Pick the NL Playoff Teams

[splitterpfj]

To help you out....

 

Phillies - 52-44, remaining games - 31 Home, 35 Road, Strength of Schedule - 31-35 (31 vs teams with winning records, 35 losing records)

 

Mets - 51-44, remaining games - 35 Home, 32 Road, Strength of Schedule - 30-37

 

Marlins - 50-45, remaining games - 35 Home, 32 Road, Strength of Schedule - 38-29

 

Cubs - 57-38, remaining games - 32 Home, 35 Road, Strength of Schedule - 34-33

 

Cardinals - 53-43, remaining games - 34 Home, 32 Road, Strength of Schedule - 28-38

 

Brewers - 52-43, remaining games - 33 Home, 34 Road, Strength of Schedule - 23-44

 

Diamondbacks - 47-48, remaining games - 35 Home, 32 Road, Strength of Schedule - 13-54

 

Dodgers - 46-49, remaining games - 32 Home, 35 Road. Strength of Schedule - 14-53

 

You read that right, the DBacks and Dodgers play 13, and 14 games respectively vs teams that have winning records....it's good to be in the west.

 

You also read that right, the Brewers play just 23 games vs winning teams, including an incredible two games vs a winning team in the month of August. Two at St Louis, and 25 vs losing teams.

 

So...what are your picks?

 

I say:

 

Mets win the east, with 88 wins

Phillies in second, with 86 wins

Marlins third, with 85 wins

 

Cubs win the Central, with 93 wins

Brewers win the Wild Card, with 90 wins

Cardinals in third, with 85 wins

 

Diamondbacks win the west, with 83 wins

Dodgers in second, with 80 wins

[cwolf2012]

Brewers win the NL Central with 119 wins.

 

The rest don't matter.

[kmcasper23]

East:

 

Mets 90-72

Philllies 86-76

Marlins 78-84

 

Central

 

Cubs 95-67

Brewers 92-70

Cardinals 83-79

 

West

 

Dodgers 84-78

D-Backs 82-80

[lcbj68c]

Brewers @ Mets (Brewers in 5)

D-Backs @ Cubs (Cubs in 4)

[naivin]

Cubs win the Central easily with 93 wins. Brewers get 88 and narrowly beat out the Phillies (87) for the WC. Mets win the East (89). I'll give the West to the Dbacks (85).

[Glennron]

Phillies 89-73

Mets 86-76

Marlins 81-81

 

Cubs 93-69

Brewers 88-74

Cardinals 86-76

 

Diamondbacks 85-77

Dodgers 81-81

[Tbadder]

Phillies 89-73

Mets 88-74

 

Cubs 95-67

Cardinals 91-71

Crew 90-72

 

Arizona 86-75

Dodgers 82-80

 

Cardinals win pennant

BoSox win Series 4-3

[sbrylski]

Marlins, 88-75

Mets, 87-76

Phillies, 83-79

 

Brewers, 88-75

Cubs, 86-77

Cardinals, 82-20

 

Diamondbacks, 86-77

Dodgers, 84-78

 

Some tight races!

 

Brewers over Mets in 5

Marlins over Diamondbacks in 5

 

Brewers over Marlins in 6

 

Brewers over White Sox in 6!!!

[owbc]

Only the Cubs will be safe with <5 games left in the season.

 

Brewers (90) vs. Phillies (89)

Cubs (96) vs. Diamondbacks (85)

 

Mets finish with 89 wins, lose to Philles in playoff

Cardinals win 86

Dodgers win 84

Marlins finish under .500

Reds finish over .500

Atlanta Braves get hot and take 4/6 from the Phillies and Mets in September

[cwolf2012]

Does the wild card always play the team with the best record overall? Or do they just go by wins when seeding the playoffs?

 

In most sports, winning a division is automatically ahead of any wild cards.

[sheethead]

I belive in MLB, the wild card cannot play the division winner from its own division.

[crewcrazy]

The wildcard automatically plays the team with the best record, assuming they aren't in the same division. If that's the case, then the team with the second best record plays the wildcard.

 

My predictions..

East - Mets (88 wins)

Central - Cubs (97 wins)

West - Diamondbacks (86 wins)

Wildcard - Brewers (90 wins)

 

Brewers def. Mets in 5

Cubs def. D'Backs in 4

 

Beyond that I refuse to make a prediction. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif

[SoCal Brew Crew Fan]

The Cubs, Mets and Dodgers win their divisions...Brew Crew & Philly duke it out for the WC.

 

The season for the Brewers comes down to the final weekend versus the Cubs. Wanting to keep the Brewers out of the post-season despite having clinched homefield throughout at the end of August, the Cubs throw Harden, Zambrano & Dempster at the Brewers in the final series. The Brewers blast all three and Pinella brings Marmol in to finish all three games...beginning in the 3rd, 5th and 6th respectively. The Brewers nip the Phils by a game, but face the Mets after the Cubs flame out in LA. Sam Zell then sells the Cubs to Mexican billionaire Carlos Slim who promptly moves the team to Mexico City...renaming the team the Mexico City Centurians in honor of their 100 year World Series drought.

 

I guy can dream can't he?

[Fear The Chorizo]

Everyone regresses/progresses to the mean and finishes with an 81-81 record - brett favre decides to unretire after re-retiring with the Buccaneers, and ESPN names toledo, OH as titletown USA because a group of D&D'rs who loved mudhens hacked into their fan voting system and got really click-happy.

