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2009-06-01 Brewers (Suppan) at Marlins (Miller): 6:10 PM CDT [Brewers lose, 7-4]


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That 8% difference in probability in a round about way is the difference between having Kendall (.299 OBP) batting instead of Cameron (.379 OBP). The difference between a .250 hitter and a .300 hitter is huge, so why wouldn't an 8% more likely to score a run scenario not be?

 

It's .08 runs. If you did that once every game, you'd expect to lose about 1 win over the course of an entire season. Again, with Mcgehee batting, it's even smaller.

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In my first season after T-Ball, my Dad was the our coach and he let me pitch in our first game. I plunked the first three kids I faced, though I still blame the third on being distracted by the kid crying on first base. My Dad took me out an I never pitched an inning of organized baseball again in my life.

 

I think my Dad felt roughly like Macha is feeling right now.

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