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2011-10-05 Brewers (Wolf) at Diamondbacks (Saunders) - [Brewers lose, 10-6; NLDS Tied 2-2]

pretendastronaut

By pretendastronaut,
in Archived Game Threads

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ninja33 Draft Eligible

ninja33

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Well, someone was warmed up. He put the guys on base, but got squeezed against young and then gave up two ground balls.

Men at 2nd and 3rd with the way he was pitching was trouble. He has looked awful since first pitch and that RRR was leaving him in there when we were only down by 2 is incredulous.

 

He was waiting for him to "find it" He definitely didn't take him out when he got in trouble again.

Not disagreeing with you here. I would have pulled him when they sent Cowgill up. He got in trouble but threw some good pitches to get to the pitcher's spot. Once that pitcher wasn't there he should have been pulled.

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bucksman4 Draft Eligible

bucksman4

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win probability was up to 40% in the 3rd, down to 13% now

 

 

Those win probabilities are bunk. Ask TB what their win probability vs NYY on the last day of the season after 7 innings. In any inning, anything can happen.

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Ennder Carolina Mudcats

Ennder

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win probability was up to 40% in the 3rd, down to 13% now

 

 

Those win probabilities are bunk. Ask TB what their win probability vs NYY on the last day of the season after 7 innings. In any inning, anything can happen.

I bet it wasn't 0% which seems to be what you are saying. Just because we only have a 13% or so chance to win doesn't mean we won't win.
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umphrey Draft Eligible

umphrey

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win probability was up to 40% in the 3rd, down to 13% now

 

 

Those win probabilities are bunk. Ask TB what their win probability vs NYY on the last day of the season after 7 innings. In any inning, anything can happen.

well the win probability for that game was like .5% and stuff like that happens about 1 in 200 times, or are you saying you expected the rays to win that game?

I tried to log in on my iPad. Turns out it was an etch-a-sketch and I don't own an iPad. Also, I'm out of vodka.
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bucksman4 Draft Eligible

bucksman4

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
win probability was up to 40% in the 3rd, down to 13% now

 

 

Those win probabilities are bunk. Ask TB what their win probability vs NYY on the last day of the season after 7 innings. In any inning, anything can happen.

I bet it wasn't 0% which seems to be what you are saying. Just because we only have a 13% or so chance to win doesn't mean we won't win.

 

 

I'm trying to say that in any inning you could score 7 runs and totally throw that 13% out the window and flip it to a numerical advantage in our favor. Those %s are worthless.

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