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How much money is coming off of the books for 2011?


BREWCREW5
I keep reading that there will be a lot of money coming off of the salary budget for 2011 because the end of Hall's and Suppan's contracts. I am wondering what the Crew will be looking to have available. Next year's free agent market looks pretty good right now. I am wondering if raises to players we have now will just eat up any savings. Im sure someone on here has probably figured it out already?
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With defererred salary for Wolf, option for Hoffman, $2 million Suppan buyout, as well as arby raises for Fielder, Weeks, Hart, Gerut, Gomez, Coffey, Gallardo, Parra, and Villaneuva, they're probably close to $75 million.
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This is in need of an update, but its a good place to start:

 

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tz1FL3X6KldYXIoGOHXpv6A&output=html

 

Not counting arby, I would guess they have 30-40 mil committed to contracts. Gerut will be gone. Players like Villy could be non tendered. Weeks, Hart, and Prince will be in their last year of team control so they will most likely sign contracts to buy out a year or two of FA or be traded (but who really knows). Hart could even be non tendered if they have a minor leaguer who could put up similar numbers for 1/10th the price.

 

I do think they will have some room to work and may decide to make a run in the last year they have Prince, especially if FA prices are as low again next year as this year. I would guess they have around $25 mil coming off the books, 10 of which will go to Arby raises. That should hopefully leave them enough to go after a FA pitcher...a lot will depend on how our young arms progress this year in the minors.

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They figure to have close $40 million coming off the books from Suppan, Hall, Hoffman, Riske, Bush and Counsell. Offsetting that will be scheduled raises to a few (Braun, Wolf) and arby raises (the biggest of which figures to go to Fielder). That total is speculative but I'd estimate it to be $20-25 million

 

It's way too early to project the non-tender candidates. Any player, Villanueva and Gerut included, has a full season to prove their value. Conversely, another bad season by Parra and I think he'll be gone.

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It's way too early to project the non-tender candidates. Any player, Villanueva and Gerut included, has a full season to prove their value. Conversely, another bad season by Parra and I think he'll be gone.

 

Why when he is young and cheap? At worst we can just move him to the pen and he could be very effective.

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I would certainly assume, or at least hope, the Fielder will be either resigned or traded. I realize we won't get "fair value" in a trade for him, but we'll get a heck of a lot more than we would by letting him walk and taking compensation picks. Even trading him at the deadline isn't going to bring in as much. As good as he is, I just hate the idea of not getting 2-3 top prospects whom we'd control for years and years unless there's a real good chance he'll lead us to the series.

 

As far as the salary goes, its nice to see a lot of these bad contracts starting to come off the books. Suppan has been killing us for years, as has Halls and Riske's has seemed that way because he can't stay healthy.

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This is, i believe, Parra's last pre-arby year. Paying significant dollars for a starting pitcher with an ERA over 5.00 just isn't smart If he's a 4.25-4.50 era type this year, then there is some value there, but $3-4 million (next year) is Parra doesn't show anything this year IMHO is a waste of money. You can get long relief/mop-up guys for much cheaper than $3-4 million
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In 2007 the Orioles and Daniel Cabrera avoided arbitration by agreeing to $1.825 million. The next year, after going 9-18 with a 5.55 ERA and a K/BB ratio of 1.06:1, they again avoided arbitration by signing him for 2.875 million. He got a million and a half raise with a career ERA of 4.99. Never underestimate the money to be made by arby eligible players.
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