Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

Zack Greinke close to hiring an agent.....


miggs721

I hadn't realized Wolf's option is only $10MM ($1.5MM buyout), so one has to imagine that if Wolf if nearly as productive this season as last season, the option will be picked up.

 

I really think Greinke is going to have an exceptional year and price himself out of Milwaukee if this deal doesn't get done soon. I'm guessing his current price is at least 5 years/$100MM, and at anything higher it might just be time to go to all-out rebuilding mode after making another big run this season.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 396
  • Created
  • Last Reply

I don't think picking up Wolf's option has anything to do with Greinke. I think he gets picked up unless he completely falls apart this year. I think we may offer Marcum a deal if we can't sign Greinke just so we have fewer holes to fill.

 

I hope we sign Greinke even though I know the contract will be probably bad overall for the franchise.

Fan is short for fanatic.

I blame Wang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think they tabled talks for now because there really is no rush. Plus, wouldn't you think they want to see what the Hamels deal will be? And I think Zack drives the talks, not his agent. Zack has stated time and time again that he likes playing here and he has actually even loosened up with the press, something he never did prior to coming to Milwaukee.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I don't think you can make any assumption one way or another with the "talks tabled" news. Maybe it means they've agreed on a range of what it's going to take, they have some sort of verbal agreement and Melvin's waiting on a approval from Attanasio.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I heard Melvin on the radio today and when asked about Greinke his tone did not give me any optimism. He said that they were going to "leave it until after the season". Gave me the impression that they were far apart and it there was no point in continuing to talk.

 

I was hoping that Zack really wanted to stay enough that top dollar wouldn't be the overriding factor.

 

Makes you appreciate Braun, Corey and Rickie that much more.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well, it's days like today that make me say "good riddance." I fear that too much stock is going to be put in one season (his cy young year). Would anyone really be surprised if Shaun Marcum had a better season than Greinke this year?
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I won't really be surprised if Grienke isn't extended, as I've said before that I didn't know how they'd afford it, and the Cain deal might have priced Greinke out of Milwaukee's budget.

 

If he isn't re-signed, I think they'll look at extending Marcum, but will shoot for a 2 or 3 year extension with team options. I can't see them giving him a four-year deal. This would allow them to bring Peralta up next year, then one of Thornberg/Jungman/Bradley to replace Wolf in 2014 and then have enough pitching to replace Marcum (and Narveson?) in 2015 and beyond.

 

Or, if the team tanks over the next couple of months, I could see them trading any or all of Greinke, Marcum, Wolf, K-Rod, Hart, Morgan in an effort to get some near-MLB-ready talent to fit in around the "core" for next year.

"The most successful (people) know that performance over the long haul is what counts. If you can seize the day, great. But never forget that there are days yet to come."

 

~Bill Walsh

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well, it's days like today that make me say "good riddance." I fear that too much stock is going to be put in one season (his cy young year). Would anyone really be surprised if Shaun Marcum had a better season than Greinke this year?

 

yes, very.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well, it's days like today that make me say "good riddance." I fear that too much stock is going to be put in one season (his cy young year). Would anyone really be surprised if Shaun Marcum had a better season than Greinke this year?

 

yes, very.

 

Yeah, I'd be pretty shocked too actually. Marcum will probably have a solid year, but I expect Greinke to be overall outstanding. Today was just one start. He may have a random bad game here and there, but he'll be better than Marcum.

Feel free to follow me on twitter https://twitter.com/#!/ItsFunkeFresh
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I wonder if Greinke is thinking he deserves Matt Cain money

 

Cain has put up ERA's of 2.89, 3.14, and 2.88 in the last 3 seasons and has a career 3.37 ERA with zero injury concerns

Greinke has put up ERA's of 3.83, 4.17 & 2.16 in the last 3 seasons and has a career 3.80 ERA with some concerns about missing time earlier in his career due to mental issues

 

Cain has a career WHIP of 1.196 while Greinke's is 1.252

 

*Small Sample Alert*

Cain has a Post-Season ERA of 0.00 in 21 innings pitched with a 0.938 WHIP

Greinke has a Post-Season ERA of 6.48 in 16 innings pitched with a 1.620 WHIP

 

Cain has an ERA+ of 124 to Greinke's 115 (the higher the ERA+ the better)

 

On what planet does Greinke compare to Cain?

 

I like Greinke, alot, but he doesn't deserve Matt Cain money

The David Stearns era: Controllable Young Talent. Watch the Jedi work his magic!
Link to comment
Share on other sites

There have been multiple posts explaining how Greinke is absolutely in that discussion with Cain. As for waiting to see what Hamels gets, why wouldn't they want to get it done before Hamels? What if Hamels signs for more than Cain did? Then they're even more screwed.

