July 1st Standings

[Bombers]

Take a look at 2009 (* denotes wild card, bold division winner) and then take a look at July 1 this year. Hard to believe the Brewers were in 1st place at July 1st last year and completely fell on their face. Which team do you think will tank it and fall out of the race this year.

2009
AL East	July 1	Final	AL Central	July 1	Final	AL West	July 1	Final
*BOS	48-30	95-67	DET	43-35	86-77	LAA	42-34	97-65
NYY	45-32	103-59	CWS	40-38	79-83	TEX	42-35	87-75
TB	44-36	84-78	MIN	41-39	87-76	SEA	39-38	85-77
2009
NL East	July 1	Final	NL Central	July 1	Final	NL West	July 1	Final
PHI	39-36	93-69	MIL	42-36	80-82	LAD	50-29	95-67
FL	41-39	87-75	STL	42-38	91-71	SF	42-35	88-74
NYM	38-39	70-92	CIN	38-38	78-84	*COL	41-37	92-70
ATL	37-40	86-76	CHC	37-38	83-78
2010
AL East	July 1	Final	AL Central	July 1	Final	AL West	July 1	Final
NYY	48-30		MIN	43-36		TEX	47-31
BOS	47-32		DET	41-36		LAA	45-36
TB	46-32		CWS	40-37		OAK	39-41
TOR	40-40		KC	34-45		SEA	33-45
BAL	24-54		CLE	31-47
2010
NL East	July 1	Final	NL Central	July 1	Final	NL West	July 1	Final
ATL	46-33		CIN	45-35		SD	46-33
NYM	44-35		STL	43-36		LAD	43-35
PHI	41-36		MIL	36-43		COL	42-37
FL	37-41		CHC	34-45		SF	40-38
WAS	35-45		HOU	32-48		ARZ	31-48
			PIT	28-51

[trwi7]

So every division or wildcard winner was either in 1st place or within 3 games of 1st place or the wildcard on July 1st.

 

Same thing as 2008. Every division or wildcard winner was within 2.5 games of 1st place or the wildcard on July 1st.

 

Sell.

[RockCoCougars]

Hopefully Cincinnati, with the Brewers contributing by taking about 9 or 10 out of the 12 head to head games.

[joepepsi]

I doubt Cincy or the Padres make it to the playoffs. If I was a Texas or Minnesota fan I'd be very sceered. Both teams have played well but they each have a team breathing down their necks. Texas was hot (21-6) in June, but the Angels went 18-9. Twins were pretty cold at 12-15. I think the Tigers will make it a fight.

[adamb100]

Didnt Cincinnati do well a few years back and then tanked the 2nd half and missed the playoffs?

[TooLiveBrew]

The Reds will probably get Volquez back in August sometime. Iirc that's when he was scheduled to get back from his surgery. Does his suspension kick in once he's back active on the 25-man roster, or what? If they get him even for just part of September & he's himself, that's a huge addition for them.

 

 

EDIT: Annnnd, nope. He's basically ready to come back now. Via Rotoworld, he's making one more rehab start on Sunday, and will basically be ready to rock after that:

Edinson Volquez (elbow) is scheduled to make his next and possibly final minor league rehab start for Triple-A Louisville on Sunday.

"He'll start Sunday, and then we'll re-evaluate whether he makes another start there or for us," said Reds general manager Walt Jocketty. If the Reds deem him ready, he would likely start against the Phillies next weekend. We've heard nothing but good things about his rehab, so stash him while you still can.

Link

[Ennder]

Brewers are 37-44 after the first half of the season. In order to really have a good shot at the wild card they have to go 53-28 in the second half which is a .654 winning percentage. No trade the team can make will realistically put them in the playoff hunt. They have to just pray to get really lucky/hot and have a 12 game winning streak or something to have a chance at sniffing the playoffs. The first half they just played too poorly to overcome most likely.