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2011-05-17 Brewers (Wolf) at Dodgers (Kuroda) - 9:10 PM CDT [Brewers lose, 3-0]


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Like I said, absolutely terrible with a man on third and one out. Because it's hard to hit the ball...at all.

For any of the stat guys here

 

Is there any data out there which tracks how hitters as a whole through out the league do in situations of runner on 3rd with one out? Do they strike out at a higher percentage, maybe because pitchers would be trying harder for a strikeout in that situation vs a regular at bat?

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It's amazing how many guys are left on base. When you look at STL's box scores you always see Berkman, Pujols and Holliday picking up RBI's. Our guys never seem to come thru.

It's easy to draw that conclusion when your team is doing nothing to drive in runs but every team has these issues. When things are going really well, not so much, but not many teams do this at an extremely high level all year.

Really? I think it's a product of a team that is well over .500 and doing everything well at the same time (hitting and pitching) whereas teams that can't put both facets together at the same time hover around .500 or less (ie. Milwaukee).

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I'll be really annoyed if Kemp gets a hit and drives in a run here. Pitcher is struggling and Kemp is one of their only good hitters right now. I would have intentionally walked him.

 

edit: I guess that is why I'm sitting on the couch and not in the dugout calling the shots right now. Nice job Wolf!

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Like I said, absolutely terrible with a man on third and one out. Because it's hard to hit the ball...at all.

 

Leadoff double by the pitcher and a walk in the inning and we can't score a run. It's so infuriating. 18 men left on in 12 innings, 2 total runs scored. AWESOME.

I get a lot more upset when there are no base runners at all. At least there is some action. This is a good pitcher in a pitcher's park, so this is what you get. Still a lot of time left.

 

Someone brought up the Cardinals middle always picking up RBI's and they do. Good teams find ways to score a run here or there, manufacture runs. Not find ways to not score like we do.

Show me some evidence of any of that, please. On average, batters perform about the same with RISP than without. Fans just have a much higher expectation when a run can be scored.
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Rickie certainly has had a tough start to the year defensively. At least Wolf gets out of it.

"You can discover more about a person in an hour of play than in a year of conversation."

- Plato

"Wise men talk because they have something to say; fools, because they have to say something."

- Plato

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Berkman double to walkoff sweep of the Phils. That guy...
Is anyone else getting tired of this stuff? A division rival gets a guy that was absolutely terrible last year and he gets to his new team and reverts to five years ago. Or suddenly figures out how to be good in the majors?

 

Scott Rolen, Lance Berkman, Carlos Silva (early last year at least), Brett Myers....and to a lesser extent, guys like Ryan Dempster, Kyle Lohse and probably a few more I'm forgetting.

 

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I get a lot more upset when there are no base runners at all. At least there is some action. This is a good pitcher in a pitcher's park, so this is what you get. Still a lot of time left.

 

Someone brought up the Cardinals middle always picking up RBI's and they do. Good teams find ways to score a run here or there, manufacture runs. Not find ways to not score like we do.

Show me some evidence of any of that, please. On average, batters perform about the same with RISP than without. Fans just have a much higher expectation when a run can be scored.
You're probably right, they probably do perform about the same. But when all you have do to is put the ball in play to score a run, I don't think it's unreasonable to expect the batter to come through way more often than not.
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Like I said, absolutely terrible with a man on third and one out. Because it's hard to hit the ball...at all.

For any of the stat guys here

 

Is there any data out there which tracks how hitters as a whole through out the league do in situations of runner on 3rd with one out? Do they strike out at a higher percentage, maybe because pitchers would be trying harder for a strikeout in that situation vs a regular at bat?

 

The league average for scoring a run with R3 < 2 outs is 51%, which is pathetic and mostly due to the fact that guys refuse to change their approach and take the run. I cant find averages of K% but for example Robin Yount struck out 11% of career PAs and 9.8% with R3 < 2 out.

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Casey... that was pretty horrible looking.

"You can discover more about a person in an hour of play than in a year of conversation."

- Plato

"Wise men talk because they have something to say; fools, because they have to say something."

- Plato

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Like I said, absolutely terrible with a man on third and one out. Because it's hard to hit the ball...at all.

For any of the stat guys here

 

Is there any data out there which tracks how hitters as a whole through out the league do in situations of runner on 3rd with one out? Do they strike out at a higher percentage, maybe because pitchers would be trying harder for a strikeout in that situation vs a regular at bat?

There's very little evidence that the average pitcher can raise their performance in key situations. I want to say Glavine was a big exception?

 

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Berkman double to walkoff sweep of the Phils. That guy...
Is anyone else getting tired of this stuff? A division rival gets a guy that was absolutely terrible last year and he gets to his new team and reverts to five years ago. Or suddenly figures out how to be good in the majors?

 

Scott Rolen, Lance Berkman, Carlos Silva (early last year at least), Brett Myers....and to a lesser extent, guys like Ryan Dempster, Kyle Lohse and probably a few more I'm forgetting.

 

 

I think you have to give some credit to the Cardinals for being able to spot tweaks a player needs to make so often. I heard an Astros beat guy on 540 or 1250 awhile ago, who had talked to Berkman recently and supposedly the Cardinals noticed Berkman had been planting his leg differently after knee surgery, he was more timid and afraid of hurting it again, and when they corrected that, well, you've seen the results.

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