late.

 

In 2013, we were 59-76 at the end of August. We went 15-12 rest of the way to finish 74-88.

 

In 2012, we were 63-68 at the end of August. We went 20-11 rest of the way to finish 83-79.

 

Both times, especially 2012, gave people hope for the next season. For better or for worse, it sort of set the stage for the club to 'stay the course' and not go into a rebuilding mode. It also gave us lesser draft picks.

 

September ball can be kind of strange, especially when it comes to teams out of the race. Winning no longer is that big of a deal - teams are getting looks at young players, at times having lineups not far removed from AAA. Often times marginal teams can beat up on these kinds of lineups. The upcoming 15 games against Cincy, SD and Miami are the ones where this kind of thing can really happen.

[logan82]

Garza and Loshe maybe the MVP of this team. They were both so horrible they finally made the front office confront what this team is. The Gomez trade doesn't happen unless we were crap.

And they'll help the Brewers get a hopefully top-5, very likely top-7 draft pick instead of another 12-18th overall pick, as well as more international signing bonus money.

 

I think most of us agree that this season is preferable than a season of 78-83 wins.

Yes it is. If you can't get into the playoffs you might as well get a good pick. 78-83 wins would be preferable if we had some really good young talent in the high minors or on the MLB club.

 

In 2013, we were 59-76 at the end of August. We went 15-12 rest of the way to finish 74-88.

 

In 2012, we were 63-68 at the end of August. We went 20-11 rest of the way to finish 83-79.

Those were miserable times to be a Brewers fan. 2012 setup the Lohse signing in 2013. then there was the Horrible decision to resign Yuni. then to compound that they put him at 1B. So after that crap start to the year they win enough games at the end of 2013 to drop several picks in the draft. Add in a spot lost to a compensation pick from the year before also.