baseball america playoff odds??

[patrickgpe]

I know its too early to start mentioning the p-word, but I know last season baseball america updated the odds for each team to make the playoffs, either by division or wild card. I can't seem to find them on the website. Is that something that is started later in the season or is baseball america not doing it, or maybe i'm looking in the wrong place?

[zzzmanwitz]

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/ps_oddspec.php

[patrickgpe]

thanks, i was using the wrong site....Figured i messed up somehow..

[Leinie Lodge]

I recall some real wild % fluctuations on BP's team PECOTA playoff odds.

Like during the course of a single road trip, we'd go from 50% to 70%, then down to 20%.

 

Were the Mets 99% playoff-probable at one point last year?

[RightFieldCoder]

I like how we're behind the Cards in the standings but still have a better "chance" of making the post season.

[endaround]

That's the PECOTA version. It still assumes 32 starts by Gallardo. Using the 3rd level of win percentage makes the odds less though still slightly ahead of the Cardinals.

[zzzmanwitz]

Are you sure it doesn't take injuries into account?

[Brily0204]

Also available: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB.html

[sbrylski]

Odds are for suckers. Use your gut, pick your playoff teams and stick with them. We're at war, pick a side!

 

/colbert

[sheethead]

Odds are for suckers. Use your gut, pick your playoff teams and stick with them. We're at war, pick a side!

 

/colbert

I pick the Brews to win the Central! 82% for the Cubs?!? Everyone knows the goat is on its way, why don't the numbers reflect the chokery?