Jacoby Ellsbury to NYY: 7 yrs./$153M guaranteed, 8 yrs./$169M max

[TooLiveBrew]

MLBTR link

 

WEDNESDAY: Ellsbury is guaranteed $148MM over the first seven years of the contract, and there is a $21MM option for an eighth year that comes with a $5MM buyout, according to Yahoo's Tim Brown (on Twitter).

 

8:41pm: Ellsbury's deal is worth $153MM over seven years, according to Mark Feinsand of the New York Daily News (on Twitter). That tops Carl Crawford's deal by $12MM.

 

7:31pm: The Yankees have agreed to sign Jacoby Ellsbury, according to Mark Feinsand of the New York Daily News (via Twitter). Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com first reported that the two sides were closing in on a seven-year pact. It is believed the deal will top Carl Crawford's $142MM, seven-year deal with one estimate pegging the deal at about $150MM, according to Heyman.

 

EDIT: Per Bryan Hoch (covers NYY for MLB.com):

 

Ellsbury's Yankees deal is seven years and $153 million. There is also an eighth year option that could raise the total value to $169M.

[craigharmann]

Ellsbury, ARoid, McCann, maybe Cano......that's a lot of money sunk into players. But it's the Yankees. Who cares if they actually win.

[Warning Track Power]

Wow...that is a TERRIBLE contract. For a player whose 162 game average is .297/.350/.439 15 HR, 71 RBI, 55 SB that sure does seem like an enormous overpay. If he is the player he was in 2011, then maybe but that season sure does look like the outlier in his career.

[brewcrewdue80]

He's a 5-8WAR type of CF. Definitely better than Granderson. Bourn and Upton got what 15mil per? and I in no way would take those two over Ellsbury. He was a hott commodity sought after by a number of teams. Just think what Gomez would be getting in FA this year if he hadn't extended? Probably close to this deal imo.

[torts]

bet they'll love paying that contract when he's 36/37

[brewmann04]

http://espn.go.com/new-york/mlb/story/_/id/10075982/jacoby-ellsbury-new-york-yankees-agree-contract

 

This is almost why i can't get excited about Baseball and FA or the Brewers chances to win a WS

[vegasbrewcrew1993]

i wonder if boston fans hate him now lol. i knew the yankees weren't going to stay quiet for much longer. they had to go out and do something yankeeish. i agree with brewmann04. this is why i don't bother getting excited about free agency. the brewers will never have a shot at signing someone important.

[Web Jim Edmonds]

Sox fans going berserk on twitter.

http://deadspin.com/angry-dumb-red-sox-fans-call-jacoby-ellsbury-a-trader-1476102468?utm_campaign=socialflow_deadspin_facebook&utm_source=deadspin_facebook&utm_medium=socialflow

[JohnBriggs12]

To think some thought the Brewers made a mistake signing Gomez last year. What a steal that deal was. Ellsbury's numbers the last few seasons are basically the same as Aoki's, with more stolen bases. Of course he plays CF too.

[Invader3K]

Of course this pretty much means Gomez won't be signing another extension with the Brewers, if he was ever going to.

[brewmann04]

Hopefully by that time we have one of our Minor League CF ready to take over.

[jerichoholicninja]

So how's that whole staying under the luxury tax thing working out?

 

Yes, the Yankees have a virtually unlimited budget but at some point the perfect storm of bad contracts will happen and they will be stuck. When Teixeira, Sabathia, ARod, McCann, and Ellsbury all reach the point in which they are old and crappy (or crappier) they are going to have a mess on their hands.

[Invader3K]

So how's that whole staying under the luxury tax thing working out?

 

Yes, the Yankees have a virtually unlimited budget but at some point the perfect storm of bad contracts will happen and they will be stuck. When Teixeira, Sabathia, ARod, McCann, and Ellsbury all reach the point in which they are old and crappy (or crappier) they are going to have a mess on their hands.

 

Yeah, but if they secure one or two more World Series championships in the mean time, they probably won't care too much. "Pennants fly forever", as they say.

[Roderick]

So how's that whole staying under the luxury tax thing working out?

 

Yes, the Yankees have a virtually unlimited budget but at some point the perfect storm of bad contracts will happen and they will be stuck. When Teixeira, Sabathia, ARod, McCann, and Ellsbury all reach the point in which they are old and crappy (or crappier) they are going to have a mess on their hands.

 

Why? When the player gets bad the Yankees can just ship the player and 80% of the contract costs to the KC Royals and add a new toy. They would still not be in the hole financially. The only problem for them is if 2-3 of the players get real bad the same year - then they might not make the playoffs (that year).

[monty57]

So, if Gomez is really a 7-year / $153MM ($21.86MM/year) player who is only owed 3 years / $24MM ($8MM/year), how much could the Brewers get in trade?

 

After imagining that, ask yourself, are the Brewers' World Series odds so good that they should hold on to Gomez, or would they be better off trading him for a king's ransom?

 

They could basically transform themselves from a below-average MLB team with a poor farm system to a below-average MLB team with one of the best farms in the league with one move... is it worth it? Which path would likely lead to the most wins and playoff appearances over the next decade?

[logan82]

Hard to say for sure what they are going to get out of him. At least it looks like they should get some good defense. If he stays healthy it shouldn't be a horrible contract for at least a few years. Seems like a lot of money for a guy who is so up and down season to season and has a lot of his value in defense.

 

They could basically transform themselves from a below-average MLB team with a poor farm system to a below-average MLB team with one of the best farms in the league with one move... is it worth it? Which path would likely lead to the most wins and playoff appearances over the next decade?

 

I will start by saying I don't think Gomez is going to be as good going forward as he was this year. If somebody thinks he is though, I would trade him without a second thought.