[RU Rah Rah]

There are a bunch of mediocre or just plain rotten teams in the NL, that's for sure. I'm liking that S.O.S. for the Cubs. Still, I guess I'd pick:

 

Mets

Cubs

D'backs

Brewers (wild card, edging Phillies)

[GenoSeligPrieb]

Under predictions sure to come back to haunt me:

 

NL Central Champs: Cubs (93-69)

vs.

NL West Champs: Dodgers (83-79)

 

NL Wild Card: Brewers (85-77)

vs.

NL East Champs: Phillies (85-77)

 

Cubs in 3 over Dodgers

Phillies in 5 over Brewers (Sheets injury leaves Sabathia winning 2 games, which unfortunately isn't enough to get us there)

 

Cubs win the pennant in 6, but lose the Series to Anaheim, making it 101 years...

[rluzinski]

I wish someone (other than me) would take the time to calculate out the true SOS (win %) for each team's remaining games. Using under/over .500 is such a course measure that it can be very deceiving at times.

[brewerguy71]

NL East

Phillies and Mets both 90 wins, Phillies take the division, Mets the Wild Card

Marlins 81 wins

 

NL Central

Cubs 91 wins

St. Louis 89 wins

Brewers 84 wins

 

NL West

Arizona and Los Angeles both with 83 wins, Arizona wins in a playoff

 

Cubs over the Mets

Phillies over the Diamondbacks

 

Cubs over the Phillies in a sweep

[zzzmanwitz]

I did Russ! I did! Its in the 2nd Half Schedule Stregnth Thread.

 

	Opp. Wins	Opp. Loses	Opp. RS	Opp. RA	Opp. Win%	Avg. Opp. RS	Avg. Opp. RA	Avg. Opp. Run Diff.	Home Games	Road Games
Los Angeles	2898	3489	27417	29914	0.454	4.293	4.684	-0.391	32	35
Arizona	2956	3425	27408	29414	0.463	4.295	4.610	-0.314	35	32
Philly	3051	3231	27895	28833	0.486	4.440	4.590	-0.149	31	35
New York	3111	3273	28935	29955	0.487	4.532	4.692	-0.160	35	32
Milwaukee	3119	3260	28859	29711	0.489	4.524	4.658	-0.134	33	34
Chicago	3211	3170	29227	30091	0.503	4.580	4.716	-0.135	32	35
Florida	3222	3173	29606	28357	0.504	4.630	4.434	0.195	35	32
St. Louis	3180	3097	29003	28796	0.507	4.621	4.588	0.033	34	32

[brewerfan82]

Okay, this is pretty simple guys... all you have to do is assume an expected winning percentage of the reversed strength of schedules listed above, then average that with each team's actual winning percentage at this point and extrapolate that for the rest of the season... nothing else should really be needed to figure this out.

 

Team W L W% ExpW ExpL ExpW% AveW% RemW RemL EndW EndL EndW% Phillies 52 44 0.542 35 31 0.530 0.536 35.38 30.63 87.38 74.63 0.539 Mets 51 44 0.537 37 30 0.552 0.545 36.48 30.52 87.48 74.52 0.540 Marlins 50 45 0.526 29 38 0.433 0.480 32.13 34.87 82.13 79.87 0.507 Cubs 57 38 0.600 33 34 0.493 0.546 36.60 30.40 93.60 68.40 0.578 Cardinals 53 43 0.552 38 28 0.576 0.564 37.22 28.78 90.22 71.78 0.557 Brewers 52 43 0.547 44 23 0.657 0.602 40.34 26.66 92.34 69.66 0.570 Diamondbacks 47 48 0.495 54 13 0.806 0.650 43.57 23.43 90.57 71.43 0.559 Dodgers 46 49 0.484 53 14 0.791 0.638 42.72 24.28 88.72 73.28 0.548

Piece of cake.

[Fear The Chorizo]

The Brewers' remaining schedule from a net standpoint is 198 games under 0.500 based on teams' current records - very significant, since 10 games against the Cubs (best win% in baseball, a +190 games net) remain on their schedule and it still looks that weak.

 

The Cubs' remaining schedule? 44 games over 0.500 - very significant, since they obviously don't play themselves, so the fact they have a +.500 schedule while playing in the same division as Milwaukee and against only NL teams (the whole western division is sub 0.500) is interesting.

 

The Cardinals? 71 games over 0.500, give or take a few games since I confused myself with their schedule around mid-september.

 

Wouldn't want to be the Marlins... 43 games over 0.500 schedule, but that's including 6 remaining games against the nationals, who bring a net (-144 games below 0.500), that artificially deflates the Marlins' schedule strength...i.e., the Marlins can't beat the Nats 8 times in their final 6 games to make up for playing the Cubs, Phillies, Cards, and Mets a ton down the stretch.

[Ennder]

Mets, Dodgers, Cubs

 

WC : Brewers

 

Same standings I said going into the season.

[bucks2281]

1. Chicago Cubs

2. NY Mets

3. Los Angeles

4. St. Louis

 

St. Louis vs. NY Mets

LA Dodgers vs. Chi Cubs

 

I hate to be a killjoy, but those road games just scare me.

[Brewer Fever]

Mets

Cubs

DBacks

Phillies (WC)

 

Ned Yost will never manage a team to the playoffs unless given an absolutely dominant bullpen. He abuses them too early in the season not to ultimately pay for it every second half.

[brewerguy71]

"92.34"

 

Are you saying you think the Brewers will win 92 games this year? I know this is our team and all, but that's a little crazy.