 

And yeah, I'd be shocked if Marcum has a better year as well.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The last 2 seasons of ERA+ are very telling, Greinke has been right around 101 whereas Cain's ERA+ the last 2 seasons remains at his career average of 124

 

Hamels? Hamels is also significantly a better pitcher statistically than Greinke. Especially in the last 2 seasons: Hamels has put up ERA+ seasons of 138 & 133 which destroys Greinke's 101 & 100

 

Hamels is a career 3.40 ERA guy, career 125 ERA+ guy, career 3.09 post-season ERA in 81 innings

 

Greinke doesn't compare to Hamels

 

I'm getting the impression that a lot of people here over-rate Greinke

The David Stearns era: Controllable Young Talent. Watch the Jedi work his magic!
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I wonder if Greinke is thinking he deserves Matt Cain money

 

Cain has put up ERA's of 2.89, 3.14, and 2.88 in the last 3 seasons and has a career 3.37 ERA with zero injury concerns

Greinke has put up ERA's of 3.83, 4.17 & 2.16 in the last 3 seasons and has a career 3.80 ERA with some concerns about missing time earlier in his career due to mental issues

 

Cain has a career WHIP of 1.196 while Greinke's is 1.252

 

*Small Sample Alert*

Cain has a Post-Season ERA of 0.00 in 21 innings pitched with a 0.938 WHIP

Greinke has a Post-Season ERA of 6.48 in 16 innings pitched with a 1.620 WHIP

 

Cain has an ERA+ of 124 to Greinke's 115 (the higher the ERA+ the better)

 

On what planet does Greinke compare to Cain?

 

I like Greinke, alot, but he doesn't deserve Matt Cain money

 

True, but does Matt Cain even deserve Matt Cain money? I say no way!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

From MLBTR...

 

“I’ve been told that it’s just between my agent and the team now,” said Zack Greinke in regards to the news that the Brewers and his representatives have suspended negotiations about a contract extension. Greinke told reporters (including Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel) that "it might have been a long shot from the beginning" that the two sides would agree on a multiyear deal. Greinke can become a free agent after the 2012 season.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Of course Matt Cain doesn't deserve Matt Cain money. The same franchise gave Barry Zito Barry Zito money and he didn't deserve it either. Just because other teams are willing to spend foolishly on starting pitchers doesn't mean the Brewers should. How many examples do they need: Carlos Zambrano, Bob Lackey, Johann Santana, AJ Burnett, and on and on.

 

Huge long term contracts to pitchers can cripple small to medium sized franchises. It has nothing to do with Greinke per se, though its very true what leverage he has is based on one season 3 years ago. First priority should always be to develop pitching internally, then and only then, you go to option and look for short term guys with escalating deals just as they did with Marcum and Greinke.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well, it's days like today that make me say "good riddance." I fear that too much stock is going to be put in one season (his cy young year). Would anyone really be surprised if Shaun Marcum had a better season than Greinke this year?

 

 

Too much stock is put on one year, because of single games like today. Small sample conundrum.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think the fear has to be now that by not wanting to extend Marcum early and by not pushing harder to get an extension with Greinke done now they're going to go into Free Agency without a shot at re-signing either of them and with the money the Brewers generally spend in Free Agency, chances are good that next year's rotation is going to be brutal.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think the fear has to be now that by not wanting to extend Marcum early and by not pushing harder to get an extension with Greinke done now they're going to go into Free Agency without a shot at re-signing either of them and with the money the Brewers generally spend in Free Agency, chances are good that next year's rotation is going to be brutal.

 

I don't think Melvin will just sit around and not talk to Marcum if the situation with Greinke isn't looking good. He'll probably start talking extension with Marcum late in the season if that's the case. I don't see him letting both walk. That can't be allowed to happen if he wants to keep the team in contention. If Greinke leaves, I think the best move is to re-sign Marcum and keep Wolf. Then give the open spot to Peralta or Fiers in 2013. Then after Wolf leaves, there's another spot for either Peralta or Fiers, with Jungmann and Bradley hopefully in AAA as backup. Rogers could be an option as well. If Marcum can be had on a 3-year deal that's even better.

Feel free to follow me on twitter https://twitter.com/#!/ItsFunkeFresh
Link to comment
Share on other sites

If Greinke leaves, I think the best move is to re-sign Marcum and keep Wolf. Then give the open spot to Peralta or Fiers in 2013. Then after Wolf leaves, there's another spot for either Peralta or Fiers, with Jungmann and Bradley hopefully in AAA as backup. Rogers could be an option as well. If Marcum can be had on a 3-year deal that's even better.

 

This is exactly how I feel. If it's going to cost more than 5/100 (and it's looking like it might) to lock up Greinke, I'd rather sign Marcum to something like 3/40 and pick up Wolf's option. A rotation next year of Yo, Marcum, Wolf, Narv-Dog, and Fiers/Peralta could still be pretty good. Then, like PEM said the other half of Peralta/Fiers or even one of Jungmann/Bradley could step in in 2014. The only question is how much will it cost to sign Marcum.

This is Jack Burton in the Pork Chop Express, and I'm talkin' to whoever's listenin' out there.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Why does everyone want to pick up Wolf's option next year? I get that he's been good for us the last couple years, but he's getting pretty old, and his peripheral stats don't exactly match up with his ERA. I could see if it was a reasonable option, but 10 mil? Forget that..
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
The Twins Daily Caretaker Fund
The Brewer Fanatic Caretaker Fund

You all care about this site. The next step is caring for it. We’re asking you to caretake this site so it can remain the premier Brewers community on the internet. Included with caretaking is ad-free browsing of Brewer Fanatic.

×
×
  • Create New...