[Warning Track Power]

This is more informational than advocating the Brewers trade/not trade him:

 

Does everyone realize Gomez was an 8.4 WAR player last year?! Wow...

http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/gomezca01.shtml

 

To put in perspective, Braun's highest was 7.8 in 2011 and Fielder's highest was 6.3 in 2009.

[jerichoholicninja]

They could basically transform themselves from a below-average MLB team with a poor farm system to a below-average MLB team with one of the best farms in the league with one move...

 

One move isn't going to do it. They would get 1 top prospect at most and maybe 2 or 3 fringy-prospect guys. That would take the farm system from poor to about mid pack. One trade is rarely franchise altering and especially not with a player like Gomez. Defense is definitely being more highly regarded in terms of player value but not to the level we would want it to be for Gomez and especially not for a guy who's had one good offensive season in his career.

[brewmann04]

The Brewers need to get another boatload of prospects to have an impact with the crew and that includes pitchers.The Yanks will always be the Yanks and only hope for one WS in my lifetime not being greedy.

[DuWayne Steurer]

So, if Gomez is really a 7-year / $153MM ($21.86MM/year) player who is only owed 3 years / $24MM ($8MM/year), how much could the Brewers get in trade?

 

After imagining that, ask yourself, are the Brewers' World Series odds so good that they should hold on to Gomez, or would they be better off trading him for a king's ransom?

 

They could basically transform themselves from a below-average MLB team with a poor farm system to a below-average MLB team with one of the best farms in the league with one move... is it worth it? Which path would likely lead to the most wins and playoff appearances over the next decade?

 

 

One trade will not turn the Brewers from a low 20's farm to a top 5 farm. There's absolutely no way.

[Warning Track Power]

One trade will not turn the Brewers from a low 20's farm to a top 5 farm. There's absolutely no way.

Correct. However, a Gomez trade now coupled with a Winter Meetings Gallardo and Lohse deal, followed by a mid-season Ryan Braun trade, assuming he is the old Braun, could arguably have them in the top 10.

[brewcrewdue80]

So, if Gomez is really a 7-year / $153MM ($21.86MM/year) player who is only owed 3 years / $24MM ($8MM/year), how much could the Brewers get in trade?

 

After imagining that, ask yourself, are the Brewers' World Series odds so good that they should hold on to Gomez, or would they be better off trading him for a king's ransom?

 

They could basically transform themselves from a below-average MLB team with a poor farm system to a below-average MLB team with one of the best farms in the league with one move... is it worth it? Which path would likely lead to the most wins and playoff appearances over the next decade?

 

Well to me clearly they should get an A Prospect. I'd also have a B and a C with upside Prospect for a return for Gomez. There's no doubt they should get an expect ML Player in return. Thinking Wil Myers like from the Shields deal. The B prospect would be like Odorizzi. But the C Prospect should actually be better than Montgomery as Gomez for 1 has another year on his deal and 2 is being paid less.

 

I really don't think trading Gomez results in losing much overall on the Major League team. My guess is they add a Player like Segura was who immediately helps the team better than the individual who we had pegged for that spot. But the B Prospect is a bonus to add to our system.

And let's be honest here, Gomez should net an A and 2 B prospects since you just have to project in your trade discussions that he's going to net a top 30pick when he becomes a FA.

 

I wanted Gomez traded away last season, it hasn't changed but his value is more today than it was last season. Sell High for Once!

 

I honestly think a Ryan Braun type core player could be in return. Like Wil Myers guys like Noah Syndergaard. Taijaun Walker. Even let's say Addison Russell

Colorado traded away Dexter Fowler. There's a Prospect Package from them that could work.

San Diego has a CF need and a ton of Pitching Prospects. Take Max Fried and Jedd Gyorko from them with Robbie Erlin.

There's just so many good young prospects in other team's minors that can use Gomez! Yet there's not a peep of a GM asking if Gomez was available.

[DuWayne Steurer]

One trade will not turn the Brewers from a low 20's farm to a top 5 farm. There's absolutely no way.

Correct. However, a Gomez trade now coupled with a Winter Meetings Gallardo and Lohse deal, followed by a mid-season Ryan Braun trade, assuming he is the old Braun, could arguably have them in the top 10.

 

 

I don't think anyone would argue that. You're talking about trading 4 guys though........not one.

 

Also, I just don't see it happening. There's nothing in Doug Melvin's tenure that has happened that leads me to believe he'll go into full-scale sell mode. He's getting near the end of his rope, and going into a full-blown rebuild isn't going to happen under his watch, and he knows it.

[Warning Track Power]

@RoCo:

I agree with your premise though that a one deal will not move the Brewers farm system into the Top 10. I was just pointing out the path that the Brewers would have to take to get back into the top 10 farm systems.

[fleehaw]

Well to me clearly they should get an A Prospect. I'd also have a B and a C with upside Prospect for a return for Gomez. There's no doubt they should get an expect ML Player in return. Thinking Wil Myers like from the Shields deal. The B prospect would be like Odorizzi. But the C Prospect should actually be better than Montgomery as Gomez for 1 has another year on his deal and 2 is being paid less.

 

I really don't think trading Gomez results in losing much overall on the Major League team. My guess is they add a Player like Segura was who immediately helps the team better than the individual who we had pegged for that spot. But the B Prospect is a bonus to add to our system.

And let's be honest here, Gomez should net an A and 2 B prospects since you just have to project in your trade discussions that he's going to net a top 30pick when he becomes a FA.

 

I wanted Gomez traded away last season, it hasn't changed but his value is more today than it was last season. Sell High for Once!

 

There's just so many good young prospects in other team's minors that can use Gomez! Yet there's not a peep of a GM asking if Gomez was available.

 

Bradley, Davidson, and Pollack (platoon mate for Schafer) from the Dbacks would be pretty great.