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2011-10-05 Brewers (Wolf) at Diamondbacks (Saunders) - [Brewers lose, 10-6; NLDS Tied 2-2]

pretendastronaut

By pretendastronaut,
in Archived Game Threads

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umphrey Draft Eligible

umphrey

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Those win probabilities are bunk. Ask TB what their win probability vs NYY on the last day of the season after 7 innings. In any inning, anything can happen.
I bet it wasn't 0% which seems to be what you are saying. Just because we only have a 13% or so chance to win doesn't mean we won't win.

 

 

I'm trying to say that in any inning you could score 7 runs and totally throw that 13% out the window and flip it to a numerical advantage in our favor. Those %s are worthless.

OK nevermind you just don't understand what probability means

I tried to log in on my iPad. Turns out it was an etch-a-sketch and I don't own an iPad. Also, I'm out of vodka.
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FVBrewerFan Carolina Mudcats

FVBrewerFan

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I bet it wasn't 0% which seems to be what you are saying. Just because we only have a 13% or so chance to win doesn't mean we won't win.

 

 

I'm trying to say that in any inning you could score 7 runs and totally throw that 13% out the window and flip it to a numerical advantage in our favor. Those %s are worthless.

OK nevermind you just don't understand what probability means

99% chance it's futile trying to explain.
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Yeti73 Draft Eligible

Yeti73

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It is still only a four run game. We have 15 more outs and are going against their pen. It isn't over....I'll give you that our approach sucks, but if things just start bouncing right we can win this
Formerly Andersoc420
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bucksman4 Draft Eligible

bucksman4

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I'm trying to say that in any inning you could score 7 runs and totally throw that 13% out the window and flip it to a numerical advantage in our favor. Those %s are worthless.

OK nevermind you just don't understand what probability means

99% chance it's futile trying to explain.

 

 

87% chance that percentages in baseball make stat geeks sound smart.

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jason21nl ACL Brewers

jason21nl

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its frustrating when they get down big, they try to mash their way back instead of working the count, drawing walks then launching one.
If only there were coaches or managers that could impart this wisdom on them.
obviously they are more than likely trying to coach that...we don't have the type of players that will allow for that to happen.
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a3uge College Ball

a3uge

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The bottom of the 3rd inning totally deflated me. I still felt pretty good at 5-1, but after cutting it to 2 and having momentum... then to have it right back at a 4 run game is incredibly frustrating.

I can't see the Brewers winning this game at this point. They've shown a complete inability to get a 1,2,3 inning in this series.
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brewmann04 Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

brewmann04

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what is everyone complaining about we losing with Marcum and Wolf the back end of our Rotation. We earned home field and it now time to put up or shut up.

it again becomes a one game playoff,Just like the yanks and Phillies . WE have the best home Record and we have YO going Friday ,so things are definite in our favor that we have to hold serve.

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brettac1 ACL Brewers

brettac1

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its frustrating when they get down big, they try to mash their way back instead of working the count, drawing walks then launching one.
If only there were coaches or managers that could impart this wisdom on them.
obviously they are more than likely trying to coach that...we don't have the type of players that will allow for that to happen.
You live by it and die by it. Just how it goes.
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fondybrewfan ACL Brewers

fondybrewfan

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The performances of Grienke, Marcum, and Wolf really have been pretty incredible. I mean when the Brewers were in the middle of that hot streak I would bet the starters gave up 18 runs over the span of 6 games; in the playoffs they have given up that many runs in like 10 innings.
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brettac1 ACL Brewers

brettac1

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what is everyone complaining about we losing with Marcum and Wolf the back end of our Rotation. We earned home field and it now time to put up or shut up.

it again becomes a one game playoff,Just like the yanks and Phillies . WE have the best home Record and we have YO going Friday ,so things are definite in our favor that we have to hold serve.

Exactly.

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dlk9s Carolina Mudcats

dlk9s

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what is everyone complaining about we losing with Marcum and Wolf the back end of our Rotation. We earned home field and it now time to put up or shut up.

it again becomes a one game playoff,Just like the yanks and Phillies . WE have the best home Record and we have YO going Friday ,so things are definite in our favor that we have to hold serve.

You know, the goal of getting home field advantage isn't just to lose the road games.
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